Aware-Policy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$266

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-02 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 47% +$4

Other

45% 100% +$6

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No		-13	$-3	18¢	$-2	+$1	06-14 17:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$57	57	57	+0	open	—	06-18 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$22	78	28	+50	Down	$-0	05-10 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$16	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 10:30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$16	12	12	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$6	05-11 17:00
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 9pt5	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	06-29 23:05
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	06-29 23:06
fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	1	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	06-27 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 14:51
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$5	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 11:07
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-30 22:37
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-28 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$5	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 10:33
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	1	$5	0	143	-143	open	—	06-04 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 09:51
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$4	18	0	+18	Down	$-4	05-13 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$6	05-10 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$4	16	3	+13	Down	$-0	05-10 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 06:28
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 9pt5	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	06-30 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-10 10:51
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-28 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$3	13	0	+13	Up	$-3	05-10 12:29
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	1	$3	0	13	-13	open	—	06-14 17:08
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 19:28:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals nico williams gte1	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3521fe…
06-30 20:49:07	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb43ac3…
06-29 23:06:55	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0x37081c…
06-29 23:05:38	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfe224f…
06-29 20:38:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2bd6df…
06-28 22:54:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x33c85e…
06-28 21:32:53	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0e5b97…
06-28 13:19:56	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeca6c4…
06-27 22:30:38	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xce3ae1…
06-18 17:15:53	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	57	50¢	$28	0x5dce99…
06-18 17:08:40	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x73e85f…
06-14 17:08:10	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	SELL	13	23¢	$3	0x7621f2…
06-09 15:14:00	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x5be5c7…
06-04 08:57:21	Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0x665db7…
05-30 22:37:10	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4b78b9…
05-30 19:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6368f4…
05-13 06:58:24	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2d74dc…
05-13 06:57:14	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd3ab13…
05-13 06:56:00	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeb232f…
05-13 06:52:43	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x015223…
05-13 06:47:14	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8f8c28…
05-13 06:42:13	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x2e122f…
05-13 06:41:15	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3eb327…
05-13 06:39:30	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x0c6996…
05-13 06:37:36	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2da36f…
05-13 06:37:34	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xef32fa…
05-13 06:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xf38ec4…
05-13 06:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcd36bb…
05-13 06:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x707df6…
05-13 06:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x410b44…
05-11 19:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf9b18a…
05-11 19:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x447727…
05-11 17:00:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x5f20dc…
05-11 16:17:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8dfbdc…
05-11 16:12:37	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8307a4…
05-11 16:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9f409f…
05-11 16:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5dc760…
05-11 15:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x269f33…
05-11 14:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3b4a1a…
05-11 14:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x525129…
05-11 14:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd03f7a…
05-11 14:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x161f3a…
05-11 14:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xd04d51…
05-10 17:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9af81a…
05-10 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd2ed9c…
05-10 13:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x59a9d9…
05-10 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdaf095…
05-10 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc31444…
05-10 12:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x255da6…
05-10 12:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5475d4…
05-10 12:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7430f0…
05-10 12:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9ff76a…
05-10 12:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe18c43…
05-10 12:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5a38a9…
05-10 12:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdfc8c4…
05-10 12:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6d7404…
05-10 12:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x2f010f…
05-10 12:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x96bf48…
05-10 12:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x773209…
05-10 11:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0xa1e27d…
05-10 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x843a45…
05-10 11:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x979d64…
05-10 10:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc305ca…
05-10 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x0cdab4…
05-10 10:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf19924…
05-10 10:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x78b46e…
05-10 10:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe17595…
05-10 10:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x11b758…
05-10 10:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1fc345…
05-10 10:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x988934…
05-10 10:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x143712…
05-10 10:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb2d365…
05-10 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe375d1…
05-10 10:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xc50e2e…
05-10 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x965b9c…
05-10 10:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x32940d…
05-10 10:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x435947…
05-10 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x02c0e7…
05-10 10:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7d5674…
05-10 09:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x16ea33…
05-10 09:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfc2a7f…
05-10 09:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x5c257e…
05-10 09:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1a14ed…
05-10 09:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x781fe0…
05-10 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x99a405…
05-10 09:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1520e1…
05-10 09:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa898a7…
05-10 08:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x548c2c…
05-10 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x4048c1…
05-10 08:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa037c7…
05-10 08:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x1ff03f…
05-10 08:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa244a3…
05-10 08:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1239fc…
05-10 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x701566…
05-10 08:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd4bda2…
05-10 08:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc02629…