Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

Trades

435

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 08-22 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Tech

43% 80% +$1

Politics

28% 50% $-2

Other

25% 60% +$0

Crypto

5% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	59	$3.4K	1,688	1,776	-88	Yes	+$0	06-12 18:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	65	$1.9K	1,120	1,031	+89	No	$-2	07-01 05:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	32	$1.8K	999	815	+184	open	—	08-22 13:53
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	7	$509	339	255	+84	No	$-1	07-31 11:19
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	37	$375	180	200	-20	No	$-0	02-26 15:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	43	$357	166	196	-30	Yes	$-0	06-12 19:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	32	$335	169	169	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 02:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	30	$307	168	156	+12	Yes	+$1	02-23 21:34
will binance be accused of insider trading	23	$245	132	120	+12	No	+$1	02-26 11:59
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	22	$217	109	109	+0	No	+$0	02-27 07:24
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	18	$187	96	96	+0	No	+$0	02-27 04:29
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	18	$176	90	90	+0	No	+$0	02-27 03:14
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	17	$175	88	88	+0	No	+$0	02-25 14:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	8	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$0	02-26 16:39
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	10	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$0	02-23 15:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$58	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 08:12
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	4	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-07 15:24
new stranger things episode released by february 28 564 799 718 478 643 635 547	2	$42	14	28	-14	No	$-0	02-24 15:01
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	02-20 13:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$13	0	15	-15	open	—	06-08 02:22
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	08-15 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 13:53:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x2c01e3…
08-21 13:25:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xeb7fbe…
08-21 10:54:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x7c326a…
08-20 23:47:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x9b5320…
08-19 23:07:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x788ada…
08-19 17:49:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0x3e947e…
08-17 15:07:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xcbd8b8…
08-16 15:22:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x4e006d…
08-15 06:49:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xd6eb27…
08-15 06:28:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x8892a0…
08-15 04:54:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x4b1f98…
08-15 04:52:19	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x88b556…
08-15 03:54:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x987afb…
08-15 03:31:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xc45621…
08-15 01:27:25	anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x2652c1…
08-15 00:26:42	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0x2f13f5…
08-14 20:32:03	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x9336e2…
08-14 17:22:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0x5290fe…
08-14 14:46:40	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x7c4bcd…
08-14 12:56:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x03c1d9…
08-14 12:50:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	76	98¢	$74	0x78c001…
08-14 12:45:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9fdfaa…
08-14 10:27:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	92	98¢	$90	0x88984d…
08-14 10:23:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x3cd843…
08-14 10:21:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x70f4b9…
08-14 09:19:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x381227…
08-14 09:18:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	60	98¢	$58	0xad14df…
08-14 08:56:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x901485…
08-14 07:50:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xc965a6…
08-14 07:31:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x20e688…
08-14 06:29:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x7b2d93…
08-13 18:33:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0x10228b…
07-31 11:19:12	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x765cb6…
07-31 09:47:36	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x07e88c…
07-29 22:22:39	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xca76d3…
07-27 15:13:25	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x4e2f6b…
07-27 07:03:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xcd0087…
07-24 14:20:16	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x2c8764…
07-24 10:57:36	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x1965af…
07-01 05:54:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0bf90d…
07-01 00:03:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x869ab4…
06-30 23:05:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x47af63…
06-29 11:48:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2c455d…
06-29 04:17:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xe919c5…
06-28 23:34:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x065f5d…
06-28 09:02:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x371271…
06-27 09:22:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x647fb0…
06-26 15:48:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x97c6d1…
06-26 14:57:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xdd808e…
06-25 17:02:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x4a3e99…
06-25 16:30:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x02d0ce…
06-25 12:44:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x501baf…
06-25 11:14:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x336d2f…
06-25 11:11:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa4605f…
06-25 09:12:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xa84fe1…
06-25 08:32:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xc0fd41…
06-24 05:34:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0xf2258e…
06-22 16:31:31	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x318076…
06-22 14:32:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x3f73f5…
06-22 03:48:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3c3434…
06-22 03:26:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfccdf3…
06-22 03:26:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8fc79f…
06-22 00:18:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3f084a…
06-22 00:16:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xad6ee2…
06-21 19:13:49	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbd07eb…
06-21 17:33:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe3eb85…
06-21 17:03:23	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x9c24a8…
06-21 16:41:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd34cd1…
06-19 04:02:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xee2e53…
06-19 03:09:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8c7df7…
06-18 17:11:05	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x888d23…
06-18 17:06:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x48ad13…
06-18 15:49:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd2ece1…
06-18 12:40:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x2bc6f0…
06-18 09:23:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x808990…
06-18 08:34:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x4a9a5e…
06-18 07:23:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf3e9e0…
06-18 06:29:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x84ce12…
06-18 05:29:07	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x278cad…
06-18 05:27:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x3933c6…
06-18 05:20:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xae5fef…
06-18 05:12:29	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xc163b5…
06-18 04:27:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x1e27b7…
06-18 00:41:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x6959f4…
06-17 22:38:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xf9e070…
06-17 22:37:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x204be0…
06-17 22:08:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xf6c6c2…
06-17 22:00:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x6b025e…
06-17 21:24:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x40992e…
06-17 20:59:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x0cf6b7…
06-17 14:59:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x8a7d4f…
06-17 14:59:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x38f587…
06-17 14:26:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xee7760…
06-17 07:06:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xe6d59c…
06-17 06:52:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	3¢	$3	0xe3c773…
06-17 06:32:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0xac4ddf…
06-17 06:31:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xa795a8…
06-17 06:21:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x7fb867…
06-17 06:21:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	89	96¢	$86	0x3a43f7…
06-17 06:21:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	4¢	$3	0x202948…