Self-Reliant-Lemonade — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$101

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved (90d)

789

Trades (90d)

3,824

20,886 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$15.8K

$94.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 09-28 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 65% -$798

Politics

0% 0% -$243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 1357 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$500	519	0	+519	Down	+$19	05-19 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:00 UTC	45	$466	240	238	+2	Down	+$2	07-19 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:40 UTC	38	$433	931	44	+887	Up	+$18	02-14 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$429	470	246	+224	Up	+$54	05-19 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:15 UTC	72	$402	545	381	+163	Down	+$18	02-18 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$400	525	0	+525	Up	+$125	05-13 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:05 UTC	76	$394	412	378	+35	Up	+$10	02-18 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:05 UTC	39	$394	893	387	+506	Up	-$13	02-15 21:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 20:50 UTC	48	$381	894	313	+581	Down	-$10	02-15 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 20:55 UTC	34	$369	907	342	+565	Up	-$28	02-15 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:00 UTC	29	$345	390	288	+102	Up	-$40	02-15 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 21:10 UTC	29	$341	317	254	+63	Up	+$22	02-15 21:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 01:55 UTC	54	$336	320	293	+27	Up	+$10	02-15 01:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:10 UTC	129	$323	284	282	+2	Down	-$4	07-27 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:15 UTC	59	$321	622	557	+65	Down	-$2	02-15 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 02:00 UTC	48	$320	315	291	+24	Down	+$2	02-15 02:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:25 UTC	49	$311	266	252	+13	Up	-$20	08-09 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 18:35 UTC	59	$296	360	326	+34	Up	+$8	02-18 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 03:35 UTC	33	$295	182	141	+41	Up	-$17	08-09 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 18:00 UTC	69	$288	251	250	+1	Down	-$3	07-27 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:20 UTC	49	$277	362	312	+50	Down	-$1	02-15 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:45 UTC	40	$276	156	155	+1	Up	+$4	08-09 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 01:50 UTC	35	$271	239	227	+12	Up	+$7	02-15 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	74	$270	225	217	+8	Up	-$5	07-27 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 02:10 UTC	31	$268	138	138	+0	Up	+$3	08-09 02:14
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC	3	$259	277	0	+277	Up	+$18	09-04 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	82	$257	241	239	+2	Up	+$5	07-27 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:20 UTC	51	$256	340	281	+59	Down	+$26	02-18 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 00:30 UTC	48	$247	404	324	+81	Up	-$19	02-19 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 13:25 UTC	19	$246	137	126	+11	Up	+$2	07-19 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 11:22:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x8ec403…
09-28 06:32:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x1a3848…
09-27 22:02:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xb68d52…
09-27 14:32:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x550231…
09-26 10:48:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0f2434…
09-25 18:32:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xa7a624…
09-24 18:00:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9d6e24…
09-22 23:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1cbf7d…
09-22 22:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x29d186…
09-22 22:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xacc1dd…
09-22 18:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x59b88d…
09-22 14:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xaa1116…
09-21 19:10:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x6e6e67…
09-21 03:16:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x7514c6…
09-21 03:08:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x655690…
09-20 22:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb126aa…
09-19 11:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x003916…
09-19 10:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x05a656…
09-18 22:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb0cf9d…
09-18 18:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x8c4234…
09-17 14:56:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x2c05d3…
09-17 06:18:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x6d9ac2…
09-17 02:52:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-17 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xb08443…
09-16 19:40:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xddf799…
09-16 19:18:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x96e5b7…
09-16 18:32:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-16 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd42346…
09-15 18:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x079d8e…
09-15 11:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x2a9d2b…
09-15 10:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x2ea0ca…
09-15 02:30:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x427b42…
09-15 02:06:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd945d9…
09-15 02:04:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x6678f5…
09-14 11:36:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-14 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x92faf2…
09-12 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xaaea1c…
09-12 22:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x5967d1…
09-12 22:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xdd65cf…
09-12 22:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x44bff5…
09-12 02:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x15ba85…
09-10 11:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc79438…
09-10 07:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x5f2590…
09-10 07:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbea075…
09-10 07:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x5b43fd…
09-10 03:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xf4b743…
09-09 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xb0ce69…
09-09 10:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x959b4a…
09-08 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x804cf2…
09-08 03:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x95b708…
09-07 06:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x3c3c9a…
09-06 03:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x1af9f5…
09-06 03:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xfb3812…
09-05 06:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc621a4…
09-05 02:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe4bf47…
09-04 22:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x85fcb3…
09-04 22:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x500bf4…
09-04 11:12:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0x69734a…
09-04 11:10:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	95¢	$119	0x19bad6…
09-04 10:30:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x44698d…
09-03 22:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x3c2cb0…
09-03 11:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe95e54…
09-03 07:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x02a824…
09-03 07:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xd379e7…
09-02 18:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x206af0…
09-02 15:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x2851a4…
09-02 14:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x414907…
09-02 14:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xf8c6b1…
09-02 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0x6d3014…
09-01 22:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xdb419d…
09-01 06:18:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x60e7f5…
09-01 02:32:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x27c7c1…
08-31 22:36:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x701e7d…
08-31 18:12:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xa6f0e1…
08-31 14:28:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x468e6a…
08-31 06:24:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-31 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x2d2829…
08-30 02:06:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-30 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xc37a75…
08-29 14:22:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xf6b3ca…
08-29 14:16:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xd5a47e…
08-29 03:38:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-29 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	163	95¢	$155	0xb3f23f…
08-28 22:40:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5c0ee1…
08-28 15:32:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc50eaa…
08-28 14:50:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xd032e2…
08-28 14:22:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xf76f5e…
08-28 07:14:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xbe402c…
08-28 02:48:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x053217…
08-27 03:30:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x1c5250…
08-27 02:28:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x09bbdb…
08-27 02:26:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x1892ea…
08-26 02:02:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4d5bf0…
08-25 10:24:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xf5ba5d…
08-25 10:22:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3f0cb7…
08-24 10:58:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-24 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x36779f…
08-22 11:44:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xfa1a99…
08-22 10:32:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0xaf68db…
08-22 10:30:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0x12df41…
08-22 03:22:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-22 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x128238…
08-17 21:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xb5fd69…
08-17 21:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x84f82b…
08-17 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7ddd10…
08-17 21:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x8ac973…
08-17 21:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3c16e6…
08-17 21:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x591ef6…