Granular-Possibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$69

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-12 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

62% 0% $-5

Sports

25% 100% +$8

Other

13% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$12	24	+24	open	—	04-08 16:53
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$10	18	+18	Alexander Volkov	+$8	05-10 02:25
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-08 16:22
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$5	11	+11	Yes	$-5	04-08 17:10
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-12 02:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	$-5	04-08 16:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-08 17:06
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-08 16:47
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-12 15:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-08 16:26
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-08 16:24
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	04-08 16:48
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	04-08 17:01
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	1	$2	5	+5	open	—	04-12 01:49
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-08 16:19
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-08 17:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:49:58	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbb5c7f…
05-10 02:25:58	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4ac659…
04-12 02:30:01	ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11	Curtis Blaydes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb6fac4…
04-12 01:49:47	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x4c40a5…
04-08 17:10:31	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x308cd3…
04-08 17:06:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaa2b68…
04-08 17:01:51	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by April 30?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x0469ef…
04-08 17:00:51	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5239eb…
04-08 16:53:23	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd59666…
04-08 16:48:45	Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1d00ed…
04-08 16:47:17	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x659556…
04-08 16:42:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf16a97…
04-08 16:26:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xba36a4…
04-08 16:24:09	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2335a2…
04-08 16:22:31	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb38658…
04-08 16:19:29	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2a6a24…
04-08 16:14:27	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x98c0fe…