Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
19,264
lifetime
Volume
$1.31M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$1.13K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 06-30 00:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
65% 100% +$14
Politics
18%
Crypto
14%
Tech
2%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 340 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +238 $233 100¢ $237 +$4 06-19 12:07
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +224 $218 100¢ $223 +$5 06-30 00:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +155 $153 100¢ $155 +$2 06-26 20:06
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +124 $123 100¢ $124 +$2 06-16 08:49
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No +84 $83 100¢ $84 +$0 06-13 13:48
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No +50 $50 100¢ $50 +$0 06-18 13:01
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? No +45 $44 100¢ $45 +$1 06-15 20:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No +44 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 06-13 15:10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No -38 $-37 100¢ $-38 $-0 06-10 19:45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$1 06-18 17:14
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 06-10 03:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 06-18 17:39
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +22 $22 100¢ $22 +$0 06-20 03:37
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +22 $22 98¢ $22 $-0 06-25 00:01
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -9 $-9 100¢ $-9 $-0 06-04 11:20
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-25 12:12
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 +$0 06-23 21:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-08 15:06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? No +0 $-0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-23 09:13