Piercing-Bloodflow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$319

Unrealized P&L

+$27

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

321

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$164

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-08 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 42% $-319

Politics

17% — —

Sports

3% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-232	$-190	70¢	$-164	+$27	06-08 19:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	10	$1.1K	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	05-15 19:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$964	618	618	+0	open	—	05-29 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	7	$877	668	668	+0	open	—	05-15 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	6	$853	551	551	+0	open	—	05-15 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	6	$749	429	429	+0	open	—	05-15 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	6	$645	454	454	+0	open	—	05-15 16:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$537	304	304	+0	open	—	06-08 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$516	0	574	-574	open	—	06-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	6	$509	378	378	+0	open	—	05-15 14:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$487	0	587	-587	open	—	06-08 19:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$426	248	248	+0	open	—	05-12 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$419	221	221	+0	open	—	05-15 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	5	$392	208	208	+0	open	—	05-29 19:28
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	1	$331	382	0	+382	open	—	05-22 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$312	226	226	+0	open	—	05-15 15:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$310	199	198	+0	open	—	05-04 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	3	$294	503	0	+503	open	—	05-17 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	5	$262	165	165	+0	open	—	05-03 11:10
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$245	145	145	+0	open	—	05-19 15:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$236	159	159	+0	open	—	06-08 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$224	127	127	+0	open	—	05-16 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	7	$217	1,373	0	+1,373	open	—	05-17 16:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$205	133	133	+0	open	—	05-04 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$200	226	0	+226	Up	+$26	05-04 21:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$196	219	132	+87	open	—	05-04 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$195	101	101	+0	open	—	06-01 11:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$190	0	232	-232	open	—	06-08 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$187	174	174	+0	Up	+$67	05-04 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$180	410	0	+410	Up	$-180	05-04 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$174	128	128	+0	open	—	05-04 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:38:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	159	79¢	$125	0xf1b604…
06-08 19:38:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	232	82¢	$190	0xd5baab…
06-08 19:38:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	587	83¢	$487	0xde260d…
06-08 07:50:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	304	95¢	$288	0x01e319…
06-08 07:50:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	574	90¢	$516	0xa86571…
06-04 07:41:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	159	70¢	$111	0x03087c…
06-01 12:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x3ab2b4…
06-01 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xa4bc0f…
06-01 11:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0x12a12e…
05-30 13:55:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x518490…
05-30 13:55:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x6c3f84…
05-29 21:17:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	203	95¢	$193	0xd01e54…
05-29 19:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x7b3102…
05-29 19:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x790b8a…
05-29 19:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x0dae04…
05-29 19:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xdab7f9…
05-29 19:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0xc15e46…
05-25 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x46280e…
05-25 20:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xa90ba7…
05-25 20:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	138	69¢	$95	0x602cc1…
05-22 15:31:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x6b09eb…
05-22 15:22:52	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	382	87¢	$331	0x582c74…
05-19 15:19:30	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	145	91¢	$133	0x5e45dc…
05-17 17:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	151	62¢	$94	0x524e39…
05-17 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x31b970…
05-17 17:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x45b167…
05-17 16:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	6¢	$9	0xa7b835…
05-17 16:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	138	6¢	$8	0x18273a…
05-17 16:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	424	9¢	$40	0xda0d67…
05-17 16:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0x7e1da8…
05-17 16:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	220	18¢	$40	0xe12a0b…
05-17 16:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	157	25¢	$40	0x9d6d21…
05-17 16:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0xddde2d…
05-17 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x38b11f…
05-17 16:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0xfd641c…
05-16 05:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	127	97¢	$124	0x622a5c…
05-16 05:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	127	78¢	$100	0x002643…
05-15 19:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	239	44¢	$105	0xfe42f9…
05-15 19:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0xd57300…
05-15 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x0c27f0…
05-15 19:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	484	60¢	$290	0xd49cb8…
05-15 19:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xb46f37…
05-15 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x5a9f3a…
05-15 19:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	243	53¢	$128	0x40ebb6…
05-15 19:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0xa6df46…
05-15 19:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	396	33¢	$131	0x0eca30…
05-15 19:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	396	25¢	$100	0x60b1b7…
05-15 19:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x4f6aa3…
05-15 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x720f37…
05-15 19:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	221	99¢	$219	0xb66d02…
05-15 19:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x916664…
05-15 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x80500f…
05-15 16:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	306	84¢	$257	0x6e0eaa…
05-15 16:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xc9d1b5…
05-15 16:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x0acf2b…
05-15 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	148	73¢	$108	0xd0b302…
05-15 16:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x75b62c…
05-15 16:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0xc2ee40…
05-15 15:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0xcb6c32…
05-15 15:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	226	85¢	$192	0x0a56ff…
05-15 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xa3e95b…
05-15 15:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0x2eda97…
05-15 14:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x7c25b7…
05-15 14:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	53	41¢	$22	0xe300dd…
05-15 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0xdfba05…
05-15 14:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	133	92¢	$123	0x88e3aa…
05-15 14:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xbb3377…
05-15 14:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	245	68¢	$166	0xcaf0ea…
05-15 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x25ccf0…
05-15 14:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xb00776…
05-15 14:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x72fda7…
05-15 14:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	317	79¢	$250	0xa03c7b…
05-15 14:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	168	60¢	$100	0xbef910…
05-15 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x9dfeb6…
05-15 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	164	68¢	$111	0x54f8f0…
05-15 14:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa2b87e…
05-15 14:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	187	62¢	$115	0xe1229e…
05-15 14:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0x7b8621…
05-15 14:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	267	86¢	$229	0x712d71…
05-15 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x2230ad…
05-15 14:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x130c27…
05-15 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	284	79¢	$224	0x1bf101…
05-15 14:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x3f80fe…
05-15 14:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x253b45…
05-15 13:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	291	96¢	$280	0x6454fe…
05-15 13:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x966bf3…
05-15 13:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x751ba5…
05-15 13:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x69ad17…
05-15 13:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	137	94¢	$129	0x3e8c1e…
05-15 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xdb479c…
05-12 16:52:22	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	145	77¢	$112	0x52b1ac…
05-12 16:17:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	415	83¢	$345	0xc01693…
05-12 16:13:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	248	98¢	$244	0x3b90a8…
05-07 13:27:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	248	74¢	$183	0x4d3b88…
05-07 13:19:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	235	55¢	$129	0xf58988…
05-05 23:59:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	180	82¢	$148	0x9c0dcf…
05-05 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	107	8¢	$9	0xf169b5…
05-05 02:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	141	43¢	$60	0x4a1ee3…
05-05 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0xc2137f…
05-05 02:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	137	44¢	$60	0xcfa584…