Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$91,036

Trades

3,421

Unique wallets

680

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-05-04

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-04 10:45

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Sad-Gyro +26,595 Profitable-Disengagement +5,230 Grave-Coconut +3,932 Idolized-Scallops +3,516 Favorite-Sunflower +2,690 Energetic-Hosiery +2,156 Tan-Blade +2,128 Homely-Skyscraper +1,959

NO holders

Neglected-Climb-Persimmon +28,070 Idolized-Scallops +7,034 Back-Consent +6,070 Untrue-Packet +4,646 (anon) +2,727 Yummy-Stacking +2,133 Energetic-Hosiery +1,901 Favorite-Sunflower +1,889

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -4.4¢ (top1%: 87% YES on $30.2K vs crowd: 91% YES on $86.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	88	$58.2K	$4.3K	+$53.9K
🐬 Dolphin	168	$17.1K	$2.0K	+$15.1K
🐟 Fish	237	$2.6K	$821	+$1.8K
🦐 Shrimp	187	$1.0K	$313	+$706

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	103	$26.2K	$3.9K	+$22.3K
🏆 Top 5%	90	$6.1K	$538	+$5.5K
✅ Top 10%	44	$609	$96	+$513
Median	37	$331	$25	+$306
Below median	171	$1.6K	$683	+$878
⚠️ Bottom 10%	85	$675	$276	+$399
🔻 Bottom 5%	104	$5.4K	$574	+$4.8K
💀 Bottom 1%	46	$38.1K	$1.3K	+$36.7K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Neglected-Climb-Persimmon 0xe39b…b2ac	Down	+28,070	$32	$32	2	05-04 10:41
Sad-Gyro 0xbc9b…1b9c	Up	+26,595	$26,559	$26,559	8	05-04 10:41
Idolized-Scallops 0xe1d6…907c	Down	+7,034	$451	$451	62	05-04 10:41
Back-Consent 0xebac…67e5	Down	+6,070	$10	$10	1	05-04 10:40
Profitable-Disengagement 0x2528…b041	Up	+5,230	$5,224	$5,224	9	05-04 10:44
Untrue-Packet 0x4a07…55d4	Down	+4,646	$500	$500	2	05-04 10:32
Grave-Coconut 0x986b…bdc6	Up	+3,932	$3,928	$3,928	2	05-04 10:40
Idolized-Scallops 0xe1d6…907c	Up	+3,516	$2,963	$2,963	21	05-04 10:38
(anonymous) 0x3a84…4d44	Down	+2,727	$430	$430	57	05-04 10:41
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Up	+2,690	$2,505	$2,505	23	05-04 10:40
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Up	+2,156	$2,022	$2,022	26	05-04 10:41
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	Down	+2,133	$608	$608	87	05-04 10:34
Tan-Blade 0x39ba…c00c	Up	+2,128	$1,848	$1,848	26	05-04 10:37
Homely-Skyscraper 0x4bec…b8f8	Up	+1,959	$1,900	$1,900	1	05-04 10:34
Yummy-Stacking 0x6566…478b	Up	+1,926	$1,698	$1,698	119	05-04 10:40
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	Down	+1,901	$322	$322	71	05-04 10:33
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	Down	+1,889	$345	$345	42	05-04 10:34
Odd-Statue 0x80ea…c728	Up	+1,872	$1,760	$1,760	20	05-04 10:34
Stiff-Pocketwatch 0x931b…7485	Up	+1,717	$1,700	$1,700	2	05-04 10:37
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Down	+1,712	$202	$202	52	05-04 10:40
(anonymous) 0x3a84…4d44	Up	+1,632	$1,211	$1,211	30	05-04 10:42
Definitive-Curtain 0xbcde…8dda	Down	+1,500	$2	$2	7	05-04 10:40
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Up	+1,282	$1,158	$1,158	33	05-04 10:35
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Up	+1,267	$1,140	$1,140	19	05-04 10:42
Ugly-Armour 0x9700…798f	Down	+1,242	$600	$600	1	05-04 10:31
(anonymous) 0x7a83…41c9	Down	+1,175	$2	$2	1	05-04 10:41
Sorrowful-Software 0x93b1…746e	Up	+1,099	$775	$775	2	05-04 10:32
Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e	Down	+1,045	$1	$1	6	05-04 10:42
Pleased-County 0xb21e…99bb	Up	+1,001	$1,000	$1,000	2	05-04 10:42
Impolite-Trader 0x9665…e9b4	Up	+1,000	$940	$940	1	05-04 10:33
Genuine-Logic 0x0815…90e3	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	5	05-04 10:36
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Down	+909	$113	$113	33	05-04 10:34
Spirited-Sorghum 0xad76…c715	Up	+888	$883	$883	38	05-04 10:40
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	Up	+800	$737	$737	4	05-04 10:33
Striped-Alder 0x8345…dd93	Up	+800	$780	$1,180	11	05-04 10:40
Delirious-Car 0x794e…b978	Down	+798	$5	$5	5	05-04 10:40
Glamorous-Counsel 0x7423…f83f	Down	+759	$79	$79	2	05-04 10:33
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	Up	+722	$664	$664	14	05-04 10:33
Leafy-Blackbird 0x3abb…3405	Down	+624	$50	$50	5	05-04 10:33
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	Up	+600	$552	$552	2	05-04 10:33
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Down	+594	$158	$158	25	05-04 10:35
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	Up	+543	$474	$474	20	05-04 10:36
Shocking-Decimal 0xed8d…a9d2	Down	+530	$121	$121	11	05-04 10:32
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	Down	+517	$13	$13	2	05-04 10:37
Overdue-Bat 0x55f0…2f85	Down	+500	$1	$1	1	05-04 10:41
Jubilant-Carriage 0x978d…7653	Up	+488	$448	$448	7	05-04 10:33
(anonymous) 0x5c60…df47	Down	+480	$52	$52	2	05-04 10:32
Humble-Gripper 0x6c47…bcb4	Up	+467	$266	$266	37	05-04 10:31
Ornate-Outrun 0x7c69…5aeb	Up	+464	$464	$464	1	05-04 10:41
Tinted-Ownership 0xaac2…8e77	Down	+450	$4	$4	1	05-04 10:36
Elaborate-Embellishment 0x9cfc…e1c0	Down	+450	$4	$4	2	05-04 10:36
Untidy-Spaghetti 0x8c90…a904	Down	+446	$89	$89	2	05-04 10:32
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	Down	+427	$109	$109	31	05-04 10:34
Fitting-Elite 0x9825…821d	Down	+421	$27	$27	4	05-04 10:37
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+416	$364	$364	16	05-04 10:33
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	Down	+393	$101	$101	30	05-04 10:33
Acceptable-Level 0xa0e3…2b32	Down	+385	$4	$4	8	05-04 10:37
Drafty-Teapot 0x1dc2…4a25	Up	+367	$358	$358	7	05-04 10:38
Hard-Yogurt 0x5187…d7ec	Up	+362	$280	$280	24	05-04 10:32
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	Up	+356	$290	$290	33	05-04 10:38