Bright-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$525

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$51	40	40	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	05-10 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$31	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$30	48	0	+48	Up	$-30	05-10 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$24	25	12	+13	Up	+$7	05-10 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$17	33	33	+0	Down	$-13	05-10 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$14	22	0	+22	Up	$-7	05-10 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$12	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$10	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$10	178	0	+178	Up	$-10	05-10 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-10 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-10 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-10 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-09 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-10 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-10 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	$-5	05-11 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xfdad12…
05-11 03:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa77ff3…
05-11 03:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x32f246…
05-11 03:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xf0bf2c…
05-11 03:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x9a2424…
05-11 02:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xd2b2ef…
05-11 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xdd7747…
05-10 10:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcddc09…
05-10 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	33	5¢	$2	0x74319b…
05-10 10:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0x7376e7…
05-10 09:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7f3f5d…
05-10 09:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x409005…
05-10 09:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1b9160…
05-10 09:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0xa32ad8…
05-10 09:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfeffc3…
05-10 09:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x7b432e…
05-10 09:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6b4374…
05-10 09:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x781856…
05-10 09:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x6cc84a…
05-10 09:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbf3919…
05-10 08:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x017c81…
05-10 08:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xf551d1…
05-10 08:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x02a876…
05-10 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd34d07…
05-10 08:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfe4b9e…
05-10 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xee76d5…
05-10 07:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcbfda7…
05-10 07:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xaf180e…
05-10 07:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x240258…
05-10 07:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x516bde…
05-10 07:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xeee2ca…
05-10 06:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6c5f71…
05-10 06:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe14ace…
05-10 06:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x903eb5…
05-10 06:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xad846d…
05-10 06:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xef4df9…
05-10 06:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8b9fd2…
05-10 05:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	178	6¢	$10	0xeb727f…
05-10 05:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x077cc3…
05-10 05:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xdca72c…
05-10 05:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6ebfdd…
05-10 05:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xcb964c…
05-10 05:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x93c206…
05-10 05:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x35c703…
05-10 05:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x55966c…
05-10 05:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd25b58…
05-10 05:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x02c42f…
05-10 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0xf61988…
05-10 05:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x54ae89…
05-10 05:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xe58c8a…
05-10 05:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb748b7…
05-10 05:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x55b36a…
05-10 05:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x34548c…
05-10 05:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd004bc…
05-10 04:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe0e32a…
05-10 04:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xad6998…
05-10 04:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x14a019…
05-10 04:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0f8f7a…
05-10 04:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe12108…
05-10 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb27c83…
05-09 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x59916e…
05-09 19:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcb743f…
05-09 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x7075df…
05-09 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb4d5a7…
05-09 19:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x4b3016…
05-09 19:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0819f1…
05-09 19:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x333334…
05-09 19:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x68af2c…
05-09 19:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa0b42b…
05-09 19:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3880e2…
05-09 19:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x71a896…
05-09 19:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x64f39d…
05-09 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6caaeb…
05-09 19:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2863ac…
05-09 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd7233f…
05-09 18:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$9	0xee57fc…
05-09 18:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6c192f…
05-09 18:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xbeda46…
05-09 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcc9213…
05-09 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xcaf60b…
05-09 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78b71b…
05-09 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1196ca…
05-09 18:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x56ea76…
05-09 17:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xdb39ca…
05-09 17:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x36b0b7…
05-09 17:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa6cdd4…
05-09 17:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd69c0a…
05-09 17:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x864ad0…
05-09 17:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3470f9…