Thorough-Pith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$177

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$64

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-30 17:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% 0% $-50

Politics

17% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	No	-28	$-10	89¢	$-25	$-15	05-30 17:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	-31	$-22	66¢	$-21	+$2	05-30 09:48
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	-16	$-14	86¢	$-14	+$0	05-30 09:50
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	-42	$-12	11¢	$-5	+$7	05-30 17:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$54	34	34	+1	open	—	05-30 09:48
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$30	124	0	+124	Yes	$-30	04-24 18:02
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$22	0	31	-31	open	—	05-30 09:48
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$20	42	0	+42	Yes	$-20	04-22 21:03
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	1	$14	0	16	-16	open	—	05-30 09:50
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	1	$12	0	42	-42	open	—	05-30 17:58
Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	1	$10	0	28	-28	open	—	05-30 17:58
Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	1	$10	75	0	+75	open	—	04-24 18:03
Will Mitch Clemmons advance from the CA-41 primary election?	1	$4	0	54	-54	open	—	05-30 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 17:58:11	Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?	No	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0xeaeea1…
05-30 17:58:04	Will Trump attend NATO Summit?	No	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0xd7b91e…
05-30 17:57:55	Will Mitch Clemmons advance from the CA-41 primary election?	No	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0x5d6b7f…
05-30 09:50:13	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x9a9fa5…
05-30 09:48:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x6b4c0a…
05-30 09:48:30	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x99a0dc…
04-24 18:03:36	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	No	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0xd43ffb…
04-24 18:02:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	124	24¢	$30	0xf66d6e…
04-22 21:10:50	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x233076…
04-22 21:03:26	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6b8684…