Wide-Redesign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

84.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$610

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 07-23 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 100% +$10

Other

8% 0% $-5

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+100	$30	30¢	$30	+$0	07-23 10:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$63	78	78	+0	open	—	05-03 19:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$58	48	48	+0	open	—	05-03 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$52	36	36	+0	open	—	05-04 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$50	129	29	+100	open	—	05-03 18:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	07-23 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	05-03 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$22	71	4	+67	open	—	05-03 18:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$20	119	0	+119	open	—	05-04 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	05-03 19:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$20	97	0	+97	open	—	05-03 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$20	56	0	+56	open	—	05-03 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	05-03 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-04 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$15	21	11	+10	Up	+$5	05-11 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 18:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$13	43	0	+43	open	—	03-29 11:28
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	2	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	03-29 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 19:49
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game1	4	$8	21	21	+0	open	—	03-29 11:24
cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	2	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	03-29 11:11
Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	2	$5	113	113	+0	Players	$-5	05-04 20:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 18:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	02-20 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 19:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	05-03 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 18:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-04 19:37
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Small Business Summit?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 10:57:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x942e27…
05-11 18:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	84¢	$10	0x6bae8d…
05-11 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x0e2ec5…
05-11 18:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x32ff3a…
05-11 18:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x381880…
05-11 18:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf23b17…
05-04 20:06:20	Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	FURIA fe	SELL	113	0¢	$0	0x8166bc…
05-04 20:03:04	Counter-Strike: Players vs FURIA fe (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	FURIA fe	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x0ad300…
05-04 19:56:34	Will Trump say "King" during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x64bea2…
05-04 19:54:40	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xeb7f00…
05-04 19:46:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2ee3d4…
05-04 19:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x176c69…
05-04 19:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0d7435…
05-04 19:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xc72fb7…
05-04 19:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9d45ce…
05-04 19:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	74¢	$22	0xe78240…
05-04 19:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x2df223…
05-04 19:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xb4554c…
05-04 19:20:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0xfaa380…
05-04 19:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x383024…
05-04 18:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xe7a6ae…
05-04 18:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xe55404…
05-04 18:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb8924a…
05-03 20:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0xdd05a6…
05-03 20:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x29b299…
05-03 20:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xaa9ca7…
05-03 20:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x14abb3…
05-03 20:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7e32be…
05-03 20:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xab9bd2…
05-03 20:02:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x109690…
05-03 19:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0a9282…
05-03 19:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xcaebfc…
05-03 19:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x12564e…
05-03 19:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x5127b3…
05-03 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa9f831…
05-03 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xdc1715…
05-03 19:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xca0174…
05-03 19:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	69	43¢	$30	0xf519bc…
05-03 19:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xb11c64…
05-03 19:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xfa4383…
05-03 19:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x92407b…
05-03 19:26:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0xd44c50…
05-03 19:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x0d8d5b…
05-03 19:16:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa9e518…
05-03 19:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9fff3c…
05-03 19:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	48	80¢	$38	0x5e8cb8…
05-03 19:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xd04b98…
05-03 19:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x15dcf1…
05-03 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x12df08…
05-03 18:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xa132d9…
05-03 18:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x852f10…
05-03 18:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31c3df…
05-03 18:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x47cc2f…
05-03 18:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xf79283…
05-03 18:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf9e4b2…
05-03 18:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd0d30c…
05-03 18:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x62d20d…
05-03 18:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2d1c65…
03-29 11:28:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	43	31¢	$13	0xaeb3f4…
03-29 11:25:08	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x8dcbde…
03-29 11:24:06	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game1	Natus Vincere	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x4b5bf6…
03-29 11:11:52	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x93f442…
03-29 11:11:28	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0xcbb89f…
03-29 11:05:02	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29	Natus Vincere	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xf4eb21…
03-29 10:55:20	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game1	Natus Vincere	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x4830cd…
03-29 10:53:14	btc updown 5m 1774781400	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbf29b4…
03-29 10:32:16	cs2 vit navi 2026 03 29 game1	Natus Vincere	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xd8c617…
03-29 10:27:48	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x388132…
02-20 17:23:02	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x0080e7…
02-20 17:17:44	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa6a6ee…
02-20 17:14:50	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b347e…