Young-Outlook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-14 15:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 50% $-1

Politics

7% — —

Other

3% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$4	05-10 23:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	2	$3	7	7	+0	No	$-3	05-12 13:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	2	$2	17	17	+0	No	$-2	05-11 14:23
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-10 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-10 19:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	3	$2	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 15:10
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	05-10 19:09
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 05:30
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 05:31
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	$-2	05-12 05:28
Zagreb: Lukas Neumayer vs Shintaro Mochizuki	1	$1	8	0	+8	Lukas Neumayer	$-1	05-11 15:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$1	0	62	-62	Yes	+$1	05-08 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 15:10:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x1d0857…
05-12 13:29:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xef9067…
05-12 05:28:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x797699…
05-11 23:54:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdef897…
05-11 23:53:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x09f435…
05-11 23:42:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xffbdab…
05-11 15:17:58	Zagreb: Lukas Neumayer vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x50a7d5…
05-11 14:23:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xc461f2…
05-11 05:31:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x8eef13…
05-11 05:30:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x33a0b8…
05-11 05:25:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xfbfa43…
05-10 23:47:31	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3e0db1…
05-10 23:46:09	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x48745f…
05-10 19:43:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x7e81fb…
05-10 19:10:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3e85a9…
05-10 19:09:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed3380…
05-09 04:36:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x163414…
05-09 00:33:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6ab2be…
05-09 00:32:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd062fd…
05-09 00:29:41	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x23101b…
05-08 20:53:39	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6c18e5…
05-08 20:48:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	62	1¢	$1	0x64e3fc…