Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$181
$11,651 in 24h
Trades
36
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
28¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 20:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.7¢
(top1%: 17% YES on $44
vs crowd: 23% YES on $181)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $8 | $54 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $34 | $84 | $51 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $8 | $36 | $29 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $9 | $28 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $3 | $26 | $24 |
| Median | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $13 | $43 | $30 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dry-Innovation 0xba0b…a926 | Down | +46 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | +38 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-04 20:24 |
| Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | +37 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Cylindrical-Homeland 0xbd6c…b6fa | Up | +37 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | +30 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 05-04 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb29e…ff30 | Up | +26 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-04 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | +22 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Relieved-Packet 0x518d…d097 | Up | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Hot-Pulley 0xec5d…d7b4 | Up | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Low-Factor 0x6cff…7e95 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0 | Up | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Disguised-Dredger 0xba29…875e | Up | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x9522…11cc | Down | +6 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Key-Shelf 0x893d…da13 | Up | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Klutzy-Register 0x5039…a717 | Up | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Terrible-Top 0x1291…7419 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Original-Octavo 0xfb87…1a0b | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Down | +5 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Ashamed-Final 0x2138…8a11 | Down | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| This-Transom 0x89f2…d85f | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 20:24:38 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Down | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0x713d5b… |
| 05-04 20:19:48 | (anonymous) 0x9522…11cc | Down | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x711014… |
| 05-04 20:19:46 | Considerate-Racer 0xe28f…a9b0 | Up | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x55db0e… |
| 05-04 20:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x9522…11cc | Down | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x6aec27… |
| 05-04 20:19:46 | Dry-Innovation 0xba0b…a926 | Down | BUY | 46 | 86¢ | $40 | 0x0c129f… |
| 05-04 20:19:44 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 18 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x764baf… |
| 05-04 20:19:40 | Disguised-Dredger 0xba29…875e | Up | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xd85594… |
| 05-04 20:19:40 | This-Transom 0x89f2…d85f | Down | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x2f38bb… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | Hot-Pulley 0xec5d…d7b4 | Up | BUY | 13 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xa20474… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | Key-Shelf 0x893d…da13 | Up | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x307bb0… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x024aa7… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | Klutzy-Register 0x5039…a717 | Up | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd5f8a7… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xb29e…ff30 | Up | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x48d25e… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xb29e…ff30 | Up | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9923bc… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xb29e…ff30 | Up | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x3138f0… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0x9522…11cc | Down | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x142e03… |
| 05-04 20:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xb29e…ff30 | Up | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xf2844c… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x6ab752… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $5 | 0xecd101… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | (anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1 | Down | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x380fc6… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x686011… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x5998d4… |
| 05-04 20:19:36 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0xbc8c40… |
| 05-04 20:19:32 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Down | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x493384… |
| 05-04 20:19:30 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Down | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x2c124a… |
| 05-04 20:19:28 | Focused-Intestine 0x22b8…8b13 | Down | BUY | 2 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x67a3f8… |
| 05-04 20:19:24 | Ashamed-Final 0x2138…8a11 | Down | BUY | 3 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x9537be… |
| 05-04 20:19:24 | Grounded-Skull 0x6063…2705 | Down | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x5d9022… |
| 05-04 20:19:22 | Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc | Up | BUY | 19 | 27¢ | $5 | 0xc5f602… |
| 05-04 20:19:20 | Cylindrical-Homeland 0xbd6c…b6fa | Up | BUY | 37 | 27¢ | $10 | 0x6d5e83… |
| 05-04 20:14:46 | Relieved-Packet 0x518d…d097 | Up | BUY | 15 | 52¢ | $8 | 0x68f1de… |
| 05-04 20:14:34 | Terrible-Top 0x1291…7419 | Up | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x2f0e21… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Low-Factor 0x6cff…7e95 | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xe3f3e6… |
| 05-04 20:04:48 | Low-Factor 0x6cff…7e95 | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x17bc4b… |
| 05-04 20:00:18 | Original-Octavo 0xfb87…1a0b | Up | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x1dabd0… |
| 05-04 20:00:16 | Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Down | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x684774… |