Beloved-Cake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

82.0%

Resolved

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$335

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-13 07:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 81% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	06-11 10:47
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-11 07:05
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	06-11 11:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-02 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-04 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-04 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-02 09:37
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	3	$3	3	+3	open	—	06-11 11:48
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$3	3	+3	open	—	05-02 13:12
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-02 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	05-04 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	05-02 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-04 17:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-30 13:42
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-30 16:42
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	05-01 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-30 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-19 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-30 22:17
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	4	+4	open	—	04-30 17:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-13 14:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	05-04 10:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 12:52
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-30 17:47
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	2	$2	2	+2	open	—	06-11 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	04-30 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-19 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	05-18 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 13:52:19	btc updown 5m 1781358600	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc4c05f…
06-13 07:57:42	btc updown 5m 1781337300	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x48e4b1…
06-12 21:18:27	eth updown 5m 1781298900	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x02e74b…
06-12 21:18:13	btc updown 5m 1781298900	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd64972…
06-12 15:47:09	eth updown 5m 1781279100	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa5dbae…
06-12 10:42:18	btc updown 5m 1781260800	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0c881a…
06-11 22:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781217300	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x019cba…
06-11 16:32:48	eth updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x96c45b…
06-11 14:43:27	eth updown 5m 1781188800	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xce7a8e…
06-11 14:18:52	btc updown 5m 1781187300	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9ceb00…
06-11 12:42:10	eth updown 5m 1781181600	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfbfc1d…
06-11 11:48:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf87db1…
06-11 11:36:48	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcfa4f3…
06-11 11:08:48	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11b96a…
06-11 10:57:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9ac0f2…
06-11 10:47:57	Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc681f3…
06-11 07:55:03	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6d3f7d…
06-11 07:05:40	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaa94ba…
06-11 06:26:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd727a3…
06-11 06:10:51	will ethereum dip to 1200 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdd3ec4…
06-11 05:46:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ca1c2…
06-11 04:08:39	btc updown 5m 1781150700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfe520f…
06-11 02:52:18	btc updown 5m 1781146200	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4641b0…
06-10 23:02:13	eth updown 5m 1781132400	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x53161d…
06-10 21:23:15	btc updown 5m 1781126400	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2dd8b8…
06-10 19:58:58	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt6t	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x765b6b…
06-10 19:38:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3ab25…
06-10 11:08:27	btc updown 5m 1781089500	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc4831f…
06-10 07:47:13	btc updown 5m 1781077500	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xda5ee8…
06-10 02:28:52	eth updown 5m 1781058300	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdf9135…
06-10 00:42:58	btc updown 5m 1781052000	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb371a8…
06-09 19:57:12	eth updown 5m 1781034900	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x81a114…
06-09 19:23:28	eth updown 5m 1781032800	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x12a75c…
06-09 17:28:30	btc updown 5m 1781025900	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3818e2…
06-09 14:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781015700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x178586…
06-09 11:27:19	btc updown 5m 1781004300	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x31fd58…
06-08 21:42:16	eth updown 5m 1780954800	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x51ccde…
06-08 17:53:18	eth updown 5m 1780941000	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xae4771…
06-08 16:42:28	eth updown 5m 1780936800	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x397888…
06-08 10:58:00	btc updown 5m 1780916100	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x927b5e…
06-08 09:23:45	eth updown 5m 1780910400	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8cebcc…
06-08 08:12:13	eth updown 5m 1780906200	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeb3ba4…
06-08 01:47:52	eth updown 5m 1780883100	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x207dc0…
06-07 23:57:21	eth updown 5m 1780876500	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x00f30e…
06-07 23:37:36	btc updown 5m 1780875300	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x786518…
06-07 22:43:31	eth updown 5m 1780872000	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0e02e4…
06-07 22:43:24	btc updown 5m 1780872000	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x42d126…
06-07 18:22:15	eth updown 5m 1780856400	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf6b8c7…
06-07 15:28:25	eth updown 5m 1780845900	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe0e833…
06-07 15:13:51	btc updown 5m 1780845000	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb28f26…
06-07 09:57:09	eth updown 5m 1780826100	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3b8373…
06-07 02:22:31	btc updown 5m 1780798800	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x17e689…
06-06 23:22:52	eth updown 5m 1780788000	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2e6774…
06-06 15:43:04	btc updown 5m 1780760400	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5e2b7e…
06-06 09:18:42	eth updown 5m 1780737300	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xce4737…
06-05 23:47:48	btc updown 5m 1780703100	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf925d8…
06-05 21:47:46	btc updown 5m 1780695900	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0274aa…
06-05 21:18:04	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x272591…
06-05 20:48:40	eth updown 5m 1780692300	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x93a162…
06-05 17:22:42	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x787cdb…
06-05 16:37:39	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc0c99d…
06-05 01:58:01	eth updown 5m 1780624500	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xaa7478…
06-05 00:47:12	eth updown 5m 1780620300	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3ef85f…
06-04 22:12:49	btc updown 5m 1780611000	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x544bc8…
06-04 13:57:21	btc updown 5m 1780581300	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5803ff…
06-04 13:42:18	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9a0183…
06-04 09:57:33	btc updown 5m 1780566900	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x94d39a…
06-04 05:58:24	btc updown 5m 1780552500	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x82a685…
06-04 05:47:52	btc updown 5m 1780551900	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcdfef8…
06-03 22:52:58	btc updown 5m 1780527000	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbddea6…
06-03 22:52:15	eth updown 5m 1780527000	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0096f6…
06-03 07:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71476e…
06-02 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc50cc0…
06-02 16:27:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x831711…
06-02 16:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbe5ddf…
06-01 21:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x26f041…
06-01 06:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x11af70…
05-31 23:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xea697e…
05-31 15:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa5daa7…
05-30 10:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x39770f…
05-29 23:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8096fc…
05-29 16:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x93baad…
05-29 13:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcef2f2…
05-29 09:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1996b3…
05-29 04:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x041871…
05-28 15:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6aadac…
05-28 15:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b65a0…
05-28 06:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x43e8a5…
05-28 04:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x84d732…
05-28 03:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x39ce26…
05-28 03:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x4ae100…
05-28 00:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfe6e4e…
05-27 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x784f74…
05-27 16:58:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe8c71a…
05-27 14:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbac78c…
05-27 07:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2cab8d…
05-27 05:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd283b4…
05-27 03:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfb8287…
05-26 17:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4d40ff…
05-26 16:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6edd67…