Harmful-Eyelash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

+$168

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$19.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$104

Open exposure

$7.28K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-04 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Sports

22% 0% $-50

Other

18% 100% +$32

Crypto

17% 31% $-18

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+6,742	$6,000	90¢	$6.1K	+$101	07-03 15:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+2,240	$1,109	52¢	$1.2K	+$67	06-18 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$6.0K	6,742	0	+6,742	open	—	07-03 15:17
Fed rate hike in 2026?	3	$1.1K	2,240	0	+2,240	open	—	06-18 16:28
nba chi hou 2026 01 13	2	$794	278	563	-285	open	—	01-14 03:46
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	12	$733	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	03-28 16:03
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	9	$728	985	985	+0	open	—	04-06 05:28
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	8	$635	1,709	750	+959	open	—	06-23 12:58
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$555	442	442	+0	open	—	04-18 01:39
will trump visit china by march 31	4	$531	404	404	+0	open	—	03-17 02:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	2	$528	575	575	+0	open	—	05-29 15:11
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$408	300	300	+0	open	—	01-13 15:04
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$364	278	278	+0	open	—	06-19 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$315	268	268	+0	Up	+$115	05-09 15:02
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$282	325	325	+0	open	—	06-16 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$275	179	179	+0	Down	+$75	05-11 14:44
nba lal sac 2026 01 12	2	$272	200	200	+0	open	—	01-13 03:49
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22 game3	2	$256	200	200	+0	open	—	03-22 14:59
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	7	$235	240	240	+0	open	—	03-21 13:33
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	12	$228	400	400	+0	open	—	05-25 21:58
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	4	$213	238	238	+0	open	—	05-09 15:12
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	3	$210	1,211	0	+1,211	open	—	01-03 09:35
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$207	450	0	+450	open	—	06-07 14:51
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 03:20
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$170	167	167	+0	open	—	04-20 04:52
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$156	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 01:14
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by january 31 2026	3	$150	300	0	+300	open	—	01-13 13:32
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$150	283	0	+283	open	—	05-19 01:56
lol gen g2 2026 03 21 game3	8	$142	200	0	+200	open	—	03-21 15:02
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$141	300	0	+300	open	—	06-10 18:11
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	1	$122	200	0	+200	open	—	03-19 19:41
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$106	200	0	+200	open	—	04-08 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 10:38:32	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	SELL	140	2¢	$3	0x0c80f1…
07-04 10:19:41	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	140	34¢	$48	0x5fb983…
07-03 15:17:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,742	89¢	$6,000	0x870c3b…
07-03 09:50:37	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x49acea…
06-23 12:58:46	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x3454c1…
06-23 11:00:49	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	559	12¢	$67	0xc5d00f…
06-22 11:49:02	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	750	36¢	$270	0x97a7b7…
06-19 23:31:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	278	95¢	$264	0xb0147c…
06-19 16:52:14	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$1	0x460612…
06-19 16:49:44	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x950e22…
06-19 16:27:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x23ebdd…
06-19 16:17:13	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	539	27¢	$145	0xd9d9bf…
06-18 16:28:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,458	48¢	$700	0xfdd770…
06-18 16:25:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x3368bf…
06-17 19:29:14	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xfe46ed…
06-16 10:04:52	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	325	64¢	$207	0xc85031…
06-16 04:03:10	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	325	23¢	$75	0x2abce7…
06-12 04:07:58	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	Yes	BUY	287	17¢	$50	0xc2583c…
06-10 18:11:09	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0xf00d3a…
06-07 14:51:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	450	46¢	$207	0xb22171…
06-06 16:12:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	600	53¢	$318	0xe34113…
06-05 14:35:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	182	50¢	$91	0xed1607…
06-01 11:04:34	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xa9d0fc…
06-01 08:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x1c6fd5…
05-30 14:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	257	39¢	$100	0xb036c6…
05-29 15:11:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	SELL	575	57¢	$328	0x39ec1e…
05-28 09:40:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	No	BUY	575	35¢	$200	0x53e62b…
05-27 13:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x674a51…
05-25 21:58:04	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xce8b0e…
05-25 21:54:32	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x379312…
05-25 21:54:31	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	29¢	$71	0x512ab5…
05-25 13:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xa3572d…
05-25 00:08:29	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xa8b3c7…
05-24 21:52:13	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	29¢	$19	0x20c2cc…
05-24 15:56:55	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	29¢	$19	0xf0e6d3…
05-21 00:13:49	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	351	28¢	$98	0x7d299d…
05-20 16:39:06	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	28¢	$5	0xaa0e65…
05-20 16:29:48	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x32054c…
05-20 13:48:29	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x449147…
05-20 07:36:07	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdc7b72…
05-20 07:16:20	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x9a9455…
05-19 01:56:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0xd6cb15…
05-16 02:57:13	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	155	65¢	$101	0x6075f4…
05-16 02:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0xe8a865…
05-16 02:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdc2dec…
05-16 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x38de73…
05-16 02:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0xdb3f3b…
05-16 02:39:06	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbd7f49…
05-15 08:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	89	45¢	$40	0x15dc43…
05-15 08:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xb8ea88…
05-15 07:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	62	89¢	$55	0xc6741f…
05-15 07:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe84fa4…
05-15 06:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0x29fc10…
05-15 06:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x11936d…
05-15 03:20:35	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x8c5e36…
05-15 01:57:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x20612b…
05-14 15:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xc8bea6…
05-14 15:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x30efbc…
05-14 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x651bee…
05-14 07:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xb0f7c0…
05-13 07:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x0a006a…
05-12 07:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc3730b…
05-12 06:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	104	50¢	$52	0x436219…
05-12 06:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x20ad47…
05-12 06:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x764ff9…
05-11 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	179	98¢	$175	0x2151d7…
05-11 14:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x4e2ec8…
05-11 14:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0x13f780…
05-11 14:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	273	2¢	$5	0xdb7fe0…
05-10 10:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x0072bc…
05-10 10:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x685eb2…
05-10 02:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xbff927…
05-09 15:16:25	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Pistons	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x4b6151…
05-09 15:12:48	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	SELL	238	32¢	$76	0xcf2b1a…
05-09 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	268	80¢	$215	0xfd6ed1…
05-09 15:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0x14e2d5…
05-09 05:26:19	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0xa99683…
05-09 05:20:04	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	63	58¢	$37	0x37f855…
05-09 05:15:35	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	No	BUY	137	58¢	$79	0x0f7e07…
05-08 14:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xbf58e7…
05-08 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x3e7614…
05-08 05:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xe0fbac…
05-07 14:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x0bc05d…
05-06 15:58:21	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x2486b0…
05-06 11:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xf6fa17…
05-06 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5666e5…
05-04 13:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0x5b2c61…
05-04 00:24:54	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0x7028b2…
05-03 15:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	122	20¢	$25	0x0df385…
05-03 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xdad324…
05-03 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	180	14¢	$25	0xf852ee…
05-03 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	199	13¢	$25	0x9612fc…
05-03 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	204	12¢	$25	0x6e8597…
05-03 13:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0x9c31b5…
05-03 13:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x12135b…
05-03 11:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf8b6b9…
05-02 14:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x025f96…
05-02 14:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x004659…
04-30 01:11:34	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	SELL	375	3¢	$11	0xd4dfbf…
04-30 01:01:00	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xd8361f…