Cold-Point — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-11 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-47

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$142	128	50	+79	Down	+$1	05-06 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$139	83	83	+0	Up	+$19	05-06 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$133	160	109	+50	Down	+$13	05-05 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$126	113	32	+81	Up	+$7	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$126	153	83	+70	Up	+$8	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	8	$120	145	80	+65	Down	+$5	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	5	$112	125	44	+81	Down	$-82	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	10	$98	137	137	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$82	45	45	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$73	49	49	+0	Up	+$13	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$65	37	37	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$61	42	42	+0	Up	+$15	05-05 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	6	$53	63	63	+0	Down	+$5	05-11 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$53	71	26	+45	Down	+$1	05-05 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$49	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$48	34	34	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$48	45	45	+0	Up	$-4	05-11 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$45	81	59	+22	Up	$-9	05-11 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	5	$44	100	20	+80	Up	$-8	05-05 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$43	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$36	66	0	+66	Down	$-36	05-04 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	4	$34	45	27	+18	Up	$-10	05-05 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$34	55	0	+55	Up	$-4	05-05 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$34	34	0	+34	Down	+$0	05-05 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	5	$33	43	43	+0	Down	$-5	05-11 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Down	+$1	05-05 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$29	46	0	+46	Down	+$16	05-04 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 02:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7f49d8…
05-11 02:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xd4ebb2…
05-11 02:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x32d6c2…
05-11 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0xfda91b…
05-11 02:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xb86458…
05-11 02:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x41d9c0…
05-11 02:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	61¢	$17	0x2abc97…
05-11 01:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x2ed16d…
05-11 01:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x25e17c…
05-11 01:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0xa8cc55…
05-11 01:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x222fc2…
05-11 01:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0x86178b…
05-11 01:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x53717f…
05-11 01:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x74d5fd…
05-11 01:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xec9d55…
05-11 01:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	49	48¢	$24	0x6a9667…
05-11 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	34¢	$17	0xc035d3…
05-11 01:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x85cad3…
05-11 01:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6b02b4…
05-11 01:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x514670…
05-11 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x9c9e30…
05-11 01:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	59	31¢	$18	0xb11236…
05-11 01:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4389e6…
05-11 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x23f6a0…
05-11 01:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0xa6d04a…
05-11 01:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x491294…
05-11 01:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xabc90c…
05-11 01:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	14¢	$3	0xc619d3…
05-11 01:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xf39c52…
05-11 01:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x40c9e5…
05-11 01:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xed4343…
05-11 01:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x89e3d7…
05-11 01:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x54c0cd…
05-11 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x79515e…
05-11 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x65eb9f…
05-11 01:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x5024bb…
05-11 01:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xe27e24…
05-11 01:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	34	21¢	$7	0xc1ae70…
05-11 01:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x63cc0b…
05-11 01:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x01ab27…
05-11 01:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xc7a726…
05-11 01:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0xb0d1d0…
05-11 01:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xbf4647…
05-11 01:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x6db13b…
05-11 01:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xfe751d…
05-11 01:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd315c2…
05-11 01:19:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x9a94fa…
05-11 01:19:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3059eb…
05-11 01:19:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x2e8f39…
05-11 01:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xecfdc1…
05-11 01:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x362939…
05-11 01:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9e7c96…
05-11 01:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x476ce6…
05-06 01:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x1fd298…
05-06 01:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x567a50…
05-06 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xf27353…
05-06 00:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x4bed1b…
05-06 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x00eb4e…
05-06 00:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x5b796d…
05-06 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9cd5b3…
05-06 00:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6e4d00…
05-06 00:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x995a6b…
05-06 00:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x49aff3…
05-06 00:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x52859d…
05-06 00:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x018507…
05-06 00:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcef500…
05-06 00:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x8b2f53…
05-06 00:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0x9acefe…
05-06 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xdc6d47…
05-06 00:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0xe44ce3…
05-06 00:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	34	62¢	$21	0x2c2878…
05-06 00:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x43424d…
05-06 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x314518…
05-06 00:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2cd3bc…
05-06 00:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x293c47…
05-06 00:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x72af45…
05-06 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x103871…
05-06 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf523a9…
05-06 00:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe015bd…
05-06 00:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x8609e8…
05-06 00:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	42	61¢	$25	0x2f9f02…
05-06 00:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xca2b7b…
05-06 00:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	38	13¢	$5	0x82cf39…
05-06 00:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xba7500…
05-06 00:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x23520f…
05-06 00:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xaeca31…
05-06 00:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xb597a3…
05-06 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x432cae…
05-06 00:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x07213c…
05-06 00:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	59	48¢	$28	0x34415f…
05-06 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x58b5de…
05-06 00:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xed8e97…
05-06 00:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x42f533…
05-06 00:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	69	95¢	$66	0x4cc415…
05-06 00:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x9bf511…
05-05 23:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xb855ed…
05-05 23:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xbf8cb8…
05-05 23:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x250af5…
05-05 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0x91e64f…
05-05 23:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xc0d259…