Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$81

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$96

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-30 01:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% 50% $-81

Other

34% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes		+120	$79	80¢	$96	+$17	05-30 01:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$188	105	105	+0	open	—	05-08 19:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$133	67	67	+0	open	—	04-30 07:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$126	66	66	+0	open	—	04-29 04:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	04-24 10:16
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$101	54	54	+0	open	—	04-25 11:29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	04-25 07:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	04-28 07:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$85	59	33	+26	No	+$1	05-01 08:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$82	106	0	+106	Yes	$-82	05-08 19:19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	1	$79	120	0	+120	open	—	05-30 01:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-24 06:09
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	2	$40	79	0	+79	open	—	04-30 12:18
Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 07:25
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 05:17
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$1	28	0	+28	open	—	04-25 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 01:44:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	120	66¢	$79	0x8e05d2…
05-08 19:19:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0xed4d2d…
05-08 19:19:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xd22fbf…
05-01 08:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xc879fb…
05-01 08:30:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x7ebf67…
04-30 12:18:26	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x4128ab…
04-30 12:18:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0xfb6237…
04-30 07:33:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x700b0f…
04-30 07:31:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1d927f…
04-30 07:29:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xbb85a0…
04-30 07:26:40	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xaa310f…
04-29 15:42:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xb04862…
04-29 15:30:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	75	88¢	$66	0x495740…
04-29 05:12:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	75	85¢	$64	0x167868…
04-29 04:08:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x186b7d…
04-28 07:30:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xdeb613…
04-28 07:27:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xa248aa…
04-28 07:25:10	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	13	94¢	$13	0x11ab57…
04-28 05:18:12	Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xeee789…
04-28 05:17:36	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x9ca4dd…
04-25 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x3504aa…
04-25 13:23:46	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x206618…
04-25 11:44:02	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa56009…
04-25 11:43:06	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x793fa2…
04-25 11:29:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x4da514…
04-25 07:41:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x80da56…
04-25 07:33:36	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0xc6c002…
04-24 11:00:26	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x9f3a48…
04-24 10:17:26	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x3a293a…
04-24 10:16:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xcfacb9…
04-24 06:10:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x2d5a2f…
04-24 06:09:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x90c9c9…