Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$30,463
Trades
3,506
Unique wallets
720
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
67¢
Latest NO mid
33¢
End date
2026-09-27
First seen
2026-09-26
last 09-27 00:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.7¢
(top1%: 67% YES on $13.5K
vs crowd: 75% YES on $25.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 126 | $10.9K | $4.2K | +$6.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 187 | $5.0K | $1.3K | +$3.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 250 | $2.3K | $673 | +$1.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 157 | $806 | $216 | +$590 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 145 | $9.1K | $4.4K | +$4.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 75 | $1.9K | $187 | +$1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 42 | $555 | $122 | +$433 |
| Median | 34 | $132 | $56 | +$76 |
| Below median | 175 | $810 | $255 | +$555 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 101 | $1.6K | $387 | +$1.2K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 95 | $2.0K | $351 | +$1.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 53 | $2.9K | $539 | +$2.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +1,277 | $919 | $919 | 43 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +1,053 | $398 | $398 | 37 | 09-27 00:08 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +948 | $397 | $397 | 24 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +895 | $243 | $243 | 77 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +798 | $283 | $510 | 27 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +754 | $473 | $473 | 18 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +717 | $502 | $502 | 36 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +700 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +647 | $184 | $184 | 19 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc889…f8c1 | Up | +610 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b5a…373d | Down | +590 | $224 | $224 | 1 | 09-27 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +575 | $348 | $348 | 20 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +556 | $331 | $331 | 40 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +514 | $333 | $1,029 | 34 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Up | +505 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | +505 | $500 | $500 | 12 | 09-27 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3 | Down | +466 | $134 | $134 | 12 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Down | +464 | $125 | $125 | 32 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +440 | $114 | $114 | 19 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Up | +438 | $338 | $338 | 23 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | +400 | $4 | $4 | 8 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | +400 | $4 | $4 | 18 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Up | +397 | $260 | $260 | 8 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Up | +377 | $343 | $343 | 32 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +375 | $117 | $117 | 26 | 09-27 00:08 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +373 | $229 | $229 | 29 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +372 | $122 | $122 | 17 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed | Down | +370 | $77 | $77 | 29 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +357 | $222 | $222 | 10 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Down | +356 | $168 | $168 | 40 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7 | Up | +356 | $297 | $297 | 35 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Up | +347 | $174 | $174 | 36 | 09-27 00:08 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Up | +333 | $234 | $234 | 17 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x8852…c569 | Down | +320 | $139 | $139 | 25 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | +302 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +300 | $194 | $194 | 4 | 09-27 00:08 |
| Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88 | Down | +298 | $89 | $89 | 11 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Grubby-Pirate 0x67e3…2a16 | Up | +293 | $290 | $290 | 1 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Down | +285 | $112 | $112 | 8 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +275 | $72 | $72 | 22 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Obvious-Welfare 0x60c2…4746 | Up | +267 | $178 | $178 | 22 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Vibrant-Motorcycle 0x45fb…f1f6 | Up | +264 | $259 | $259 | 5 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | +261 | $60 | $60 | 55 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb6dd…d835 | Up | +256 | $231 | $231 | 26 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Up | +237 | $176 | $176 | 49 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +225 | $25 | $25 | 18 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f | Up | +225 | $223 | $223 | 1 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb1ca…8a8b | Up | +224 | $220 | $220 | 1 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Crowded-Initialise 0x5192…df62 | Down | +212 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 09-27 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3897…a2f4 | Up | +203 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe98a…c985 | Up | +203 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | +200 | $198 | $198 | 3 | 09-27 00:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 09-27 00:10 |
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Up | +200 | $166 | $894 | 6 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Polite-Promenade 0x0bf9…fd90 | Down | +200 | $100 | $100 | 15 | 09-27 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Down | +187 | $45 | $45 | 23 | 09-27 00:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd30…2dd0 | Down | +186 | $74 | $74 | 12 | 09-27 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb737…6abd | Down | +177 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b | Down | +174 | $52 | $52 | 7 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +173 | $25 | $25 | 6 | 09-27 00:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 00:10:29 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 63 | 99¢ | $63 | 0x3ce280… |
| 09-27 00:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0x3ce280… |
| 09-27 00:10:29 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Up | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0x3ce280… |
| 09-27 00:10:29 | (anonymous) 0x5932…4f2c | Up | SELL | 312 | 99¢ | $308 | 0x3ce280… |
| 09-27 00:10:09 | Enlightened-River 0x73b9…1486 | Up | SELL | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x8a7d39… |
| 09-27 00:10:09 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 54 | 99¢ | $53 | 0x8a7d39… |
| 09-27 00:10:03 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Up | SELL | 180 | 99¢ | $179 | 0x8491f3… |
| 09-27 00:10:03 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0x8491f3… |
| 09-27 00:10:03 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 98 | 99¢ | $97 | 0x8491f3… |
| 09-27 00:10:02 | Rash-Regulator 0xa101…7a46 | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x90600c… |
| 09-27 00:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x01de…e511 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1918d5… |
| 09-27 00:10:02 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x90600c… |
| 09-27 00:10:02 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1918d5… |
| 09-27 00:10:00 | (anonymous) 0xf659…64f1 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x01c04f… |
