Neighboring-Ninja — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$944

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-09 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

54% — —

Sports

22% 0% $-5

Crypto

21% 50% $-10

Tech

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	7	$243	2,304	2,304	+0	open	—	05-07 15:37
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$162	459	458	+0	open	—	05-18 23:18
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	5	$118	107	56	+51	open	—	05-22 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$75	107	0	+107	open	—	05-22 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$42	85	22	+63	open	—	05-22 03:50
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$40	65	0	+65	open	—	05-18 23:24
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	2	$35	21	21	+0	open	—	05-22 04:47
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$31	34	0	+34	open	—	05-22 01:44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	1	$30	39	0	+39	open	—	05-22 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-22 03:30
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$23	61	61	+0	open	—	05-20 05:05
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	0	36	-36	open	—	06-07 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-10	05-12 01:09
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	06-09 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-22 03:54
nhl car las 2026 06 09	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-10 01:24
mlb phi tor 2026 06 09	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	06-10 01:23
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	04-24 06:23
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	$-5	04-16 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-14 16:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-23 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 14:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 01:35
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-20 05:11
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 16:17
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-15 16:36
btc updown 5m 1776305700	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-16 02:18
btc updown 5m 1776270900	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-15 16:37
btc updown 5m 1776271200	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	04-15 16:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 01:24:15	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x7a3e65…
06-10 01:23:45	mlb phi tor 2026 06 09	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x2234a0…
06-09 22:41:09	mlb phi tor 2026 06 09	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeffc4b…
06-09 01:10:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd16785…
06-07 19:36:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	64¢	$23	0xe596c5…
05-22 04:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5475b2…
05-22 04:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xfa34be…
05-22 04:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbbad1b…
05-22 04:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xd85750…
05-22 04:47:53	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	Los Angeles Sparks	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xaaf5e3…
05-22 04:47:42	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xb60e8f…
05-22 04:31:28	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	56	46¢	$26	0x9d622e…
05-22 03:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb273fe…
05-22 03:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x230ce0…
05-22 03:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x2f8355…
05-22 03:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x9b06df…
05-22 03:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x0b7ee5…
05-22 03:45:19	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x456c8d…
05-22 03:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x742541…
05-22 03:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x53d566…
05-22 03:23:14	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x47321a…
05-22 02:44:25	Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury	Los Angeles Sparks	BUY	21	65¢	$14	0xea4270…
05-22 02:43:38	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xc7a196…
05-22 01:44:32	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x8b085f…
05-22 01:39:58	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xb5730a…
05-20 05:11:07	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Red Force	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x63e150…
05-20 05:05:31	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0x6abdaa…
05-18 23:24:12	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	61	35¢	$21	0x8b1743…
05-18 23:24:01	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x9d5142…
05-18 23:18:43	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	458	14¢	$64	0x49ccde…
05-15 14:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8187b8…
05-14 19:58:50	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	459	21¢	$98	0x725d9e…
05-14 16:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc9bd7f…
05-12 01:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf6f3b7…
05-12 01:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc9162e…
05-07 15:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x69184f…
05-07 15:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7d54fc…
05-07 15:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x520d11…
05-07 15:37:20	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	253	5¢	$13	0x360694…
05-07 15:35:52	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2,051	5¢	$111	0x8a5a83…
05-06 01:35:48	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc5faf7…
05-06 01:35:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbdff1a…
05-04 22:16:58	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0x91aa56…
05-04 17:09:40	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,849	5¢	$98	0x8dddef…
05-04 16:18:18	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	76	5¢	$4	0xa53710…
05-04 16:17:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x4ca772…
05-04 15:10:14	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	231	3¢	$8	0x9ad0d7…
04-24 06:23:46	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc75e12…
04-23 15:26:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x337906…
04-16 02:18:56	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6db38d…
04-16 02:18:18	btc updown 5m 1776305700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x695671…
04-15 17:49:40	btc updown 5m 1776275100	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2cc49f…
04-15 16:46:56	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa00668…
04-15 16:44:04	btc updown 5m 1776271200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc7adfa…
04-15 16:42:50	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfd6c2a…
04-15 16:38:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb46808…
04-15 16:37:08	btc updown 5m 1776270900	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc407c0…
04-15 16:36:10	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xace49d…
04-15 16:35:42	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x282578…
04-15 16:24:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x64b611…
04-15 16:20:54	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x20961c…
04-15 16:17:22	btc updown 5m 1776269700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a94cc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	29	$60.8K	1,296	06-10 01:05
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	28	$99.6K	1,012	06-10 02:41
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	18	$103.1K	2,420	06-09 15:27
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	18	$9.92K	787	05-22 04:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	17	$8.19K	692	06-09 23:03
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	16	$113.0K	7,325	06-10 01:37
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	16	$16.6K	2,176	05-22 04:55
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	14	$11.8K	179	06-08 20:16