Open-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.49K

Unrealized P&L

-$9.48K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,266

lifetime

Volume

$653.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$516

Open exposure

$1.51K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-17 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$1,487

Politics

43% 100% +$0

Crypto

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-1,007	$-183	100¢	$-1005	$-821	06-11 20:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	-675	$8,157	74¢	$-503	$-8,660	06-15 02:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+8	$4	26¢	$2	$-2	05-31 17:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	351	$144.8K	76,511	71,626	+4,885	No	+$1,264	04-24 14:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	439	$98.0K	85,153	83,553	+1,600	open	—	06-15 02:35
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	9	$69.6K	34,860	34,860	+0	open	—	04-08 22:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	25	$61.8K	62,000	0	+62,000	open	—	04-29 23:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$58.9K	59,000	0	+59,000	open	—	06-17 15:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	12	$55.5K	56,000	0	+56,000	open	—	06-03 14:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	61	$55.2K	57,516	0	+57,516	open	—	03-03 01:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	199	$50.9K	46,498	48,161	-1,663	open	—	04-26 02:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	38	$24.1K	14,613	15,621	-1,007	open	—	06-11 20:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$16.9K	17,000	0	+17,000	open	—	04-08 22:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	61	$9.8K	5,816	5,357	+458	open	—	04-14 00:20
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	16	$3.8K	2,239	2,239	+0	open	—	04-16 21:22
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	32	$3.5K	2,343	2,342	+0	open	—	04-17 01:21
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	6	$330	678	0	+678	open	—	05-17 18:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$300	300	0	+300	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:27
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$147	188	188	+0	open	—	04-21 19:34
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$17	240	0	+240	Yes	+$223	05-01 01:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 15:06:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59,000	100¢	$58,941	0xa7c32c…
06-15 02:35:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3,746	36¢	$1,348	0xb0d3ff…
06-14 16:20:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,175	50¢	$588	0x671dc4…
06-14 16:18:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xcb45d8…
06-14 16:17:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	125	50¢	$62	0x8a851a…
06-14 16:16:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3,085	50¢	$1,542	0x490293…
06-14 16:15:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	64	51¢	$33	0x567a6c…
06-14 16:12:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xe8eeca…
06-14 16:08:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	77	51¢	$39	0xdeaa34…
06-14 16:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	61	51¢	$31	0xb5c847…
06-14 16:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0x836759…
06-14 16:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x7a1fc5…
06-14 16:04:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	80	51¢	$41	0xf08575…
06-14 16:04:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	69	51¢	$35	0xd4cdb8…
06-14 16:04:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	68	51¢	$35	0xaaa70e…
06-14 16:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0xea7299…
06-14 16:02:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0xc5c96a…
06-14 16:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0x0e1db7…
06-14 16:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	36	51¢	$18	0xe6ef98…
06-14 16:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	102	51¢	$52	0xb59487…
06-14 16:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	33	51¢	$17	0x23f2db…
06-14 16:02:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	119	51¢	$61	0x1328b7…
06-14 16:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	65	51¢	$33	0x2e0ee3…
06-14 16:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	63	51¢	$32	0x2a50bf…
06-14 16:01:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0x23302f…
06-14 15:56:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	59	51¢	$30	0xa28c7f…
06-14 15:56:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	78	51¢	$40	0x35b861…
06-14 15:56:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	78	51¢	$40	0x1e959a…
06-14 15:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xe871b0…
06-14 15:50:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0xecc55c…
06-14 13:18:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	54	49¢	$26	0xe4a7ec…
06-14 13:08:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,725	49¢	$845	0x25864c…
06-13 23:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	216	45¢	$97	0xc9f331…
06-13 23:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	234	45¢	$105	0x9dc6b4…
06-13 23:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	63	45¢	$29	0x07e6b3…
06-13 23:36:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	137	45¢	$62	0xe23321…
06-13 23:28:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x78b6f7…
06-13 23:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	67	45¢	$30	0xb63a6f…
06-13 23:26:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0x72d265…
06-13 23:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	74	45¢	$33	0xae579c…
06-13 23:26:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x4faa5b…
06-13 19:31:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,180	46¢	$1,003	0xb258bf…
06-13 19:25:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x144842…
06-13 18:35:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,293	45¢	$582	0xb4a756…
06-13 18:28:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xd75fac…
06-13 18:25:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	69	45¢	$31	0x37a52f…
06-13 18:24:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	93	45¢	$42	0xe56604…
06-13 18:24:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	164	45¢	$74	0xd2041c…
06-13 18:24:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0x5f1fbf…
06-13 18:24:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	78	45¢	$35	0x67b06e…
06-13 17:55:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0xbcf020…
06-13 17:55:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0x3289d4…
06-13 17:55:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,296	48¢	$622	0xd08aa8…
06-13 17:03:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	450	43¢	$194	0xb400ed…
06-13 17:03:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	239	43¢	$103	0xab0567…
06-13 17:03:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,723	43¢	$741	0x6065a4…
06-13 17:03:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	588	43¢	$253	0x47aaf8…
06-13 16:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,010	44¢	$885	0xed7899…
06-13 15:08:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,435	45¢	$1,096	0x1a31e8…
06-13 15:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0xdb3c6e…
06-13 15:02:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x67ac7b…
06-13 14:32:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0xe26528…
06-13 14:32:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	88	47¢	$41	0x701310…
06-13 02:38:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	132	53¢	$70	0x548946…
06-13 02:38:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	198	53¢	$105	0xc97ad2…
06-13 02:38:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x7d6937…
06-13 02:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	88	53¢	$47	0xfc9e0b…
06-13 02:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	33	53¢	$17	0xcb48ca…
06-13 02:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	26	53¢	$14	0xc89d00…
06-13 02:38:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	85	53¢	$45	0x2cb025…
06-13 02:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	33	53¢	$17	0xeb4e03…
06-13 02:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	71	53¢	$38	0xea9a86…
06-13 02:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0x48aa29…
06-13 02:37:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	62	53¢	$33	0x3444e6…
06-13 02:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0xfccf51…
06-13 02:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	171	53¢	$91	0x84c022…
06-13 02:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x78d222…
06-13 02:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0x75afd7…
06-13 02:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	83	53¢	$44	0x0e0317…
06-13 02:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	83	53¢	$44	0x75419e…
06-13 02:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	83	53¢	$44	0x72c501…
06-13 02:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	171	53¢	$91	0x6ad776…
06-13 02:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	52	53¢	$28	0x66f5ae…
06-13 02:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	171	53¢	$91	0x4d39e5…
06-13 02:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	151	53¢	$80	0x729c22…
06-13 02:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	192	53¢	$102	0x5d80e2…
06-13 02:33:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	183	53¢	$97	0x6c0b0a…
06-13 02:27:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc3e552…
06-13 02:27:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2e010e…
06-13 02:24:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	70	53¢	$37	0xb67af9…
06-13 02:24:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	95	53¢	$50	0x19e7a9…
06-13 02:24:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	85	53¢	$45	0xcedab0…
06-13 02:24:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	82	53¢	$43	0x93228d…
06-13 02:22:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x6a6d8f…
06-13 02:22:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	94	53¢	$50	0x383b69…
06-13 02:22:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	92	53¢	$49	0x19f4e6…
06-13 02:21:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x01f640…
06-13 02:21:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0x09dfe3…
06-13 02:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xdd3932…
06-13 02:13:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3,071	51¢	$1,567	0xb24180…