Clear-Cut-Thump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

114

lifetime

Volume

$714

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-01 17:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-12

Crypto

35% 33% $-0

Politics

21% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	15	$52	64	47	+18	open	—	05-04 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	05-04 08:54
Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	2	$41	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 15:34
will starmer say mr speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 914	2	$36	32	31	+1	open	—	04-22 14:00
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$34	24	24	+1	open	—	04-29 12:28
Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	04-28 15:34
Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	04-28 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	4	$24	22	13	+9	open	—	05-04 08:16
will starmer say labor or labour 3 times during the next prime ministers questions event 323	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	04-22 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:08
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 695	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-22 13:59
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Election" 3+ times during WHCA Dinner events?	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	04-22 17:52
Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Bax	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	05-01 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	3	$18	20	9	+10	open	—	05-04 10:32
Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 19:05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$16	41	41	+0	open	—	05-13 06:21
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 10:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	3	$11	186	186	+0	open	—	05-13 06:22
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 09:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-09 17:07
will starmer say surveillance during the next prime ministers questions event 961	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-21 15:33
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	04-28 07:37
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5)	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-24 07:12
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 07:37
Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-29 09:15
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-29 09:15
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	1	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	04-29 09:16
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	1	$6	12	0	+12	Under	$-6	05-05 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:59:07	Austria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6afa40…
05-21 17:39:19	AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xa2012f…
05-18 14:34:49	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8d9c7f…
05-17 15:11:09	Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x40cb64…
05-15 15:35:53	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe15c00…
05-14 20:54:25	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xeed795…
05-14 17:40:38	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x72ea67…
05-13 06:22:14	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	186	2¢	$4	0x180fc7…
05-13 06:21:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0x93357c…
05-13 06:21:48	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x6fb30e…
05-09 17:07:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0x8f561d…
05-06 13:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcdddee…
05-06 13:13:34	Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x9cf909…
05-06 13:13:28	Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xb9fb94…
05-06 13:13:24	Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x291af7…
05-06 13:13:18	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x96a427…
05-06 13:13:16	Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x5da41b…
05-06 06:42:14	Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7797db…
05-06 06:40:12	Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x872929…
05-06 06:40:04	Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xed57aa…
05-06 06:39:14	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x7cf925…
05-06 06:38:48	Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe17a78…
05-06 06:23:38	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5a9886…
05-05 21:35:08	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd528cd…
05-05 21:33:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8f1117…
05-05 21:33:04	San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x658d79…
05-05 12:56:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Anna Bondar	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x257860…
05-05 12:53:46	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Anna Bondar	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0bdd4b…
05-05 12:49:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Anna Bondar	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xffe42c…
05-05 05:34:06	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xbc42a3…
05-05 05:16:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	146	4¢	$6	0xad7222…
05-05 05:16:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x96239c…
05-05 05:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x1a0570…
05-05 05:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0xfcbb4f…
05-05 05:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8aa9f1…
05-05 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5bd33b…
05-04 21:53:04	Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7a89e4…
05-04 11:01:56	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x457f40…
05-04 11:01:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x84eedf…
05-04 11:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0a0507…
05-04 11:01:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdcbeda…
05-04 10:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xb1af44…
05-04 10:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x817ded…
05-04 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x42a99b…
05-04 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb5cb25…
05-04 10:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6c2094…
05-04 08:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x6eacd9…
05-04 08:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0xc983e1…
05-04 08:45:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1b4bee…
05-04 08:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2f8bfd…
05-04 08:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb3da20…
05-04 08:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x67ba05…
05-04 08:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x2849ba…
05-04 08:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x76fa65…
05-04 08:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x30fe15…
05-04 08:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x04e8a2…
05-04 08:15:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x72e4c1…
05-04 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x156c9a…
05-04 08:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf4659a…
05-04 08:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdc14ed…
05-04 07:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbfdba8…
05-04 07:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x54c2cc…
05-04 07:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x05f9aa…
05-04 07:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xf1be36…
05-04 07:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xd227cb…
05-04 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc29464…
05-04 07:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x74a116…
05-04 07:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x482593…
05-04 07:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x59f0c4…
05-04 07:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2f28de…
05-04 07:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x41159e…
05-04 07:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2798ef…
05-04 07:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x53451c…
05-04 07:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6de4f1…
05-04 07:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3ab65e…
05-04 07:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7cf32c…
05-04 07:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd780a8…
05-04 07:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x685219…
05-04 07:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6dd5d8…
05-04 07:20:52	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x4fb17f…
05-02 18:38:40	Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x174b2f…
05-02 18:38:20	Will Bernie Sanders say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in Michigan?	No	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x638a77…
05-02 18:37:46	Will Bernie Sanders say "ICE" 3+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf4fdd1…
05-02 18:37:34	Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 10+ times in Michigan?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9cf13b…
05-01 19:32:06	Abidjan 2: Niels Visker vs Florent Bax	Florent Bax	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xff3846…
04-29 19:05:40	Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd0d0b…
04-29 12:28:44	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x586e13…
04-29 09:19:04	Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x0547d9…
04-29 09:18:06	Will Powell say "Oil" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x783856…
04-29 09:16:40	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5a7f76…
04-29 09:16:24	Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x341db8…
04-29 09:15:56	Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb0a216…
04-29 09:15:32	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe86595…
04-28 15:34:24	Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xf98c45…
04-28 15:34:16	Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa606ab…
04-28 15:34:08	Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x85eeba…
04-28 07:37:38	Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x22f974…
04-28 07:37:24	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xab5a43…
04-28 07:37:24	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xa5163d…
04-26 15:14:34	Will Trump say "Windsor" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa4e149…