Unwieldy-Horn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-15 01:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Other

26% 83% +$6

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$234	289	119	+169	open	—	06-15 01:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$167	0	169	-169	open	—	06-06 09:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	05-31 01:31
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	2	$64	37	37	+0	open	—	04-01 05:20
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$64	52	52	+0	open	—	04-08 13:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$32	173	0	+173	open	—	06-15 01:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	02-20 06:43
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$30	31	0	+31	open	—	02-23 06:33
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	02-20 06:43
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-20 13:39
will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-08 13:59
bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 13:37
bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	5	$17	20	19	+0	open	—	03-24 13:52
spx up or down on march 27 2026	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	03-27 15:53
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	01-18 14:57
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	01-18 14:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	01-18 14:50
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	01-18 14:55
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	01-18 14:56
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	05-06 23:23
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 01:27
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$12	46	46	+0	open	—	03-23 11:45
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$11	14	0	+14	open	—	03-05 04:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-23 06:36
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-04 15:44
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-13 03:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-24 03:58
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-18 13:59
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	2	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 03:12
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 15:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 01:07:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x836738…
06-15 01:05:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	119	7¢	$8	0xe4af4c…
06-15 01:04:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x1f30e7…
06-06 09:56:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	208	80¢	$166	0x875b0d…
06-06 09:53:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	169	98¢	$167	0x293705…
05-31 01:32:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x980ac0…
05-31 01:31:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x3131e4…
05-25 13:20:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x388357…
05-24 16:42:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xb1984a…
05-24 03:58:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0x8e3353…
05-19 03:12:06	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd8caab…
05-19 02:05:40	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x170245…
05-18 13:59:55	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdf81af…
05-18 01:53:19	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xe1c043…
05-18 01:27:02	Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x676e98…
05-17 10:56:21	Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2e6631…
05-15 11:25:59	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x34c0e8…
05-15 11:24:59	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x01ef22…
05-14 11:12:13	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x508dc6…
05-13 03:29:15	Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8ab0cb…
05-13 03:28:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xc81aa8…
05-13 03:02:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xf29e23…
05-12 03:06:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1dc249…
05-12 03:04:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x6ae97c…
05-12 02:29:42	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4a3138…
05-10 02:11:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7b84b5…
05-09 13:29:22	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb4c366…
05-07 16:05:08	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x7d5713…
05-06 23:23:19	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x089a40…
05-06 23:22:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xb6f989…
05-06 14:09:56	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x1d6567…
05-05 16:30:26	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb0d4b2…
04-27 13:08:20	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x57bb6a…
04-27 05:15:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x9c3fc1…
04-26 15:12:48	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc2fb60…
04-20 13:39:30	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xa0bdc8…
04-20 13:37:36	bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	Down	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0xa185c3…
04-20 13:24:58	bitcoin up or down on april 20 2026	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x8ae842…
04-08 13:40:33	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	52	45¢	$24	0x12fdd6…
04-03 15:44:57	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xaa8e45…
04-03 15:44:25	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xbb305e…
04-03 15:22:27	bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x269001…
04-03 02:22:55	bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x285e67…
04-01 05:20:35	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x65d345…
03-30 01:53:04	spx up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda1aec…
03-29 10:50:50	bitcoin up or down on march 29 2026	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x5a6658…
03-29 01:13:32	bitcoin up or down on march 29 2026	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9fffde…
03-28 14:26:33	bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x5a0ec7…
03-28 06:29:05	bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8c1a37…
03-28 03:52:49	bitcoin up or down on march 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdd57d0…
03-27 15:53:53	spx up or down on march 27 2026	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x25c164…
03-27 00:24:21	spx up or down on march 27 2026	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x96861c…
03-26 14:16:57	spx up or down on march 26 2026	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x4d7187…
03-26 10:48:53	spx up or down on march 26 2026	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x142c24…
03-25 17:32:31	spx up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x04e872…
03-25 15:22:41	spx up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x44ef62…
03-25 15:18:37	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x23c973…
03-25 00:41:17	bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbfd273…
03-24 13:52:03	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Down	SELL	19	55¢	$11	0x5a5329…
03-24 07:33:43	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xca707f…
03-24 07:32:17	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6e9fee…
03-24 02:49:27	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x16edf4…
03-24 01:02:45	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbe9c0c…
03-23 11:45:01	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x763ccf…
03-23 08:53:47	spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0a6083…
03-23 01:57:53	bitcoin up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5f4357…
03-17 14:28:31	iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	No	BUY	37	71¢	$27	0x2d560e…
03-08 14:06:13	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0xca188f…
03-08 13:59:17	will sinners win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x79cb0b…
03-05 04:24:51	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0x168544…
03-04 15:44:33	bitcoin above 70k on march 4	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb1bed0…
02-23 06:36:16	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9b4d8c…
02-23 06:33:42	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xe10721…
02-21 02:37:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x754446…
02-21 02:34:58	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x26603c…
02-20 06:43:52	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0xd24c4a…
02-20 06:43:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x55a53f…
01-30 13:27:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbd4af5…
01-18 18:20:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x282be6…
01-18 18:19:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe31089…
01-18 16:20:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8837be…
01-18 14:59:36	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x27d420…
01-18 14:58:58	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc13aba…
01-18 14:57:04	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xde1b01…
01-18 14:56:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x71b71a…
01-18 14:55:32	will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x4e4acd…
01-18 14:51:20	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xcd681b…
01-18 14:50:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x30b5d0…
01-18 14:47:06	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2afe22…
01-17 14:21:46	bitcoin up or down on january 17	Down	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0293dc…
01-17 11:19:04	xrp updown 15m 1768650300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb7ff2f…
01-17 03:35:48	btc updown 15m 1768623300	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfbe6e0…
01-16 16:49:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x0a5c04…
01-16 16:11:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x03a903…
01-16 16:03:58	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x53cf57…
01-16 15:46:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 16	Yes	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x10bf97…
01-16 13:25:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0x5db10f…
01-15 17:08:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x09eef6…
01-15 16:13:02	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Up	SELL	66	3¢	$2	0xba154a…
01-15 15:56:16	bitcoin up or down on january 15	Up	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xc01678…