Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
74.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
125
lifetime
Volume
$2.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$186
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 07-19 08:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
62% 0% $-7
Other
31% 33% +$2
Tech
4%
Sports
2% 100% +$4
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -109 $-103 95¢ $-104 $-1 07-19 08:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -77 $-46 86¢ $-67 $-21 06-13 09:24
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -65 $-18 22¢ $-14 +$4 05-28 04:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-27 06:41