Rude-Sow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$101.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-08 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$4

Crypto

30% 100% +$0

Other

27% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	215	$39.6K	20,670	20,469	+200	open	—	02-11 11:12
another us government shutdown by february 14	74	$16.5K	8,978	9,199	-222	open	—	02-13 05:35
bitcoin above 60k on february 12	32	$8.5K	4,305	4,267	+38	open	—	02-12 13:57
bitcoin above 72k on february 10	19	$6.1K	3,200	2,913	+287	open	—	02-10 15:41
bitcoin above 58k on february 12	10	$5.8K	4,600	1,200	+3,400	open	—	02-12 15:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	31	$5.0K	2,825	2,600	+225	open	—	03-16 12:46
bitcoin above 60k on february 13	10	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-13 07:28
ethereum above 1700 on february 13	1	$2.6K	2,631	0	+2,631	open	—	02-13 15:42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	19	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	02-12 13:32
ethereum above 2400 on february 10	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-10 15:16
hum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 neg3pt99	3	$1.9K	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	02-11 14:25
mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	14	$1.9K	1,855	0	+1,855	open	—	02-13 15:05
tmus quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt07	10	$1.4K	1,427	0	+1,427	open	—	02-11 14:22
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	4	$416	210	210	+0	open	—	02-21 03:46
bitcoin above 76k on february 12	2	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	02-12 13:59
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$236	240	0	+240	open	—	04-05 13:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$220	220	0	+220	open	—	03-06 14:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$217	220	0	+220	open	—	03-30 12:44
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game handicap away 1pt5	1	$213	220	0	+220	open	—	03-19 09:11
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	3	$205	104	104	+0	open	—	01-31 06:33
ethereum above 1700 on march 10	1	$205	205	0	+205	open	—	03-10 10:34
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	02-27 13:11
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	02-21 04:06
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	2	$150	111	111	+0	open	—	05-24 13:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	05-13 05:48
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$130	130	0	+130	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-23 06:30
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-13 16:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	04-29 08:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$110	114	0	+114	No	+$4	05-10 07:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:10:57	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x38d505…
06-01 10:58:22	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	SELL	95	29¢	$28	0xe61cd5…
06-01 04:17:38	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xf4b437…
05-24 13:38:54	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	SELL	111	45¢	$50	0x05986a…
05-24 05:40:20	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xb5a9b8…
05-13 05:48:59	LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3feeae…
05-13 05:48:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xda713d…
05-10 07:44:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	114	96¢	$110	0x6a23cf…
05-07 14:16:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x4726d7…
04-29 08:02:58	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd137f5…
04-29 08:02:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xbde161…
04-23 06:30:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x265751…
04-16 07:50:34	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf8c635…
04-05 13:39:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	240	98¢	$236	0x4a35dd…
03-30 12:44:50	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	220	98¢	$217	0xeeca4d…
03-19 09:11:39	lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game handicap away 1pt5	Gen.G	BUY	220	97¢	$213	0x88a225…
03-16 12:46:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x0fcc99…
03-13 16:09:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x739742…
03-13 15:59:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x7b81df…
03-10 10:34:29	ethereum above 1700 on march 10	Yes	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x281a65…
03-06 14:21:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9b37d9…
03-06 14:12:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xaf196a…
03-06 13:16:11	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa41106…
03-03 08:31:43	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xaae3b4…
02-27 13:11:05	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0x624889…
02-25 09:12:28	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x06f67c…
02-25 09:11:42	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2f2ef6…
02-21 04:06:56	will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x90b337…
02-21 04:02:46	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x74d952…
02-21 03:46:42	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0x208118…
02-19 03:55:32	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2ea8a6…
02-19 03:55:00	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x50c2bf…
02-19 03:54:46	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b82b0…
02-14 12:53:45	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	117	99¢	$115	0xab5dad…
02-14 10:11:31	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0x02261a…
02-14 09:41:11	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26bc5c…
02-14 03:53:05	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb61b6c…
02-13 15:42:15	ethereum above 1700 on february 13	Yes	BUY	2,631	100¢	$2,629	0xd524ff…
02-13 15:05:23	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xbfaf7c…
02-13 14:42:45	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x474cb4…
02-13 14:31:39	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9c94ea…
02-13 14:27:05	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xe1b430…
02-13 14:22:47	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xabc71d…
02-13 14:09:01	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xda990b…
02-13 14:07:43	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc5956e…
02-13 13:40:37	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x005aff…
02-13 13:07:59	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70546b…
02-13 13:04:17	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc04e71…
02-13 13:01:09	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e7479…
02-13 12:57:13	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc51fe8…
02-13 12:55:01	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb0382…
02-13 12:47:25	mrna quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 13 2026 neg2pt6	Yes	BUY	1,459	100¢	$1,458	0x1cc0f5…
02-13 11:02:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	909	92¢	$836	0x11c307…
02-13 10:59:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x2cefb3…
02-13 10:53:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	350	92¢	$322	0x77d6d9…
02-13 10:51:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x05e18d…
02-13 10:49:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x3168fd…
02-13 10:41:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1caaf1…
02-13 10:36:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xeb4146…
02-13 10:32:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x616667…
02-13 10:32:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x2d9d55…
02-13 10:31:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x43ab5c…
02-13 10:28:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf79624…
02-13 10:28:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0xbc214c…
02-13 10:26:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x084faa…
02-13 10:21:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x3c99b2…
02-13 10:17:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xae453d…
02-13 10:16:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xca4681…
02-13 10:08:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1a91ed…
02-13 10:00:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe0440a…
02-13 09:53:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9f8cf5…
02-13 09:46:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x9f0b47…
02-13 09:44:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xefa724…
02-13 09:44:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xaee02c…
02-13 09:28:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xb67c16…
02-13 09:22:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xce2411…
02-13 09:20:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xcca04e…
02-13 09:15:03	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd04a62…
02-13 09:13:53	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9bc216…
02-13 09:04:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x43e10e…
02-13 09:02:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	914	92¢	$841	0x606fd1…
02-13 08:23:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,600	92¢	$2,392	0x7069f1…
02-13 07:28:13	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6861dc…
02-13 07:24:11	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdb0d7c…
02-13 07:09:11	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xa736b3…
02-13 07:06:13	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	1,104	100¢	$1,100	0x62ebbc…
02-13 07:03:51	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3f5692…
02-13 07:01:53	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xefb74b…
02-13 06:47:09	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	324	100¢	$322	0x216346…
02-13 06:31:19	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2f3d2c…
02-13 06:30:33	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7f906f…
02-13 06:25:09	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,495	0x9ba674…
02-13 05:35:11	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	2,000	52¢	$1,037	0x2c7bb7…
02-13 05:30:45	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x67399e…
02-13 04:03:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$961	0x66dacd…
02-13 04:03:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	993	97¢	$958	0x447ebe…
02-13 04:02:47	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	993	96¢	$956	0xe7e4ec…
02-13 03:59:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x810b67…
02-13 03:57:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0x96f5da…
02-13 03:52:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	422	96¢	$406	0xce9b82…