Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,726

lifetime

Volume

$29.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 04-14 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% $-1

Politics

36% 100% +$0

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$1.5K	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	04-03 17:23
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	36	$1.2K	765	765	+0	open	—	03-22 11:29
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	8	$776	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 06:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	8	$749	600	600	+0	open	—	04-12 13:11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	9	$687	981	981	+0	open	—	04-12 05:26
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	84	$617	672	672	+0	open	—	03-22 12:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	12	$613	700	700	+0	open	—	03-29 21:06
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	5	$593	713	713	+0	open	—	04-03 17:26
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	5	$562	554	554	+0	open	—	04-07 14:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	48	$534	473	493	-20	open	—	03-22 05:04
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	13	$478	300	300	+0	open	—	03-15 15:47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	19	$450	465	465	+0	open	—	03-29 18:52
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	36	$438	388	388	+0	open	—	03-31 13:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	8	$434	481	481	+0	open	—	03-28 03:15
will kanye release bully by april 3	14	$418	402	402	+0	open	—	03-28 08:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	7	$388	400	400	+0	open	—	04-12 02:44
will uk strike iran by march 31	13	$385	250	250	+0	open	—	03-22 13:00
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$382	400	400	+0	open	—	03-30 01:49
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 440 459	35	$382	282	282	+0	open	—	03-22 09:01
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by March 31?	2	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 14:20
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	21	$367	303	303	+0	open	—	03-15 15:38
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	16	$365	211	211	+0	open	—	03-27 21:56
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	8	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 21:57
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$346	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 02:09
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	21	$320	295	295	+0	open	—	03-19 23:29
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	13	$316	312	312	+0	open	—	04-14 01:25
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?	2	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 09:49
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 11:58
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$306	200	200	+0	open	—	04-11 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-14 01:25:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x27d278…
04-14 01:25:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0xb04f73…
04-14 01:25:21	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xb07640…
04-13 22:21:55	Tony Gonzales out as US Rep by May 31?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xa3bec0…
04-13 21:26:11	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x2329d8…
04-13 21:26:01	Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5b5911…
04-13 18:59:05	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	85¢	$19	0x494f2d…
04-13 18:56:33	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0x5036cc…
04-13 18:12:19	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xec94f2…
04-13 17:52:57	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xbed359…
04-13 17:16:23	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x42d0a9…
04-13 17:16:11	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x570c20…
04-13 17:09:31	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	SELL	39	71¢	$27	0x2ddf10…
04-13 17:09:31	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x139753…
04-13 17:09:21	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xdb23dd…
04-13 16:55:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x0edb2d…
04-13 16:34:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x9eefc0…
04-13 16:25:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x44f1f4…
04-13 14:10:53	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x262df8…
04-13 14:10:39	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x378b81…
04-13 13:46:05	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x8b8a2a…
04-13 13:45:55	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf2e68c…
04-13 13:29:39	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0xaab898…
04-13 13:03:27	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xc717b5…
04-13 12:28:27	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x7b6b7c…
04-13 12:10:21	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x4117b3…
04-13 12:10:07	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xd3ce10…
04-13 11:37:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xfb7255…
04-13 11:37:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x49ca2f…
04-13 10:41:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xc03d2c…
04-13 10:41:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x415590…
04-13 10:36:35	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x86c7bb…
04-13 10:36:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xb3725d…
04-13 10:04:27	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xbb4040…
04-13 09:51:39	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x89c6f2…
04-13 09:51:15	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xbb1a72…
04-13 08:19:21	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	31	28¢	$9	0xfbcb11…
04-13 08:12:55	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x3d119b…
04-13 08:12:51	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x6edbec…
04-13 08:12:49	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xa8a3e2…
04-13 08:12:23	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x6f27e0…
04-13 08:09:15	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x5fdaef…
04-13 08:09:13	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xefc1fc…
04-13 08:08:47	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	62¢	$16	0xf4940a…
04-13 08:08:33	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xc79c96…
04-13 08:00:31	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x4d632f…
04-13 07:56:57	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x237ea2…
04-13 07:56:39	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa103ed…
04-13 07:41:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x1167cd…
04-13 07:40:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x670459…
04-13 06:39:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb33146…
04-13 06:39:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8734c7…
04-13 06:33:09	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x66d39c…
04-13 06:20:35	Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xaea9a1…
04-13 02:37:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	29	86¢	$25	0x7b7156…
04-13 02:31:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x74b09f…
04-13 02:30:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x4cc525…
04-13 02:15:55	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xb8ab4a…
04-13 02:14:57	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x5f334a…
04-13 00:08:43	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x95b715…
04-12 22:15:01	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xddef83…
04-12 22:11:11	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x05a81a…
04-12 22:10:55	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xdf26ab…
04-12 20:24:01	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xf086ad…
04-12 20:23:49	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x9ef892…
04-12 19:45:31	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcf79f5…
04-12 19:45:21	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd8bdf9…
04-12 18:53:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x01a5e7…
04-12 18:50:35	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xdc7be8…
04-12 18:50:15	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1c519e…
04-12 17:06:07	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x49a98a…
04-12 17:05:57	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe9a53a…
04-12 16:40:35	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x3f3117…
04-12 16:37:07	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xe31750…
04-12 16:22:17	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xb59f04…
04-12 16:01:31	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x1851a7…
04-12 15:38:43	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xa0cb6e…
04-12 15:38:31	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x3815da…
04-12 15:20:43	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0xe45c87…
04-12 15:20:31	Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0x63fa79…
04-12 13:20:57	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa25cbb…
04-12 13:20:47	Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x58c0c3…
04-12 13:17:41	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xfe2308…
04-12 13:11:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	400	41¢	$165	0xd45b62…
04-12 13:02:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x04c53c…
04-12 13:02:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa8659a…
04-12 12:18:51	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xb52017…
04-12 11:51:07	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x6162a5…
04-12 11:29:59	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x005a21…
04-12 11:29:49	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4dd1f4…
04-12 10:44:47	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x055e6a…
04-12 08:49:25	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x52ba3b…
04-12 05:33:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	48	13¢	$6	0xc51ab2…
04-12 05:26:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x6786f7…
04-12 05:26:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x9bf6e7…
04-12 05:26:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0x53ce6d…
04-12 05:18:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x52331f…
04-12 05:18:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0x0fba99…
04-12 04:56:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xe0bc16…
04-12 03:17:45	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	40	71¢	$29	0x8aa763…