Realistic-Subcontractor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

109

Trades

3,750

lifetime

Volume

$107.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-30 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$127

Other

7% 96% $-87

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 496 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 5pm et	4	$518	331	331	+0	open	—	06-21 22:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET	2	$481	242	242	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4PM ET	2	$413	213	213	+0	open	—	05-17 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET	2	$408	208	208	+0	open	—	05-20 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12PM ET	2	$408	208	208	+0	open	—	05-24 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4PM ET	2	$404	204	204	+0	open	—	05-24 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11AM ET	2	$404	204	204	+0	open	—	05-24 17:00
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 7pm et	2	$403	204	204	+0	open	—	06-22 00:00
bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 6pm et	3	$266	228	116	+112	open	—	06-21 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9AM ET	3	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	05-08 13:55
btc updown 15m 1782204300	2	$250	273	0	+273	open	—	06-23 08:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3PM ET	2	$250	255	0	+255	Up	+$5	05-12 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	6	$250	255	0	+255	Down	+$5	05-11 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	8	$250	253	0	+253	open	—	05-14 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-08 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-08 07:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	05-12 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	05-08 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	open	—	05-14 13:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	2	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	05-08 02:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8PM ET	2	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	05-08 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-12 14:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Down	+$3	05-11 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-08 10:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-13 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-08 14:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9PM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-11 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-10 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-10 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET	1	$250	253	0	+253	Up	+$3	05-07 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:41:16	sol updown 4h 1782835200	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x861d3a…
06-30 18:52:07	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x7994a3…
06-30 17:44:56	btc updown 15m 1782840600	Down	BUY	28	77¢	$22	0x521480…
06-30 16:57:02	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe32a17…
06-30 16:56:11	solana up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xff515d…
06-30 16:52:07	xrp up or down june 30 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xf70d04…
06-30 15:58:32	ethereum up or down june 30 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0x72ed98…
06-30 14:52:50	dogecoin up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6a809b…
06-30 14:52:05	bnb up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x89d610…
06-30 14:49:19	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x41e740…
06-30 13:53:58	solana up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x36e925…
06-30 13:53:44	xrp up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xe2f5be…
06-30 13:53:43	xrp up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xb9639c…
06-30 13:53:26	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x1c911d…
06-30 13:41:10	btc updown 15m 1782826200	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x36ce68…
06-30 13:20:56	btc updown 15m 1782825300	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x920abf…
06-30 12:41:34	btc updown 15m 1782822600	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x8122cd…
06-30 12:21:41	btc updown 15m 1782821700	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x11ae6e…
06-30 11:52:08	dogecoin up or down june 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x28e591…
06-30 11:40:28	btc updown 15m 1782819000	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x893ed4…
06-30 11:39:50	btc updown 4h 1782806400	Down	BUY	74	99¢	$74	0x717b3b…
06-30 11:38:10	btc updown 4h 1782806400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc64d7f…
06-30 10:29:40	btc updown 15m 1782814500	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x73af78…
06-30 09:40:34	btc updown 15m 1782811800	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x19c63a…
06-30 09:22:52	btc updown 15m 1782810900	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x420684…
06-30 08:52:07	bnb up or down june 30 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x1816c4…
06-30 01:10:02	btc updown 15m 1782781200	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x4b7350…
06-30 00:13:02	btc updown 15m 1782777600	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x7a2929…
06-29 23:57:05	doge updown 4h 1782763200	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x6b0278…
06-29 23:55:50	solana up or down june 29 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x055a29…
06-29 22:58:50	btc updown 15m 1782773100	Up	SELL	147	8¢	$12	0xc39e14…
06-29 22:57:34	btc updown 15m 1782773100	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x241a15…
06-29 22:53:35	solana up or down june 29 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x7147aa…
06-29 21:54:23	solana up or down june 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x7f5ed8…
06-29 21:09:55	btc updown 15m 1782766800	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x71baed…
