Jagged-Baritone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

17.1%

Resolved

Trades

393

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-07 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% — —

Sports

13% 0% $-0

Other

10% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No		+7	$5	72¢	$5	+$0	06-04 21:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$104	61	61	+0	open	—	03-20 03:14
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$84	51	51	+0	open	—	03-20 03:14
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 21:46
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	02-27 06:49
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$48	31	31	+0	open	—	02-25 14:20
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-01 08:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	02-09 01:22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	03-19 19:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	03-19 11:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	02-06 10:45
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-12 21:10
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$20	11	11	-0	open	—	03-14 00:04
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$-0	03-11 10:29
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	02-10 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-19 07:50
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 2pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-13 18:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-28 01:50
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 3pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-30 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-31 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	05-24 07:56
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	03-25 18:56
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 1pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	03-23 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-29 21:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-23 20:08
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-20 11:54
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	04-13 19:50
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12pm et	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-30 16:50
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 4pm et	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	03-23 20:50
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 12pm et	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-23 16:51
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-20 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 21:14:52	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x2ba396…
06-06 17:23:00	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 162pt5	Over	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xdf4a25…
06-06 17:22:58	wnba sea min 2026 06 06 total 162pt5	Over	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x859915…
06-06 03:59:43	mlb mil col 2026 06 05	Colorado Rockies	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x0265b4…
06-06 02:29:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 217pt5	Over	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x151200…
06-06 00:38:15	mlb cin stl 2026 06 05	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xdcdd50…
06-04 21:39:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x79c7d4…
06-04 02:28:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 4pt5	Knicks	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb1b35f…
06-03 02:05:22	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0xf21343…
06-03 01:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1a2344…
06-02 22:58:04	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Detroit Tigers	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0xf69016…
05-31 19:07:53	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xd3cbeb…
05-31 19:07:51	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3c7192…
05-31 07:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd57345…
05-30 15:02:25	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xed716c…
05-30 03:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x97b51b…
05-29 21:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6694f2…
05-28 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x240c6e…
05-27 16:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x7c8171…
05-27 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xfb2c19…
05-25 19:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb38493…
05-24 07:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xecf321…
05-22 11:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa08ef8…
05-20 07:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x28f82d…
05-20 02:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x0afa17…
05-20 01:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xe9e1e7…
05-19 22:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb56f87…
05-19 16:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc9b528…
05-19 11:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x7ae37b…
05-19 07:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa1f136…
05-19 03:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xadf038…
05-18 21:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48d9ec…
05-18 11:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc71678…
05-18 10:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97ac2d…
05-18 03:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xdf99c6…
05-18 01:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x567ca7…
05-17 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x97190f…
05-17 10:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4938b2…
05-17 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x025e8c…
05-16 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4561f4…
05-16 07:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf57917…
05-15 22:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3468ac…
05-15 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x558753…
05-15 17:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8ba3de…
05-15 12:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x607e1a…
05-15 09:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x431f50…
05-15 07:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9eb7d5…
05-15 05:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x30f8cd…
05-15 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x838f43…
05-15 03:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf694dc…
05-15 01:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17c8e8…
05-14 19:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x4bed62…
05-07 14:37:43	Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xed8f8d…
04-29 11:43:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x02f668…
04-29 11:24:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2812f7…
04-26 11:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20e6e4…
04-26 04:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce9560…
04-26 03:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2f863d…
04-25 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4192d3…
04-25 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6741c8…
04-25 13:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x956c60…
04-25 12:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x621d50…
04-25 11:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1ebb69…
04-25 01:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x90cc33…
04-24 23:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8c810c…
04-24 10:52:28	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7bac47…
04-24 08:51:30	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfcc127…
04-24 03:50:52	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x079a22…
04-23 20:08:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xa2d5e6…
04-23 14:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa96b8d…
04-23 10:50:56	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x93a1ca…
04-23 09:51:52	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x093539…
04-23 08:50:42	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe33149…
04-23 05:57:14	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd8e788…
04-23 02:51:42	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb23e2d…
04-23 00:56:18	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x69a8f5…
04-22 23:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf2cbee…
04-22 21:51:38	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x86ef49…
04-22 18:57:52	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0429c5…
04-22 17:54:58	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x194468…
04-22 16:50:54	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7a1ecd…
04-22 13:04:56	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 bur	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb8127f…
04-21 23:50:36	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb7a154…
04-21 21:50:52	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc1efb3…
04-21 19:50:32	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4902df…
04-21 14:57:04	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x06e06a…
04-21 14:50:30	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x172eb6…
04-21 12:50:26	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e5f7b…
04-21 11:50:56	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55ea12…
04-21 09:50:24	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2ee28c…
04-21 07:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xace1a7…
04-21 06:50:56	bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e7db9…
04-21 03:57:40	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa69392…
04-21 02:50:44	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b86e4…
04-20 23:50:48	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x09f8ad…
04-20 19:57:40	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x4b5f36…
04-20 16:50:28	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2e61fc…
04-20 13:57:52	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd5ba45…
04-20 13:55:52	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac6ccb…
04-20 11:54:48	bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x379e90…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6507…2d2c	245	$9.43K	2,019	06-03 02:02
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	243	$482.9K	74,027	06-03 02:00
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	235	$692	279	05-31 06:29
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	224	$17.3K	4,733	06-03 01:33
(anonymous) 0x4924…fac2	223	$22.3K	7,221	06-03 01:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	221	$110.5K	8,105	05-31 07:30
Dutiful-Alley 0x89fb…66ee	218	$1.17K	352	06-03 01:00
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	216	$2.82K	265	06-03 01:12