Jubilant-Carriage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.0%

Resolved

105

Trades

12,451

lifetime

Volume

$477.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-06 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% $-3,585

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 352 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776862800	4	$660	857	+857	open	—	04-22 13:09
btc updown 15m 1776390300	4	$542	636	+636	open	—	04-17 01:51
eth updown 15m 1777034700	9	$521	614	+614	open	—	04-24 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	4	$517	587	+587	open	—	05-04 09:11
btc updown 15m 1774718100	3	$508	567	+567	open	—	03-28 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	4	$506	584	+584	open	—	05-01 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$505	611	+611	open	—	05-01 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$505	591	+591	open	—	05-04 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$505	580	+580	open	—	05-04 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$503	563	+563	open	—	05-03 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$503	554	+554	Down	+$51	05-04 20:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	9	$503	568	+568	open	—	05-01 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	3	$503	565	+565	open	—	05-04 01:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	7	$503	575	+575	open	—	05-03 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$502	579	+579	open	—	05-02 02:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	6	$502	589	+589	open	—	05-04 02:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	5	$502	545	+545	Down	+$43	05-04 20:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	6	$502	556	+556	open	—	04-29 19:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$502	544	+544	open	—	05-03 20:49
btc updown 15m 1774917900	2	$502	620	+620	open	—	03-31 00:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$502	560	+560	open	—	05-04 03:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	7	$502	546	+546	open	—	05-02 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$502	583	+583	open	—	05-03 01:01
eth updown 15m 1774948500	4	$502	596	+596	open	—	03-31 09:18
btc updown 15m 1775078100	7	$502	566	+566	open	—	04-01 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	6	$502	550	+550	open	—	04-29 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$502	550	+550	open	—	05-02 01:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$501	560	+560	open	—	05-04 01:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	4	$501	533	+533	open	—	05-02 23:37
eth updown 15m 1775599200	3	$501	567	+567	open	—	04-07 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 10:09:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xa050dc…
05-06 07:11:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xc7ac81…
05-06 07:11:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	130	93¢	$121	0x12a225…
05-06 07:11:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	91¢	$52	0xe77159…
05-06 07:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	137	94¢	$129	0x3875ba…
05-06 07:11:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	85	88¢	$74	0xea52c4…
05-06 06:26:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x18a412…
05-06 06:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x903b4a…
05-06 06:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0x3242bf…
05-06 06:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8317ab…
05-06 06:09:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	109	87¢	$95	0xcb95f9…
05-06 04:51:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	131	88¢	$116	0x28511c…
05-06 04:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	78	88¢	$69	0x97fb6c…
05-06 04:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	104	84¢	$88	0x833334…
05-06 00:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x9493c3…
05-06 00:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x62b818…
05-06 00:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	85¢	$107	0x1921cf…
05-06 00:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	226	90¢	$203	0x318f09…
05-06 00:37:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x77fc3f…
05-06 00:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	39	88¢	$34	0x486246…
05-06 00:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	88¢	$90	0x37b276…
05-06 00:37:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x882939…
05-06 00:37:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x39b37f…
05-06 00:37:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	90¢	$52	0x29be47…
05-06 00:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	173	92¢	$159	0x0afaf1…
05-06 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x41d2b1…
05-06 00:22:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	88	93¢	$82	0x5d05ea…
05-06 00:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xe7c863…
05-06 00:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$23	0x4e85c8…
05-06 00:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xb20dd2…
05-06 00:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x8bee9b…
05-06 00:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	90¢	$91	0xe0dad3…
05-06 00:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xc9612f…
05-06 00:07:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xeaeae6…
05-06 00:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x85e5ac…
05-06 00:07:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x659601…
05-05 23:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6afbd3…
05-05 23:51:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x83496c…
05-05 23:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	98	91¢	$89	0xc468ee…
05-05 23:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x3196e9…
05-05 23:51:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xc8d1fa…
05-05 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x5981e9…
05-05 23:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0x975528…
05-05 23:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	192	84¢	$161	0x98ba04…
05-05 23:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xfed18e…
05-05 21:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x55f30a…
05-05 21:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	233	88¢	$205	0x4853c4…
05-05 21:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xe4195e…
05-05 21:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	108	89¢	$97	0xcfc37b…
05-05 21:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	137	91¢	$125	0x4a1d49…
05-05 20:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xe00e50…
05-05 20:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x4359ca…
05-05 20:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x53db41…
05-05 20:36:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xb09a70…
05-05 20:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xf6cbd5…
05-05 20:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x1375bf…
05-05 20:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$15	0xdd78ff…
05-05 20:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	104	92¢	$96	0xa22890…
05-05 20:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0x923d8a…
05-05 20:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x728cfc…
05-05 20:36:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x686aac…
05-05 20:36:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x61d549…
05-05 20:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xc0e37d…
05-05 20:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x5bddd2…
05-05 20:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	88¢	$34	0xb1ca86…
05-05 20:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x63be18…
05-05 20:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	87¢	$31	0x499c0f…
05-05 20:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0x0c206f…
05-05 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	155	88¢	$136	0xe3b8fe…
05-05 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0xc65f42…
05-05 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x5ee542…
05-05 20:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0x494f46…
05-05 20:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x132e11…
05-05 20:26:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x48874c…
05-05 20:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	451	86¢	$385	0x08f274…
05-05 20:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	449	82¢	$370	0xbd53dd…
05-05 19:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xb3bcca…
05-05 19:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xea444b…
05-05 19:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	128	94¢	$120	0xd823ba…
05-05 19:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	93¢	$14	0xcbf621…
05-05 19:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	44	93¢	$41	0x1df93b…
05-05 19:52:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xa6c9d2…
05-05 19:25:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x89e0ea…
05-05 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xdfcbc4…
05-05 19:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	134	89¢	$119	0xe4782f…
05-05 19:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x853f37…
05-05 19:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	165	89¢	$147	0x982c98…
05-05 17:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	61	85¢	$52	0x49544e…
05-05 17:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x79ede1…
05-05 17:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	74	85¢	$63	0x232b30…
05-05 17:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x4bc0af…
05-05 17:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0xb4d649…
05-05 17:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x70514f…
05-05 17:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0x079fd6…
05-05 17:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	93¢	$39	0x718f15…
05-05 17:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	166	94¢	$157	0x1913b3…
05-05 17:08:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0xe27d03…
05-05 16:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	179	89¢	$159	0xfb73c6…
05-05 16:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	88¢	$56	0x4259df…
05-05 16:37:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x0024c0…