06-29 20:27:52	btc updown 15m 1782764100	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x9a8cc8…
06-29 20:13:46	btc updown 15m 1782763200	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc615b7…
06-29 19:54:07	solana up or down june 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x4b3316…
06-29 18:57:31	solana up or down june 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18fff7…
06-29 18:19:16	btc updown 5m 1782757200	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x1bc13b…
06-29 17:43:32	btc updown 15m 1782754200	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x7d5cbd…
06-29 17:25:32	btc updown 15m 1782753300	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xfba061…
06-29 16:57:52	btc updown 15m 1782751500	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x48562f…
06-29 16:10:16	btc updown 15m 1782748800	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe211c8…
06-29 15:26:43	btc updown 15m 1782746100	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe626f6…
06-29 15:17:07	btc updown 5m 1782746100	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xbe173c…
06-29 14:52:07	solana up or down june 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x230c8e…
06-29 14:45:25	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xea0cce…
06-29 14:06:41	btc updown 15m 1782741600	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x0ae99b…
06-29 13:57:46	solana up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0xb7c6cb…
06-29 13:57:37	btc updown 15m 1782740700	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x333717…
06-29 13:54:25	xrp up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x7bd38d…
06-29 13:52:41	bnb up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	52	98¢	$50	0x1a788a…
06-29 13:52:07	bnb up or down june 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7ebaf2…
06-29 13:10:01	btc updown 15m 1782738000	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x0c2031…
06-29 11:38:11	xrp updown 4h 1782720000	Up	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0x5b1730…
06-29 10:52:52	xrp up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6d7aae…
06-29 10:52:17	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x6d83a9…
06-29 09:52:56	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x263d58…
06-29 09:10:02	btc updown 15m 1782723600	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x459a63…
06-29 07:58:59	btc updown 15m 1782719100	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x8cbb58…
06-29 07:58:23	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	102	84¢	$86	0xc5812c…
06-29 07:53:59	solana up or down june 29 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x797ea5…
06-29 07:52:43	solana up or down june 29 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x76975e…
06-29 07:35:40	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Down	SELL	47	56¢	$26	0x54a8b0…
06-29 07:30:11	btc updown 15m 1782718200	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x761131…
06-29 07:09:53	btc updown 15m 1782716400	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x8f08be…
06-29 05:52:19	dogecoin up or down june 29 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2588de…
06-29 03:52:55	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x5ffbec…
06-29 02:52:05	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x857eac…
06-29 00:53:05	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x285e3b…
06-29 00:53:01	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xd39e20…
06-28 23:56:07	btc updown 15m 1782690300	Down	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x8395d1…
06-28 23:42:07	xrp updown 4h 1782676800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x98d03f…
06-28 23:39:34	eth updown 4h 1782676800	Up	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xa08a10…
06-28 23:39:26	sol updown 4h 1782676800	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x0d2972…
06-28 23:32:11	btc updown 15m 1782689400	Down	SELL	46	29¢	$13	0x9eb3d7…
06-28 23:29:46	btc updown 15m 1782689400	Down	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x5d505a…
06-28 22:56:08	bnb up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x6f6ea5…
06-28 22:56:02	solana up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x7f8bbf…
06-28 22:55:35	xrp up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x75e6d2…
06-28 22:55:29	ethereum up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x68a150…
06-28 22:41:32	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x72ff47…
06-28 22:35:25	btc updown 15m 1782685800	Up	SELL	94	19¢	$18	0xca3c4e…
06-28 22:26:46	btc updown 15m 1782685800	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xf93ccb…
06-28 22:18:20	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0xfa6d0c…
06-28 22:18:20	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xf1f2b9…
06-28 22:18:19	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xfd3327…
06-28 22:18:19	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xcefcd1…
06-28 22:18:19	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3058f7…
06-28 22:18:19	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x0a101b…
06-28 22:18:17	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xe5ff04…
06-28 22:18:17	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x33e2f8…
06-28 22:18:17	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x330609…
06-28 22:18:17	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x2d64b2…
06-28 22:18:17	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x0e17dd…
06-28 22:06:50	btc updown 15m 1782684900	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x5c38fd…
06-28 22:02:29	btc updown 15m 1782684000	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa200e0…
06-28 22:02:29	btc updown 15m 1782684000	Up	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x654195…
06-28 22:02:29	btc updown 15m 1782684000	Up	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x233227…