Narrow-Bat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

100

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$620

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-27 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 40% +$35

Politics

8% 0% $-13

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes		+55	$7	8¢	$4	$-3	05-27 20:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$30	25	25	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 15:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$24	100	100	+0	No	$-2	05-07 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 17:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$17	100	0	+100	open	—	05-08 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 05:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 06:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$12	20	10	+10	Up	+$7	05-10 16:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$11	140	0	+140	No	$-11	05-07 20:50
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	05-09 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	3	$10	14	8	+6	Up	+$5	05-10 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-09 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-27 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$10	16	11	+5	open	—	05-18 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-13 02:14
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	05-14 17:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$8	15	5	+10	open	—	05-16 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$8	60	0	+60	Up	$-8	05-10 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$8	30	5	+25	Down	+$1	05-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 05:34
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	1	$7	55	0	+55	open	—	05-27 20:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	1	$6	20	0	+20	Down	$-6	05-10 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 20:57:29	Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x552653…
05-27 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	46	6¢	$3	0x167900…
05-27 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x0efaae…
05-27 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x0d3661…
05-26 20:07:55	LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	Estral Esports	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2aa94c…
05-19 05:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x34506d…
05-19 04:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x119e9e…
05-19 02:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb91645…
05-19 01:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf40ea0…
05-19 01:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdf9116…
05-18 23:40:09	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0858aa…
05-18 23:34:21	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x313f26…
05-18 23:32:45	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xcb3d5e…
05-18 23:31:33	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda5ce0…
05-18 23:30:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x01f05f…
05-18 23:29:51	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xade598…
05-18 23:28:48	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x074da6…
05-18 23:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe06370…
05-18 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x67cbaa…
05-18 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x99d934…
05-18 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6c35e9…
05-18 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xce7b84…
05-18 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcd5b9d…
05-18 22:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x7cfecf…
05-18 22:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xa9a6da…
05-18 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcdc150…
05-18 21:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb0e41…
05-18 21:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1d2803…
05-16 18:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c3874…
05-16 18:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x3054bb…
05-16 18:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbb3a1a…
05-16 17:07:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf70c60…
05-16 17:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x244a26…
05-15 15:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xb5f588…
05-15 15:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd6a90f…
05-15 15:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc36e25…
05-14 17:12:43	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe0452a…
05-14 17:10:34	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x6b48b2…
05-14 17:05:42	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9c2e56…
05-14 02:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x655525…
05-14 02:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x263fc2…
05-14 02:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xac514e…
05-14 02:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe04b6a…
05-14 02:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0f2efd…
05-14 02:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1ddbc6…
05-14 01:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x37a581…
05-13 23:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4fba77…
05-13 23:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf5b440…
05-13 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6f53e6…
05-13 23:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x58a7ed…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xee11c3…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb95b18…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb6b5fc…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xae9f21…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x9b024f…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8ce738…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x282cb8…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1a5b77…
05-13 23:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0c285e…
05-13 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb3204…
05-13 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xad0e8b…
05-13 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa5d052…
05-13 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x954654…
05-13 23:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c15cc…
05-13 23:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x35b98f…
05-13 23:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xa2d24f…
05-13 23:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa03f67…
05-13 23:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe4f223…
05-13 23:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x09d848…
05-13 23:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x44743c…
05-13 21:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x15dce2…
05-13 21:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x95a308…
05-13 21:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1e10bf…
05-13 02:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfbff91…
05-13 02:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa20a9b…
05-13 02:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd1a9e1…
05-13 02:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xb8995e…
05-13 02:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4c37d8…
05-13 02:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x259bd9…
05-13 02:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xfb2a58…
05-13 02:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x90beb4…
05-13 02:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x6cc462…
05-13 02:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6a6493…
05-13 02:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3c43f1…
05-12 23:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9da3d…
05-12 18:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd13466…
05-12 15:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x45a3c2…
05-12 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc15597…
05-12 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x62efd8…
05-12 15:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xf7de6c…
05-12 15:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa0f338…
05-12 15:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x0cc854…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfbe3ab…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xef6bf2…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbc0954…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa77ebf…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	2¢	$0	0x8b779b…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7cbe70…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x55ce5d…
05-12 15:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x462cca…