Ignorant-Creek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$291

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-26 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

43% — —

Other

24% 0% $-2

Crypto

23% 60% +$1

Sports

8% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$80	53	60	-7	open	—	05-26 16:39
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	6	$24	17	17	+0	Sean Strickland	+$2	05-10 04:19
Will Google reach $375 in April?	4	$23	66	32	+34	open	—	04-30 07:32
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of April?	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 20:19
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of May 11 2026?	2	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	05-12 18:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-26 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	7	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	04-30 07:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$2	05-12 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 19:48
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 18:56
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 18:12
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 13:19
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 18:12
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-15 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$5	5	4	+0	open	—	04-30 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$4	109	0	+109	open	—	04-30 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$4	10	2	+8	open	—	04-30 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$2	94	2	+92	open	—	04-27 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 08:17
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	55	55	+0	open	—	05-09 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-05 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 19:45
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	2	$2	83	83	+0	open	—	05-09 18:06
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	2	$1	12	12	+0	open	—	05-09 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 20:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-06 12:43
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	12	0	+12	Yes	$-1	05-10 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 16:40:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x261d15…
05-26 16:39:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	75¢	$45	0xb0b771…
05-25 18:39:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xf454b4…
05-25 18:31:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6026ee…
05-25 17:44:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd56dea…
05-25 17:24:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x2f41c3…
05-15 13:19:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa71b18…
05-15 13:19:26	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9e3dbb…
05-14 18:56:58	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9c3b72…
05-14 18:12:52	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcff031…
05-14 18:12:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xa83fea…
05-12 18:01:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x25d058…
05-12 18:01:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x50bd78…
05-12 16:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcc5e32…
05-12 16:55:17	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x825a8a…
05-10 19:39:48	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x413ad8…
05-10 04:19:58	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x6cb898…
05-10 04:19:57	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x818090…
05-10 04:13:47	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xf146e0…
05-09 18:07:06	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x7fa86b…
05-09 18:06:57	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0xdd73ab…
05-09 18:06:48	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	2¢	$1	0x7a4b73…
05-09 07:16:34	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x102d74…
05-09 07:16:28	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x7218f3…
05-09 07:16:25	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa01122…
05-08 12:13:06	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd561f5…
05-08 12:02:29	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x495e79…
05-08 12:01:52	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2fc119…
05-06 12:43:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39cd34…
05-05 19:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc3e458…
05-05 19:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x94b4e1…
05-05 19:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xde8a0a…
05-05 19:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x445ffc…
05-05 19:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x67281b…
05-05 19:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e7243…
05-05 19:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x88dc48…
05-05 19:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x297562…
05-05 19:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x59224d…
05-05 15:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa06889…
04-30 22:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$3	0x7d8e16…
04-30 22:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3442c5…
04-30 22:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa0cd95…
04-30 22:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8b56d9…
04-30 22:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5ba0cd…
04-30 22:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x95c33b…
04-30 22:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x385982…
04-30 22:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2c3fe9…
04-30 22:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1e7ef9…
04-30 22:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb6e349…
04-30 22:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x76222c…
04-30 20:19:12	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of April?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x0fdf6c…
04-30 08:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x0a7d30…
04-30 08:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x994bcb…
04-30 08:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc33cc0…
04-30 08:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4826f9…
04-30 08:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe35e93…
04-30 08:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x17751e…
04-30 07:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	56¢	$5	0x3fef18…
04-30 07:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xafcede…
04-30 07:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf046e7…
04-30 07:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x209005…
04-30 07:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xdee775…
04-30 07:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x969872…
04-30 07:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc9bc95…
04-30 07:32:54	Will Google reach $375 in April?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd8d595…
04-30 07:31:30	Will Google reach $375 in April?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x8eb6c5…
04-29 20:40:16	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0x92558d…
04-27 20:22:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeb3404…
04-27 20:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbdd715…
04-27 20:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85b563…
04-27 20:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8d611c…
04-27 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x03c3be…
04-27 19:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6edffd…
04-27 19:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x84b18f…
04-27 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xed06dd…
04-27 19:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x7cf90c…
04-27 19:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x920e40…
04-27 19:43:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x5bafa0…
04-27 19:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb6a2e1…
04-27 19:27:30	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of April?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x48b718…
04-27 19:25:40	Will Google reach $375 in April?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x1e9449…