Courageous-Identification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

39.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$189

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 10-29 03:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

46% 15% +$10

Crypto

30% 20% -$33

Politics

25% 0% -$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	+17	$5	34¢	$6	+$1	10-27 18:36
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	+23	$5	24¢	$6	+$1	10-29 03:20
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+222	$10	2¢	$5	-$5	10-23 04:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$42	73	+73	Yes	+$30	05-13 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$27	27,000	+27,000	Down	-$27	10-27 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$20	23	+23	Down	+$3	10-27 03:03
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$15	634	+634	Yes	-$15	05-11 11:42
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$10	222	+222	open	—	10-23 04:10
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	77	+77	No	-$10	05-12 20:36
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	72	+72	No	-$5	05-12 23:10
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	1	$5	18	+18	Vitality	-$5	10-29 03:24
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$5	17	+17	open	—	10-27 18:36
Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$5	99	+99	No	-$5	05-12 23:21
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	1	$5	23	+23	open	—	10-29 03:20
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	75	+75	No	-$5	05-16 01:28
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	41	+41	No	-$5	05-12 23:10
Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	130	+130	No	-$5	05-12 23:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:05 UTC	1	$5	56	+56	Up	-$5	07-22 23:08
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	24	+24	No	+$19	05-13 01:47
Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	81	+81	No	-$2	05-13 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$2	7	+7	Down	-$2	10-27 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$2	11	+11	Up	-$2	10-27 18:56
Will Ukraine come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	73	+73	No	-$2	05-15 02:22
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	200	+200	No	-$1	05-16 01:28
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	500	+500	No	-$1	05-13 01:43
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	200	+200	No	-$1	05-16 01:29
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	250	+250	No	-$1	05-12 23:08
Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$1	53	+53	No	-$1	05-16 01:35
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$1	100	+100	No	-$1	05-13 01:39
Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	26	+26	No	-$1	05-16 01:32
Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$0	6	+6	No	$0	05-13 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:24:32	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2d28a4…
10-29 03:20:40	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x96d7a0…
10-27 18:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb8feff…
10-27 18:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x104d78…
10-27 18:36:02	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x60499d…
10-27 03:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x99cdb7…
10-27 02:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x0cba16…
10-27 02:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3e2b73…
10-23 04:10:44	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0x637310…
07-22 23:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5e445d…
05-16 01:35:40	Will Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x853e2c…
05-16 01:32:01	Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe8f174…
05-16 01:29:36	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xc8102b…
05-16 01:28:54	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x4c0d29…
05-16 01:28:06	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0x616ab6…
05-15 02:22:27	Will Ukraine come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x332cad…
05-13 02:00:17	Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	73	58¢	$42	0xba769f…
05-13 01:47:29	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x356de6…
05-13 01:43:47	Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf9110e…
05-13 01:41:32	Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0xb13f0b…
05-13 01:39:19	Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x300804…
05-13 01:38:33	Will Croatia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x679c04…
05-12 23:25:49	Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x31da04…
05-12 23:21:58	Will Czechia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x57be51…
05-12 23:10:20	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x49a05e…
05-12 23:10:06	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xcc2421…
05-12 23:08:31	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x27cafc…
05-12 20:36:41	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7b4762…
05-11 11:42:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xe34c76…
05-09 20:19:17	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x5da652…