Agile-Thump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$178

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

7,237

Trades

8,205

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-11 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 91% -$127

Other

5% 31% -$11

Sports

2% 20% -$10

Politics

0% 50% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	4	$169	151	151	+0	Yes	+$32	06-24 23:47
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$142	8,256	8,256	+0	No	-$7	06-27 00:16
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	2	$105	56	56	+0	Yes	+$6	06-17 00:07
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	3	$101	68	68	+0	Yes	+$35	06-16 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:35 UTC	12	$90	75	75	+0	Down	+$8	08-29 16:37
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$62	37	37	+0	Yes	+$12	06-17 03:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:35 UTC	7	$54	43	43	+0	Down	+$4	08-31 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:50 UTC	17	$50	99	0	+99	Down	-$2	06-05 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:25 UTC	6	$48	44	24	+20	Up	-$3	08-31 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$47	88	21	+67	Up	-$6	10-11 06:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 22:30 UTC	8	$41	72	0	+72	Up	-$2	08-30 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:25 UTC	6	$41	34	34	+0	Up	+$4	08-31 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 21:00 UTC	6	$41	43	19	+24	Down	-$3	08-28 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 16:30 UTC	5	$39	34	20	+15	Down	+$0	08-31 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 17:45 UTC	8	$37	65	0	+65	Down	-$6	08-30 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	10	$34	53	6	+47	Up	+$1	06-01 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 21:50 UTC	7	$33	64	0	+64	Up	-$4	08-30 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:45 UTC	5	$33	32	17	+14	Up	+$1	08-28 20:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:25 UTC	4	$33	57	0	+57	Up	-$1	09-26 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$32	55	0	+55	Up	+$1	09-24 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 03:55 UTC	5	$31	34	15	+20	Down	-$3	08-31 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$31	62	0	+62	Up	-$3	09-24 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 16:35 UTC	7	$31	57	0	+57	Down	-$5	08-30 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:50 UTC	7	$30	29	29	+0	Up	$0	08-29 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$30	27	16	+11	Down	+$1	09-18 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$30	55	0	+55	Down	+$3	09-24 07:10
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$30	273	0	+273	No	-$30	04-12 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$29	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	09-24 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 20:40 UTC	4	$29	24	15	+9	Up	$0	08-28 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$29	55	0	+55	Up	-$8	09-24 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 13:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x96cf41…
10-11 13:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x4c53d2…
10-11 13:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa9a51c…
10-11 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x42b6e9…
10-11 13:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x4fee9c…
10-11 13:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x687e0e…
10-11 13:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x490ccf…
10-11 13:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xeb47fe…
10-11 13:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xda2ac3…
10-11 13:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0xea4d0e…
10-11 13:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4fd20d…
10-11 13:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0xcdec99…
10-11 13:02:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x7bac68…
10-11 13:00:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x0214d2…
10-11 13:00:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf55fc0…
10-11 12:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x245a1a…
10-11 12:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcae112…
10-11 12:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x15ca9d…
10-11 06:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x2c268f…
10-11 06:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2097c3…
10-11 06:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x7af7a3…
10-11 06:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc7ec55…
10-11 06:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xc5f68a…
10-11 06:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0ffc69…
10-06 18:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5a706f…
09-27 00:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x74db3e…
09-27 00:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0x6a7341…
09-27 00:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x46af0f…
09-27 00:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x8aef1e…
09-27 00:00:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x9bf667…
09-26 23:57:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd86d13…
09-26 23:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8eab33…
09-26 23:52:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$14	0xea7b85…
09-26 23:50:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0xe2f5f2…
09-26 23:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1b3386…
09-26 23:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x5ad9b9…
09-26 23:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x085aa7…
09-26 23:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x20e56d…
09-26 23:11:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x99503c…
09-26 23:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7ae3a2…
09-26 23:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0c5feb…
09-26 23:00:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xbd4803…
09-26 22:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x335199…
09-26 22:55:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x64efc8…
09-26 22:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x63493b…
09-26 22:41:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x09e14d…
09-26 22:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x58a3ae…
09-26 22:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x5cde49…
09-26 22:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x2ad25b…
09-26 22:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x834e8c…
09-26 22:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x1ba2d2…
09-26 22:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0x5a4fb3…
09-26 22:25:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x1ddb3a…
09-26 22:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x69e762…
09-26 22:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x93b543…
09-26 22:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc4a494…
09-26 22:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x359f2b…
09-26 22:15:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$4	0x63167b…
09-26 22:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd31d32…
09-24 07:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8d7edc…
09-24 07:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x404ac4…
09-24 07:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xd69f27…
09-24 07:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x20344b…
09-24 07:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0xec3bbe…
09-24 07:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x923bc1…
09-24 07:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x207f49…
09-24 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xc124ab…
09-24 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x59bfe9…
09-24 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xe579ea…
09-24 06:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xd7b92d…
09-24 06:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x0e7f28…
09-24 06:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xe0a563…
09-24 06:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc1f0fa…
09-24 06:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xfe748d…
09-24 06:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x558bb7…
09-24 06:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf53ea8…
09-24 06:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x79bc85…
09-24 06:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x29415d…
09-24 06:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x989279…
09-24 06:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xe7b57f…
09-24 06:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0x66de27…
09-24 06:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x364399…
09-24 06:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x06eedd…
09-24 06:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	49¢	$8	0x348278…
09-24 06:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xfac4ed…
09-24 06:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x50c2e0…
09-24 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3f4eba…
09-24 06:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x89d1ff…
09-24 06:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xc65ec8…
09-24 06:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x369a26…
09-24 06:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4096db…
09-24 06:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x6bd5ec…
09-24 06:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x713edb…
09-24 06:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x748c3a…
09-24 06:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2fe049…
09-24 06:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa531ec…
09-24 06:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x3a2dda…
09-24 06:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xd7d46c…
09-24 06:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x898e8b…
09-24 06:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa627da…