Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$565

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 10-25 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

77% 33% -$566

Other

23% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No		+10	$3	88¢	$9	+$6	11-01 14:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$1.2K	909	445	+464	Yes	-$339	04-07 05:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$976	508	508	+0	No	+$39	04-01 06:38
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$812	417	417	+0	No	+$1	03-20 13:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$260	267	0	+267	Yes	-$260	04-07 14:50
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	8	$91	54	54	+0	No	+$5	10-24 16:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$76	50	50	+0	Yes	-$6	04-07 14:48
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$60	50	50	+0	Yes	-$5	04-07 14:48
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$37	29	20	+10	open	—	11-01 14:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:02:28	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc874d8…
10-25 22:29:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xf71748…
10-24 16:24:44	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x875ac2…
10-24 02:58:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x59cb15…
10-22 19:33:05	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6c3ac2…
10-22 13:59:26	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4c24d4…
10-20 14:05:26	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x206baf…
09-25 04:31:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x114771…
09-22 00:34:37	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x576d91…
09-21 21:37:40	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x89348a…
09-21 21:37:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	78¢	$18	0x8484bb…
09-19 07:08:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1c8109…
04-07 14:50:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	64	96¢	$62	0x51e285…
04-07 14:48:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x45cfce…
04-07 14:48:43	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x4d6cd3…
04-07 05:42:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	203	98¢	$198	0x12f285…
04-07 05:42:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	116	86¢	$100	0xb0e21a…
04-07 05:41:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0x0da154…
04-06 02:19:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0x0db071…
04-06 01:44:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xe921ae…
04-04 09:00:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xc9aad4…
04-04 09:00:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xedc98d…
04-03 11:57:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0xf81af5…
04-02 09:22:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	188	92¢	$173	0x4413d3…
04-01 06:54:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	626	81¢	$507	0xe46046…
04-01 06:38:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	508	100¢	$507	0x7e702b…
04-01 06:03:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	125	82¢	$103	0x3e29a1…
03-24 02:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	53	86¢	$46	0x9dcf8f…
03-24 00:54:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xccff40…
03-23 13:12:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe83cef…
03-20 13:42:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	185	94¢	$174	0x3fa6a1…
03-20 13:42:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	178	98¢	$174	0x48d49d…
03-20 09:42:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0x3218f3…
03-20 09:42:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xfc17d0…
03-20 08:00:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	207	93¢	$193	0x001f51…
03-20 08:00:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	198	97¢	$193	0x62f117…
03-20 07:59:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x836688…
03-20 07:58:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x02fac4…
03-19 01:39:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x796d6c…
03-19 01:38:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	386	97¢	$376	0xa86f21…
03-18 13:20:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xb9659b…
03-17 06:12:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc417b1…