Natural-Dragonfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$609

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

671

Trades

28,351

lifetime

Volume

$335.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 07-20 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-730

Politics

1% 100% +$121

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 556 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7AM ET	11	$1.3K	2,193	2,193	+0	open	—	04-30 11:50
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 6pm et	57	$1.2K	1,546	1,528	+18	open	—	03-27 22:54
ethereum up or down june 11 2026 3pm et	23	$1.1K	1,397	1,397	+0	open	—	06-11 19:48
ethereum up or down march 13 4am et	41	$1.1K	1,491	1,486	+5	open	—	03-13 08:47
ethereum up or down march 28 2026 6am et	38	$831	2,907	2,063	+844	open	—	03-28 12:09
ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	23	$809	815	815	+0	open	—	07-17 21:59
ethereum up or down june 11 2026 1pm et	12	$805	887	887	+0	open	—	06-11 17:29
ethereum up or down march 26 2026 3pm et	49	$797	1,348	1,071	+277	open	—	03-26 19:41
ethereum up or down june 8 2026 4pm et	18	$760	903	902	+0	open	—	06-08 20:37
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 9am et	33	$662	945	934	+10	open	—	03-20 13:43
ethereum up or down march 16 2026 4pm et	42	$642	1,073	1,065	+8	open	—	03-16 20:43
Iran leadership change by June 30?	45	$618	6,019	6,436	-417	open	—	06-14 04:15
ethereum up or down june 11 2026 4pm et	13	$611	1,873	0	+1,873	open	—	06-11 20:29
ethereum up or down march 12 12pm et	20	$589	699	694	+5	open	—	03-12 16:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET	18	$588	687	687	+0	Down	+$200	05-12 14:48
ethereum up or down march 16 2026 3pm et	36	$587	1,931	1,195	+736	open	—	03-16 19:56
ethereum up or down march 10 10am et	38	$565	786	723	+62	open	—	03-10 14:46
ethereum up or down july 18 2026 3pm et	23	$553	686	567	+119	open	—	07-18 19:35
ethereum up or down march 20 2026 4pm et	62	$537	717	709	+8	open	—	03-20 20:54
ethereum up or down march 13 7am et	29	$531	1,302	398	+904	open	—	03-13 11:56
ethereum up or down june 13 2026 6am et	14	$523	552	552	+0	open	—	06-13 10:56
ethereum up or down june 10 2026 4pm et	10	$493	530	530	+0	open	—	06-10 20:23
ethereum up or down march 19 2026 12pm et	33	$487	816	810	+6	open	—	03-19 16:56
ethereum up or down june 17 2026 2pm et	13	$487	1,309	1,245	+65	open	—	06-17 18:53
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8AM ET	4	$487	928	374	+555	open	—	04-30 12:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 5AM ET	16	$485	1,151	1,151	+0	Up	+$145	05-08 09:47
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	8	$480	355	355	+0	open	—	04-30 11:58
ethereum up or down march 27 2026 5pm et	37	$477	635	627	+7	open	—	03-27 21:58
ethereum up or down march 13 3am et	23	$472	751	747	+4	open	—	03-13 07:58
ethereum up or down march 29 2026 2pm et	38	$468	1,136	1,129	+7	open	—	03-29 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 20:50:25	eth updown 15m 1784580300	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xd2fd1a…
07-20 20:50:25	eth updown 15m 1784580300	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x076d33…
07-20 20:47:19	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x89ad48…
07-20 20:47:13	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x8d0b0b…
07-20 20:46:10	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0xdc00be…
07-20 20:45:22	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x98dfed…
07-20 20:45:10	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa3a52b…
07-20 20:44:43	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x7c8814…
07-20 20:44:16	eth updown 5m 1784580300	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xdc8822…
07-20 20:43:27	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x6e03b6…
07-20 20:43:25	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x5e570b…
07-20 20:43:24	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	45	94¢	$42	0x1647ed…
07-20 20:43:22	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xb879cf…
07-20 20:43:22	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x687416…
07-20 20:43:22	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x5b5363…
07-20 20:43:22	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2607bb…
07-20 20:43:16	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x88434e…
07-20 20:43:15	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8bd0f6…
07-20 20:43:15	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x7242e1…
07-20 20:43:13	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd8dfc4…
07-20 20:41:04	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xc2beb0…
07-20 20:40:52	eth updown 5m 1784580000	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x1a0b8c…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xf0e2d8…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xac2f3c…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xa71963…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x7ec7eb…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x6200a9…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x3562af…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3344df…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	84	94¢	$79	0x15f309…
07-20 20:39:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x114fb5…
07-20 20:35:03	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x67f7a9…
07-20 20:34:31	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x572914…
07-20 20:34:28	eth updown 5m 1784579700	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x30c2f1…
07-20 20:32:19	eth updown 15m 1784579400	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x530c3a…