| 09-27 00:10:00 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x01c04f… |
| 09-27 00:09:57 | (anonymous) 0xa9b4…78d3 | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb42f80… |
| 09-27 00:09:57 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xb42f80… |
| 09-27 00:09:56 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb52de3… |
| 09-27 00:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b2c…5805 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb52de3… |
| 09-27 00:09:54 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x781cc6… |
| 09-27 00:09:54 | (anonymous) 0xc1e1…b329 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x781cc6… |
| 09-27 00:09:51 | (anonymous) 0x887f…1bfe | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x86fde4… |
| 09-27 00:09:51 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x86fde4… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x132b15… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Enlightened-River 0x73b9…1486 | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xeb1f…5b91 | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x728945… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 358 | 99¢ | $354 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Up | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xbf0a…59c6 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x983245… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 49 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4cd52d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x6546…e22b | Up | BUY | 44 | 99¢ | $44 | 0xa90d06… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf35a1d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xaf49…cf3f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Up | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x8c1c…f76b | Down | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Antique-Snap 0x2cf4…18c7 | Up | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x1798…bcd6 | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39 | Up | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xed2a3f… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x5241…16b1 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x132b15… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 44 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa90d06… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xa55b…270f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x039f…2de5 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xf35a1d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x809f…2ef0 | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Any-Sorbet 0xa0a0…a912 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x9f42…0c37 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x728945… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f | Up | BUY | 225 | 99¢ | $223 | 0xd03553… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Artistic-Hosiery 0x0893…5f52 | Down | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xa7cf…7768 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x983245… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xde01…1692 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdea3ef… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c72e0… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43d2ae… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x1354…7715 | Down | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4cd52d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Knowledgeable-Expense 0x96b0…ffa5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xa1c2…1da4 | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x924998… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x1dd2…51c2 | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 225 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd03553… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 82 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf35a1d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x924998… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59d094… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c72e0… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xe98a…c985 | Up | BUY | 203 | 99¢ | $201 | 0x4cd52d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59d094… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd6d2…3f40 | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2b289… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Funny-Component 0x711d…3490 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x43d2ae… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Wonderful-Squirrel 0x8dbb…f8f0 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x90ae…bb56 | Down | BUY | 42 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4cd52d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe82…90ed | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0x9aa6…183f | Down | BUY | 103 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x254be3… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | Drafty-Buggy 0xc902…ec67 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdea3ef… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xff06…8f01 | Down | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4cd52d… |
| 09-27 00:09:50 | (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xed2a3f… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4aa893… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc000a9… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Impossible-Bolt 0xc905…b394 | Up | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x858466… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd270d2… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xbfa0…cd6d | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c43c7… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xa255…3db4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x48130a… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Grubby-Pirate 0x67e3…2a16 | Up | BUY | 293 | 99¢ | $290 | 0x0e38c0… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x1096…705d | Up | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x858466… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x3897…a2f4 | Up | BUY | 203 | 99¢ | $201 | 0xc68776… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xee12…4e0f | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd42012… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf592d4… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbfc753… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe571b… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d218e… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x484e…8e9c | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c43c7… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Humming-Mime 0x18c1…2183 | Down | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3c43c7… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | BUY | 180 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xc68776… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xa333…29c8 | Down | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3c43c7… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0x2d0a…b542 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4aa893… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Down | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7235f7… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Superb-Luncheonette 0x4492…90ea | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x413a70… |
| 09-27 00:09:48 | Drafty-Spider 0xc216…7071 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xd270d2… |