Open-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.57K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,049

lifetime

Volume

$529.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$505

Open exposure

$47.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-09 16:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 100% +$1,487

Politics

42% 100% +$0

Crypto

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+52,056	$32,941	70¢	$36.4K	+$3,498	06-10 00:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+12,139	$9,912	90¢	$11.0K	+$1,074	06-06 02:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+8	$4	30¢	$2	$-1	05-31 17:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	351	$144.8K	76,511	71,626	+4,885	No	+$1,264	04-24 14:09
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$69.6K	34,860	34,860	+0	open	—	04-08 22:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	25	$61.8K	62,000	0	+62,000	open	—	04-29 23:59
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$55.5K	56,000	0	+56,000	open	—	06-03 14:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	61	$55.2K	57,516	0	+57,516	open	—	03-03 01:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	199	$50.9K	46,498	48,161	-1,663	open	—	04-26 02:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	245	$47.3K	63,653	10,000	+53,653	open	—	06-10 00:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$16.9K	17,000	0	+17,000	open	—	04-08 22:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$9.9K	12,139	0	+12,139	open	—	06-06 02:01
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	61	$9.8K	5,816	5,357	+458	open	—	04-14 00:20
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	16	$3.8K	2,239	2,239	+0	open	—	04-16 21:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	32	$3.5K	2,343	2,342	+0	open	—	04-17 01:21
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	6	$330	678	0	+678	open	—	05-17 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$147	188	188	+0	open	—	04-21 19:34
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$17	240	0	+240	Yes	+$223	05-01 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:59:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,023	69¢	$706	0x02fe91…
06-09 16:48:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	122	69¢	$84	0x5574d0…
06-09 16:42:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	873	69¢	$603	0x2d48d2…
06-09 16:38:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0xec3df6…
06-09 16:31:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfc31ad…
06-09 16:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,500	69¢	$1,035	0x1cf2fe…
06-09 16:19:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,500	69¢	$1,035	0x6d8e13…
06-09 13:27:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,000	71¢	$2,130	0x9e1fca…
06-08 20:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	120	73¢	$88	0xb988c8…
06-08 17:47:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	288	70¢	$202	0xc6809f…
06-08 17:17:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xa65894…
06-08 16:40:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	878	71¢	$623	0xc93805…
06-08 16:29:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0xcefafe…
06-08 15:38:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,019	71¢	$1,433	0xbeb3f5…
06-08 09:42:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	929	73¢	$678	0x900e99…
06-08 09:35:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0616c2…
06-08 09:35:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x19aeb9…
06-08 09:29:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	880	73¢	$643	0xf8b066…
06-08 09:25:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xe8b12c…
06-08 09:21:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x7d72d5…
06-08 09:20:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	148	73¢	$108	0xb4a5ad…
06-08 09:15:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa2394d…
06-08 09:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x507f48…
06-08 09:05:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa6afcd…
06-08 09:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0xf6efe5…
06-08 08:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xf0a9f1…
06-08 08:49:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	73¢	$730	0x375d77…
06-08 08:45:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd27daa…
06-08 08:45:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0135f4…
06-07 23:03:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0xbdd566…
06-07 23:03:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	76	67¢	$51	0x537c92…
06-07 22:43:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x0d44fa…
06-07 22:42:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x7c8d10…
06-07 22:42:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0x44e772…
06-07 22:42:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	42	68¢	$29	0x9209cd…
06-07 22:42:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	68	68¢	$46	0x778be1…
06-07 22:39:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0xece7a7…
06-07 22:39:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	67	68¢	$46	0x8f2655…
06-07 22:39:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x4bf8f2…
06-07 22:23:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x90bfca…
06-07 22:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	79	68¢	$54	0xefcb07…
06-07 21:24:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x973fe8…
06-07 21:14:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x95182e…
06-07 21:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x276c30…
06-07 21:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0f3ef4…
06-07 19:02:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	450	67¢	$301	0x5c9c15…
06-07 18:44:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x7d3a66…
06-07 18:38:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	493	67¢	$331	0x803467…
06-07 18:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x1f0dd4…
06-07 18:37:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe9b0ec…
06-07 18:36:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	271	67¢	$182	0x7984d6…
06-07 18:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x83fa4b…
06-07 18:31:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x19708b…
06-07 18:30:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	56	67¢	$38	0x5cbfb1…
06-07 18:06:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	44	67¢	$29	0x4cbb35…
06-06 23:34:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,387	67¢	$1,599	0xc24446…
06-06 23:12:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xbe46d8…
06-06 23:08:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	80	67¢	$54	0xd3e6f2…
06-06 21:14:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x9621b5…
06-06 16:43:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	500	66¢	$330	0x26a1d3…
06-06 16:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xe29067…
06-06 15:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xbf6172…
06-06 14:35:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	165	66¢	$109	0xbf3752…
06-06 14:25:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0xd66007…
06-06 13:31:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xcd4c1d…
06-06 13:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x54cb28…
06-06 13:16:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,172	66¢	$774	0x089796…
06-06 02:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	84¢	$588	0x8bf95e…
06-06 01:58:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,000	66¢	$1,320	0xb0c17e…
06-05 20:58:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0x8a748a…
06-05 20:29:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	555	65¢	$361	0xbe478b…
06-05 19:46:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	245	65¢	$159	0xcd21f6…
06-05 19:41:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,073	83¢	$890	0x3b733c…
06-05 19:35:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1b306f…
06-05 19:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xdcfd61…
06-05 19:32:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6f6dae…
06-05 19:31:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	116	83¢	$96	0xce2530…
06-05 19:31:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	946	83¢	$785	0x1e98e7…
06-05 19:24:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x38488d…
06-05 19:12:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3d9e7e…
06-05 18:54:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,043	65¢	$678	0x9a2111…
06-05 18:54:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	940	65¢	$611	0xf953aa…
06-05 18:53:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	229	65¢	$149	0x623373…
06-05 17:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,000	66¢	$1,980	0x90ca81…
06-05 16:45:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	83¢	$2,490	0x1addaf…
06-05 14:07:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2,160	82¢	$1,771	0x191295…
06-05 02:22:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	800	66¢	$528	0xdfe61e…
06-05 02:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	167	66¢	$110	0x48f87a…
06-05 00:56:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0xe8b750…
06-05 00:38:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xdefc82…
06-05 00:14:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x74c1a7…
06-04 23:42:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x89a177…
06-04 21:44:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	676	66¢	$446	0x17c784…
06-04 21:30:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x679309…
06-04 17:41:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	324	66¢	$214	0xe962b3…
06-04 17:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xe5fd7c…
06-04 17:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x5d7751…
06-04 17:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	69	66¢	$46	0x450c41…
06-04 17:02:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0x83c456…
06-04 17:02:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	68	66¢	$45	0x03baa1…