Lighthearted-Wardrobe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$93

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-23 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 73% +$0

Other

25% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-08 20:56
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	01-23 23:20
will palestine join the board of peace	1	$3	101	0	+101	open	—	01-23 23:24
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	01-23 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 20:15
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$2	250	0	+250	open	—	01-23 23:35
will the uk join the board of peace	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	01-23 23:24
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$2	333	0	+333	open	—	02-01 03:31
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	1	$2	37	0	+37	open	—	02-01 03:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	02-01 03:33
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$2	67	0	+67	open	—	02-01 03:31
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	02-01 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-01 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-23 01:19
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-23 23:15
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	02-03 16:10
GTA VI released before June 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	02-03 16:25
will the us strike iran next 433	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	01-23 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-01 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-01 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-28 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 18:40
nothing ever happens february 452	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-03 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-01 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 18:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 10:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbadbaf…
05-23 09:51:05	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0b6604…
05-23 01:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa18899…
05-22 23:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x48320c…
05-22 17:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x78b65b…
05-19 10:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e87a9…
05-19 08:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf0d188…
05-18 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc0a3cd…
05-17 04:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x15fd17…
05-17 04:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xff20d7…
05-16 05:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xba7e37…
05-15 09:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfb071c…
05-14 10:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x14b4a7…
05-11 17:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3be678…
05-11 17:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0dc291…
05-10 20:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xeca47b…
05-09 22:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x37e446…
05-08 21:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x465eb3…
05-08 20:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xfcdd68…
05-08 20:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7c2728…
05-08 19:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfb28e7…
05-08 18:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1271c8…
05-08 08:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf3aca1…
05-06 07:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2f9790…
05-06 05:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7dfca2…
05-06 05:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x47f71f…
05-05 11:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x81c91d…
05-05 10:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2720d2…
05-03 20:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01deb3…
05-03 09:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x86953f…
05-03 07:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7d53ea…
05-01 15:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x803377…
05-01 15:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1fb35e…
05-01 15:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x80b4f6…
05-01 15:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf9ca3c…
05-01 15:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf8af5e…
05-01 15:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x281666…
05-01 15:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe53113…
05-01 06:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb42d00…
05-01 06:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x778e4b…
04-30 18:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb963d7…
04-30 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x20d98f…
04-30 18:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf295df…
04-29 19:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe9dc7d…
04-29 18:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4b51f9…
04-29 18:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x360012…
04-29 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x645bd3…
04-29 18:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ed012…
04-29 18:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3fe6b9…
04-28 20:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3f3b39…
04-28 20:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf396bd…
04-28 20:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf78038…
04-28 20:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x447f85…
04-28 20:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x17fc8a…
04-28 19:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x541e66…
02-03 16:25:12	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0851ce…
02-03 16:24:36	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get fewer than 50m views in its first 7 days	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x33a657…
02-03 16:22:34	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcc7cce…
02-03 16:19:52	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73ad7e…
02-03 16:15:16	nothing ever happens february 452	Something	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xda2cc0…
02-03 16:10:06	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x859043…
02-01 03:33:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa0b43d…
02-01 03:31:46	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x44ef16…
02-01 03:31:22	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x325fb5…
02-01 03:31:10	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xa661d0…
02-01 03:24:32	SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc369a3…
01-23 23:35:38	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0x360c45…
01-23 23:24:54	will the uk join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x12a326…
01-23 23:24:10	will palestine join the board of peace	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x56f206…
01-23 23:22:12	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x68ff5f…
01-23 23:20:34	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x56d40d…
01-23 23:15:32	Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2c4628…
01-23 23:11:20	will the us strike iran next 433	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f4189…