Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$868

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-05 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Sports

87% 89% +$53

Other

7% 50% +$2

Politics

4% 0% -$22

Crypto

2% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+12	$5	34¢	$4	-$1	09-16 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04	2	$477	304	304	+0	Bills	-$3	01-03 03:41
nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04 spread home 6pt5	2	$105	68	68	+0	Bills	+$30	01-05 00:51
nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04 1h spread home 4pt5	2	$102	52	52	+0	Bills	+$2	01-05 00:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$26	37	37	+0	open	—	10-04 17:20
Chargers vs. Seahawks	2	$23	13	13	+0	Seahawks	+$3	10-04 22:07
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$22	52	0	+52	No	-$22	01-02 00:11
US recession by end of 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	10-03 20:08
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	2	$17	15	15	+0	Raiders	+$3	10-04 22:06
Spread: Lions (-3.5)	2	$15	10	10	+0	Panthers	+$5	10-05 03:00
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	2	$13	9	9	+0	Colts	+$3	09-21 03:44
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	09-29 18:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$6	10	0	+10	Yes	+$4	09-10 06:27
Spread: Titans (-1.5)	1	$5	10	0	+10	Jets	+$5	09-10 06:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	09-16 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	-$5	09-18 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$4	8	3	+5	Up	+$5	09-21 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	09-21 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	36	0	+36	Up	-$2	09-21 01:43
will pete carroll be fired by february 28	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	01-01 23:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2	6	6	+0	No	-$1	09-16 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	09-21 01:29
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	01-01 23:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	09-21 01:46
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$1	7	0	+7	Yes	+$6	01-02 20:27
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	01-01 23:34
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Gold	+$0	01-01 23:36
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	01-01 23:35
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-01 23:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 03:00:38	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Panthers	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdc4dc2…
10-04 22:07:32	Chargers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x6101f8…
10-04 22:06:28	Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	Raiders	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x8396f0…
10-04 21:25:14	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Panthers	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x150afa…
10-04 17:23:38	Chargers vs. Seahawks	Seahawks	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1e154e…
10-04 17:22:14	Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)	Raiders	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf21973…
10-04 17:20:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	37	16¢	$6	0xc23616…
10-03 20:08:07	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xa172d2…
09-29 18:38:05	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xbf3009…
09-24 05:40:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x2bad20…
09-21 03:44:46	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Colts	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xac144b…
09-21 01:52:29	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9dc625…
09-21 01:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3c1bcb…
09-21 01:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5a3b4e…
09-21 01:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6f8090…
09-21 01:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x1fc75a…
09-21 01:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xde31e6…
09-21 01:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3be2ae…
09-21 01:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbda00f…
09-21 01:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x65256a…
09-21 01:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe1bcc0…
09-18 05:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xee06c0…
09-17 02:24:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x878e4b…
09-16 20:08:58	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xed954f…
09-16 20:04:25	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x51911b…
09-16 05:15:52	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6eecbb…
09-16 04:05:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0xd52fd1…
09-14 00:15:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2ee7a1…
09-10 06:27:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1961c5…
09-10 06:24:42	Spread: Titans (-1.5)	Jets	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5491a0…
01-05 00:51:35	nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04 spread home 6pt5	Bills	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x0534ef…
01-05 00:50:51	nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04 1h spread home 4pt5	Bills	SELL	52	99¢	$52	0x96dd8b…
01-03 03:41:13	nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04	Bills	SELL	304	78¢	$237	0x663442…
01-02 20:27:03	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x45dcda…
01-02 19:55:09	nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04	Bills	BUY	304	79¢	$240	0x0ec234…
01-02 00:15:05	nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04 spread home 6pt5	Bills	BUY	68	55¢	$38	0xb8e4c9…
01-02 00:11:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x8aaa8d…
01-01 23:38:11	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe70500…
01-01 23:36:35	First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x81930e…
01-01 23:36:15	nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe82963…
01-01 23:35:23	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe206fd…
01-01 23:34:27	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2ff76b…
01-01 23:33:57	will pete carroll be fired by february 28	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x83ccc7…
01-01 18:28:05	nfl nyj buf 2026 01 04 1h spread home 4pt5	Bills	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x2fe550…