Bright-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

26 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$166

$166 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 09:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down		+38	$35	94¢	$36	+$1	05-10 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up		+10	$5	48¢	$5	$-0	05-10 09:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$51	40	27	+13	open	—	05-10 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	05-10 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$19	13	12	+1	open	—	05-10 07:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$14	0	14	-14	Up	$-0	05-10 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-10 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-09 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-10 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-10 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-09 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Up	+$1	05-09 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	0	2	-2	Down	$-1	05-09 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	0	5	-5	Up	+$1	05-10 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-09 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-10 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$0	0	4	-4	open	—	05-10 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x7b432e…
05-10 09:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6b4374…
05-10 09:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x6cc84a…
05-10 08:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xf551d1…
05-10 08:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x02a876…
05-10 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd34d07…
05-10 08:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfe4b9e…
05-10 07:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcbfda7…
05-10 07:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xaf180e…
05-10 06:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6c5f71…
05-10 05:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xcb964c…
05-10 05:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x02c42f…
05-10 05:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$3	0xf61988…
05-10 05:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x54ae89…
05-10 05:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xb748b7…
05-10 04:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xad6998…
05-10 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb27c83…
05-09 19:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x59916e…
05-09 19:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x7075df…
05-09 19:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb4d5a7…
05-09 19:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xa0b42b…
05-09 19:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x64f39d…
05-09 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd7233f…
05-09 18:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcc9213…
05-09 18:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xcaf60b…
05-09 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x78b71b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$7.18K	368	05-10 09:40
Imaginative-Duty-Improvement 0xa8dd…e770	20	$633	53	05-10 09:39
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	18	$1.12K	182	05-10 09:38
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	17	$2.59K	202	05-10 09:34
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	17	$1.75K	137	05-10 09:34
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	16	$1.20K	35	05-10 09:38
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	15	$6.74K	49	05-10 09:30
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$2.34K	85	05-10 09:34