Mushy-Tan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$656

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 09-26 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$36

Crypto

34% 100% +$19

Tech

21% 100% +$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	1	$1.5K	1,534	0	+1,534	No	+$3	03-25 08:27
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$1.5K	1,465	0	+1,465	No	+$3	03-25 08:27
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	1	$1.5K	1,457	0	+1,457	No	+$4	03-25 08:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$1.3K	1,353	0	+1,353	Yes	+$8	09-26 02:13
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$1.3K	1,323	0	+1,323	No	+$4	03-25 08:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$2	09-26 02:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$1.1K	1,132	0	+1,132	Yes	+$5	03-25 08:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$1.1K	1,123	0	+1,123	No	+$1	03-25 08:30
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	No	+$1	03-25 08:30
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$2	06-13 08:42
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$3	06-13 08:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	1	$986	990	0	+990	No	+$5	08-25 09:51
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$869	870	0	+870	No	+$1	03-25 08:30
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	1	$798	800	0	+800	No	+$2	07-20 10:18
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$681	682	0	+682	No	+$1	05-14 06:21
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$599	600	0	+600	No	+$1	05-14 06:20
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$598	600	0	+600	No	+$2	05-14 06:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	1	$597	600	0	+600	No	+$3	05-14 06:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$586	594	0	+594	Yes	+$8	08-25 09:53
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$581	582	0	+582	No	+$1	08-25 09:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	07-20 10:19
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	1	$397	400	0	+400	No	+$3	07-20 10:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$364	376	0	+376	Yes	+$12	08-25 09:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$360	668	335	+333	Yes	+$20	04-02 03:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$320	332	0	+332	Yes	+$12	04-02 03:39
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-20 10:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$296	300	0	+300	Yes	+$4	07-20 10:19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$285	300	0	+300	Yes	+$15	06-13 08:43
will wti reach 130 in july 2026	1	$277	278	0	+278	No	+$1	07-20 10:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$223	226	0	+226	No	+$3	04-02 03:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 02:13:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,353	99¢	$1,345	0x7cf388…
09-26 02:12:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,198	0x6be55e…
08-25 09:54:13	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	582	100¢	$581	0x2c7117…
08-25 09:53:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	594	99¢	$586	0x90242d…
08-25 09:53:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	376	97¢	$364	0x92347f…
08-25 09:51:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	BUY	990	100¢	$986	0xfefe21…
07-20 10:20:19	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0xb8f7d3…
07-20 10:19:46	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x62e988…
07-20 10:19:22	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0x434da6…
07-20 10:19:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xd6d75b…
07-20 10:18:42	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x06cc16…
07-20 10:18:30	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xcad6c6…
07-20 10:18:09	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	800	100¢	$798	0x1c7203…
06-13 08:44:00	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x4ace38…
06-13 08:43:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xe4f8a5…
06-13 08:42:51	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x869e62…
06-13 08:42:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xbbf220…
05-14 06:21:00	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	682	100¢	$681	0xdb7f67…
05-14 06:20:39	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0xafab17…
05-14 06:20:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$597	0x7ead95…
05-14 06:20:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x9b18cf…
04-02 03:39:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	226	99¢	$223	0x9cac5f…
04-02 03:39:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	332	96¢	$320	0x527418…
04-02 03:39:15	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	164	99¢	$162	0x2ad961…
04-02 03:39:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	93¢	$310	0x1a3ca6…
04-02 03:38:33	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	335	7¢	$23	0xb32da4…
04-02 03:37:55	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	335	8¢	$27	0xf2558e…
03-25 08:30:55	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,059	0xd7f3bc…
03-25 08:30:29	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	870	100¢	$869	0x1a6dfd…
03-25 08:30:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,123	100¢	$1,122	0xf9012a…
03-25 08:28:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1,132	100¢	$1,127	0x771c3a…
03-25 08:28:25	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x00d479…
03-25 08:28:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,323	100¢	$1,319	0x5465ec…
03-25 08:27:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1,465	100¢	$1,462	0x0efadf…
03-25 08:27:09	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	1,534	100¢	$1,531	0x5b1b2c…
03-25 08:26:53	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	1,457	100¢	$1,453	0x3de01d…