Immense-Fax — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

29.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

9 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10

$10 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-15 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 0% $-2

Politics

32% — —

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No		-1	$-1	99¢	$-1	$-0	05-11 06:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No		-1	$-1	96¢	$-1	$-0	05-13 06:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$3	1	2	-1	open	—	05-11 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	1	$2	0	4	-4	Yes	$-2	05-13 09:53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-13 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 17?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 17?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 09:41
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 10?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-10 06:51
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 14?	1	$0	0	3	-3	open	—	05-14 19:06
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 14?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	05-14 19:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 09:41:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8f82ab…
05-15 09:41:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x408afa…
05-14 19:06:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4e8e18…
05-14 19:06:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 14?	Yes	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x6b1e8a…
05-13 09:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x30d91e…
05-13 06:13:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x46f225…
05-11 06:44:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf22bca…
05-10 06:51:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4f39bb…
05-04 21:09:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x221a74…