07-20 20:31:52	eth updown 15m 1784579400	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x374751…
07-20 20:31:43	eth updown 15m 1784579400	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x4a2e91…
07-20 20:31:42	eth updown 15m 1784579400	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xb4aff4…
07-20 20:31:12	eth updown 5m 1784579400	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x357377…
07-20 20:31:07	eth updown 5m 1784579400	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb4bf90…
07-20 20:30:55	eth updown 5m 1784579400	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xdaf79a…
07-20 20:30:01	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x9c3e28…
07-20 20:30:01	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x984753…
07-20 20:30:01	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x5a2de5…
07-20 20:30:01	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x21900d…
07-20 20:30:01	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x20a47b…
07-20 20:30:01	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x05f764…
07-20 20:30:00	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x68e460…
07-20 20:25:25	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xb28dc7…
07-20 20:25:18	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xd68cdd…
07-20 20:25:10	eth updown 5m 1784579100	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x234015…
07-20 20:24:22	eth updown 5m 1784578800	Down	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x2eeff7…
07-20 20:22:39	eth updown 5m 1784578800	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xda9236…
07-20 20:21:42	eth updown 15m 1784578500	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa1479e…
07-20 20:21:06	eth updown 15m 1784578500	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xce8555…
07-20 20:20:34	eth updown 15m 1784578500	Up	SELL	136	63¢	$86	0x49c3eb…
07-20 20:18:54	eth updown 15m 1784578500	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x0f83a9…
07-20 20:18:46	eth updown 15m 1784578500	Up	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0x8284cf…
07-20 20:15:57	eth updown 5m 1784578500	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x364fac…
07-20 20:14:48	eth updown 5m 1784578500	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x9ea46d…
07-20 20:14:43	eth updown 5m 1784578500	Up	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x5d1a89…
07-20 20:13:18	eth updown 5m 1784578200	Up	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xfad764…
07-20 20:13:18	eth updown 5m 1784578200	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xe5944c…
07-20 20:13:18	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	145	96¢	$139	0xc0ad96…
07-20 20:13:15	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xd9a22e…
07-20 20:13:15	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x3745ce…
07-20 20:13:13	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xa1e562…
07-20 20:13:12	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x85a22b…
07-20 20:13:12	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4aebf2…
07-20 20:13:10	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x71a2f9…
07-20 20:13:07	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x7d0421…
07-20 20:12:55	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x5ad741…
07-20 20:12:49	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1e8883…
07-20 20:12:48	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b07aa…
07-20 20:12:48	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x347765…
07-20 20:12:42	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xfe14e6…
07-20 20:10:36	eth updown 5m 1784578200	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x397660…
07-20 20:10:36	eth updown 5m 1784578200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2c7ccf…
07-20 20:09:37	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x612a02…
07-20 20:09:37	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3de4f0…
07-20 20:09:36	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x4d48a9…
07-20 20:09:36	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x41f901…
07-20 20:09:34	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xca3694…
07-20 20:09:34	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0x15e7d9…
07-20 20:09:13	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0x323ad0…
07-20 20:09:13	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2d59b9…
07-20 20:05:16	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xb5bf2e…
07-20 20:04:33	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5ada94…
07-20 20:04:31	eth updown 5m 1784577900	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xec19ea…
07-20 20:03:22	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0x55fc3a…
07-20 20:02:36	eth updown 15m 1784577600	Up	BUY	79	32¢	$25	0x299259…
07-20 19:56:09	eth updown 5m 1784577300	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x696930…
07-20 19:54:48	eth updown 5m 1784577000	Up	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x6aaa8f…
07-20 19:53:13	eth updown 5m 1784577000	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0b9527…
07-20 19:44:58	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb26bb9…
07-20 19:44:58	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x95a0a5…
07-20 19:44:58	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x93e857…
07-20 19:44:58	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x665dcb…
07-20 19:44:57	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe0f9e3…
07-20 19:44:57	eth updown 15m 1784575800	Up	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x5fbc8b…