Valid-Sun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$937

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-19 14:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

93% 88% -$957

Politics

4% 100% +$21

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb umbc bryant 2026 01 15	1	$543	0	970	-970	Bryant Bulldogs	-$427	01-15 10:56
cbb marq depaul 2026 01 16	1	$464	1,190	0	+1,190	DePaul Blue Demons	-$464	01-16 13:03
cbb bing albny 2026 01 15	1	$220	0	550	-550	Albany Great Danes	+$220	01-15 10:58
cbb colst boise 2026 01 16	1	$147	460	0	+460	Boise State Broncos	-$147	01-16 13:06
cbb mstm cans 2026 01 17	1	$140	350	0	+350	Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers	-$140	01-17 15:14
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$69	89	0	+89	No	+$21	01-15 10:13
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-04 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 4?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-03 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 18?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-17 00:37
solana above 30 on march 8	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-05 09:26
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 19	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-18 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 17?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-16 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 25?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-25 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-03 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-07 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	10-19 14:46
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-23 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-14 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or below on May 27?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-26 14:38
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-31 06:16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-03 15:08
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 9c	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-10 14:12
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-23 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-31 06:17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 16?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-14 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	10-19 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?	3	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-26 20:16
highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 56 57f	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-30 14:01
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-07 12:45
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-26 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 14:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6c0d36…
10-19 14:46:51	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa06b6d…
09-29 12:12:17	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6b40b…
09-09 12:49:45	Will White House post 0-19 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d320…
08-26 15:14:21	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe326ae…
08-26 15:13:39	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0e958…
08-14 15:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x730149…
08-14 15:20:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbfb1eb…
07-31 06:17:05	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8d4db6…
07-31 06:16:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6ada49…
07-03 15:08:07	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x29b8a8…
07-03 15:08:01	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4b4979…
06-25 15:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x036185…
06-25 15:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x074c94…
06-16 15:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f4353…
06-16 15:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on June 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4fcc74…
06-07 12:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x6c2f95…
06-07 12:45:39	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x246652…
05-26 20:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x178451…
05-26 15:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc3e317…
05-26 14:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or below on May 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2505fe…
05-26 14:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xf51456…
05-17 00:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7ad74…
05-17 00:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0fdffd…
05-03 15:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x80c319…
05-03 15:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on May 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5eca0a…
04-23 14:53:56	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4aedcb…
04-23 14:53:50	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa51c7a…
04-10 14:12:09	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 9c	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1dadff…
04-10 14:12:05	highest temperature in seoul on april 10 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6e87f…
03-30 14:01:03	highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 56 57f	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xfd3408…
03-30 14:00:55	highest temperature in nyc on march 31 2026 55forbelow	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36b5ac…
03-18 14:49:27	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 19	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x44c77e…
03-18 14:49:11	will bitcoin reach 88k march 16 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37b93d…
03-05 09:26:19	solana above 30 on march 8	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x86fb9e…
03-05 09:25:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x598e20…
02-04 14:09:58	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 240 259	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf13724…
01-17 15:14:12	cbb mstm cans 2026 01 17	Canisius Golden Griffins	BUY	350	40¢	$140	0x346e90…
01-16 13:06:42	cbb colst boise 2026 01 16	Colorado State Rams	BUY	460	32¢	$147	0xad745f…
01-16 13:03:50	cbb marq depaul 2026 01 16	Marquette Golden Eagles	BUY	1,190	39¢	$464	0xea0830…
01-15 10:58:58	cbb bing albny 2026 01 15	Binghamton Bearcats	SELL	550	40¢	$220	0x9bbd29…
01-15 10:56:26	cbb umbc bryant 2026 01 15	Bryant Bulldogs	SELL	970	56¢	$543	0xc1b476…
01-15 10:13:50	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	BUY	87	77¢	$67	0xd13528…
01-15 10:13:42	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb259b3…