Defenseless-Pajamas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-21 13:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 100% +$0

Other

44% — —

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	03-09 13:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	1	$153	153	+153	open	—	03-18 12:07
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	03-30 13:45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	1	$151	151	+151	No	+$0	05-08 11:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	05-21 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$151	151	+151	open	—	04-27 12:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	1	$151	151	+151	Yes	+$0	05-06 11:01
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-13 10:21
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	03-23 10:36
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-21 12:03
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-09 12:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-24 13:07
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	1	$150	150	+150	open	—	04-17 13:21
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	1	$123	123	+123	open	—	03-14 12:58
highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-21 07:04
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	04-03 10:35
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$76	76	+76	open	—	01-20 13:31
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 640 659	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-05 10:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 11	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-10 10:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 15	1	$75	75	+75	open	—	01-14 13:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 7	1	$74	74	+74	open	—	01-07 11:43
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	1	$72	72	+72	open	—	03-06 11:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	1	$71	71	+71	open	—	04-03 10:31
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	1	$49	49	+49	open	—	03-21 07:10
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	1	$48	48	+48	open	—	03-06 11:49
lol mkoi lr 2026 01 31	1	$43	53	+53	open	—	01-31 06:16
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	1	$33	36	+36	open	—	01-31 06:19
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	03-06 11:48
military action against iran ends on march 14 2026	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	03-14 13:02
highest temperature in tokyo on march 23 2026 16c	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	03-23 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 13:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x9e339d…
05-08 11:49:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xfaf34b…
05-06 11:01:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x3ed731…
04-27 12:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x74c26c…
04-24 13:07:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xeedb3e…
04-21 12:03:52	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8e16cf…
04-17 13:21:20	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x482b8a…
04-13 10:21:57	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xa6727f…
04-09 12:35:23	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 160 179	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x29270c…
04-03 10:35:43	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa982b1…
04-03 10:32:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 3	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x91ff20…
04-03 10:31:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 3	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x95491a…
03-30 13:45:03	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xa548aa…
03-23 10:47:49	highest temperature in tokyo on march 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa7376c…
03-23 10:36:31	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$2	0x0ea028…
03-23 10:36:03	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x751922…
03-21 07:10:47	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 165 189	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x391296…
03-21 07:05:19	highest temperature in singapore on march 21 2026 35corhigher	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x6fd6ba…
03-21 07:04:27	highest temperature in chicago on march 21 2026 59forbelow	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xdf1056…
03-18 12:07:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0x8c9d4d…
03-14 13:02:03	military action against iran ends on march 14 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x93d3ef…
03-14 12:59:23	military action against iran ends on march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$1	0x35de89…
03-14 12:58:35	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xeb6f73…
03-09 13:44:09	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xac97d4…
03-06 11:49:15	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 190 214	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x82ac33…
03-06 11:48:07	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 140 164	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x54d960…
03-06 11:27:59	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x83cac0…
03-06 11:27:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 6	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0x389958…
02-28 11:48:13	will ethereum reach 2600 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd4bb16…
01-31 06:19:14	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xd6112c…
01-31 06:16:44	lol mkoi lr 2026 01 31	Movistar KOI	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x9734d1…
01-20 13:31:44	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x3cfffe…
01-14 13:24:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 15	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xb84681…
01-10 10:41:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2aa16…
01-10 10:40:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 11	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xdd4036…
01-07 11:43:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 7	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x6e30cb…
01-05 10:19:49	elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 640 659	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xdc3166…