Orange-Bun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$352

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-21 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 14% $-78

Other

4% 86% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	14	$195	1,903	1,948	-45	No	$-75	03-10 16:43
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	14	$98	1,387	359	+1,028	open	—	08-21 14:26
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	5	$27	44	44	+0	$80k	+$2	02-25 01:53
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$5	0	213	-213	open	—	07-08 07:30
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$4	108	108	+0	No	$-2	02-09 09:48
Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$3	15	15	+0	No	$-1	02-09 09:48
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-23 23:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-16 03:12
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-15 11:58
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 06:59
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-06 06:59
aapl above 200 on february 27 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	02-16 03:14
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Germany	+$1	06-14 14:33
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$1	2	2	+0	No	$-1	03-31 23:42
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	2	$1	4	4	+0	No	$-1	02-28 14:20
cs2 bsta r2 2026 04 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	R2 Esports Club	+$0	04-16 01:48
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	03-13 13:59
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	1	$1	0	3	-3	open	—	06-12 09:20
Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	06-14 00:29
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	1	$0	0	1	-1	open	—	07-08 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 14:26:55	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	359	8¢	$29	0xb9781c…
08-19 15:00:00	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	3¢	$6	0x56f412…
08-06 04:09:29	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	373	5¢	$19	0x1c4ed4…
08-06 03:53:44	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	403	5¢	$20	0xbe03b7…
07-15 13:40:50	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x4e7ac8…
07-14 06:51:13	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x4302ca…
07-12 12:58:32	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe1106f…
07-12 11:00:25	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe42d52…
07-11 15:15:28	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb87ffb…
07-09 23:02:34	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x99c781…
07-09 23:00:29	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x873475…
07-08 07:30:52	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb8d81e…
07-08 07:30:35	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x965d75…
07-08 07:30:23	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	1¢	$1	0x85a4f6…
07-04 08:47:07	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xbe0cc6…
06-30 21:38:50	Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	3¢	$4	0x5deeb8…
06-14 14:33:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x15137b…
06-14 00:29:55	Will UNI reach $9.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xbe7d05…
06-12 09:20:13	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x9c147e…
05-28 20:08:10	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x7f0715…
04-16 01:48:52	cs2 bsta r2 2026 04 15	R2 Esports Club	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb0c841…
03-31 23:42:59	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x750351…
03-15 11:58:01	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6bc7a3…
03-13 14:01:59	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd83559…
03-13 13:59:51	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x98c56d…
03-10 16:43:27	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x25d2ba…
03-10 05:26:45	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2a19f6…
03-06 06:59:55	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xd432de…
03-06 06:59:41	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2aef8d…
03-05 03:45:37	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe55e72…
03-05 03:44:09	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x428fbd…
03-05 03:40:29	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x493e5c…
02-28 14:20:57	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x758dfa…
02-25 01:53:04	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	37	25¢	$9	0xd6fc76…
02-23 23:42:38	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0x5d5e8c…
02-23 23:32:14	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x50ecdf…
02-23 23:31:54	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x6bd106…
02-16 03:14:55	aapl above 200 on february 27 2026	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc18403…
02-16 03:12:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6a4cab…
02-09 12:43:17	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc34ccf…
02-09 09:48:19	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xb5756d…
02-09 09:48:11	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x3d184d…
02-09 09:05:45	Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x71ca84…
02-09 08:59:17	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x937fee…
02-09 08:56:01	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa90d9f…
02-09 08:51:45	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xed1f55…
02-09 08:49:33	aapl above 200 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbff5ec…
02-09 08:47:07	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfa5c7c…
02-09 08:44:43	Will March be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x331ab7…
02-09 08:42:41	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	641	2¢	$11	0x85c4f7…
01-31 15:06:44	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	641	4¢	$25	0xb848dc…
01-22 15:14:04	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,207	4¢	$49	0x48c613…
01-18 02:22:30	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	212	10¢	$21	0xb2c1c0…
01-17 11:37:50	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	155	8¢	$12	0xa9ea5f…
01-16 04:52:26	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	488	10¢	$49	0xe461c7…
01-10 13:09:30	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x5fe4e2…
01-10 13:08:52	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xc66912…
01-10 06:59:20	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x5da1c7…
01-09 02:33:40	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x00a82a…
01-04 11:06:57	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x50a664…
01-04 02:40:21	ethereum all time high by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb697e1…