Impossible-Bolt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

16,815

Trades

83,170

lifetime

Volume

$2.93M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 11-15 21:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$52,532

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 1211 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:15 UTC	171	$7.1K	5,950	5,950	+0	Up	+$1,372	06-28 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 23:05 UTC	103	$7.0K	6,126	6,126	+0	Down	-$483	06-24 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:15 UTC	55	$5.6K	4,204	4,204	+0	Down	+$799	09-28 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	92	$5.6K	3,318	3,318	+0	Up	+$960	05-11 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	80	$5.5K	4,323	4,323	+0	Down	-$536	05-11 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	50	$5.5K	5,451	5,451	+1	Up	-$34	10-23 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	91	$5.3K	5,772	2,342	+3,431	Down	-$2,763	05-11 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:10 UTC	72	$5.2K	4,410	4,410	+0	Up	+$789	07-15 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:15 UTC	151	$5.1K	3,242	3,238	+4	Down	+$253	06-30 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:50 UTC	23	$5.0K	3,419	3,419	+0	Down	+$21	06-28 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:45 UTC	19	$5.0K	3,864	3,864	+0	Down	-$142	06-30 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 17:10 UTC	85	$5.0K	3,139	3,139	+0	Down	+$1,112	07-13 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:20 UTC	142	$4.7K	3,492	3,491	+0	Down	-$28	08-10 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:15 UTC	108	$4.6K	3,615	3,615	+0	Down	-$598	07-15 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:45 UTC	59	$4.6K	3,841	3,841	+0	Down	+$269	08-10 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	105	$4.5K	3,562	3,418	+144	Up	+$553	05-08 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 13:10 UTC	151	$4.5K	3,679	3,679	+0	Up	+$799	08-10 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:30 UTC	77	$4.5K	3,505	3,505	+0	Down	+$284	08-10 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:50 UTC	77	$4.5K	2,786	2,786	+0	Down	+$1,004	06-24 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	22	$4.5K	3,432	3,432	+0	Down	+$128	05-11 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:45 UTC	80	$4.4K	7,968	7,963	+6	Up	-$85	06-24 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	60	$4.4K	2,863	2,760	+103	Up	+$1,037	05-09 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 12:25 UTC	47	$4.3K	4,437	3,187	+1,250	Down	+$153	08-10 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	19	$4.3K	2,716	2,716	+0	Up	+$1,040	05-11 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:50 UTC	84	$4.2K	3,087	3,087	+0	Up	+$986	06-24 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	19	$4.2K	2,750	2,750	+0	Up	+$1,155	09-15 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 16:35 UTC	96	$4.2K	2,698	2,697	+0	Up	+$1,094	08-10 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:45 UTC	81	$4.2K	3,782	3,782	+0	Down	-$684	06-24 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	31	$4.1K	2,700	2,700	+0	Up	+$284	10-23 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:05 UTC	99	$4.1K	5,516	3,664	+1,852	Down	-$1,331	07-01 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 22:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	418	25¢	$104	0xb90d7d…
11-15 22:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	85	57¢	$48	0x8dceb6…
11-15 22:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	333	58¢	$193	0xc1575c…
11-15 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	265	98¢	$260	0x6874ff…
11-15 22:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x48731b…
11-15 22:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	58¢	$48	0x75c04d…
11-15 22:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	88	54¢	$47	0x98cda7…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xdd7f8b…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xd2948c…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0xac5cd9…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0xa3132d…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23f143…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x2321f5…
11-15 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x0cdbbb…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xff7354…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xa8421a…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa4ac9d…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x968b0d…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x7bb92b…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x2dd6eb…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2ae47a…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x2a467f…
11-15 22:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x063f54…
11-15 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xe6c3d9…
11-15 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xa6837d…
11-15 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x9a6f27…
11-15 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0x80a33d…
11-15 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x58320f…
11-15 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x3087c8…
11-15 22:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	263	73¢	$193	0x6aa37c…
11-15 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	274	72¢	$196	0xae8439…
11-15 21:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	114	12¢	$14	0xb0fb81…
11-15 21:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xb34008…
11-15 21:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x406d72…
11-15 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xd7e2e0…
11-15 17:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xcf3d74…
11-13 11:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x11d5e3…
11-13 08:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0xcb0ad1…
11-13 07:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2a2624…
11-13 07:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x97922b…
11-13 07:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xa22437…
11-13 07:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xc5a3bb…
11-13 01:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x43de42…
11-13 01:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x7b89c0…
11-12 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xc42c4e…
11-12 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xf6bed3…
11-12 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xaa4f92…
11-12 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x73a054…
11-12 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x432b6e…
11-12 23:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x32ce16…
11-12 22:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc986e3…
11-12 21:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5e6c28…
11-12 21:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xeed293…
11-12 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x44afc3…
11-12 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x25c511…
11-12 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x0aba21…
11-12 21:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x5cb5e1…
11-12 21:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	32	44¢	$14	0x6a427a…
11-12 20:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0x88642f…
11-12 20:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x9e8b12…
11-12 20:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x8f79ef…
11-12 20:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xa00bec…
11-12 20:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x8d7065…
11-12 20:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe4e801…
11-12 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x1a690b…
11-12 17:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x36e136…
11-12 17:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xf60728…
11-12 17:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x84cf77…
11-12 17:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xa7066c…
11-12 17:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x464a3b…
11-12 17:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xd0956b…
11-12 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x0a969c…
11-12 16:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2ff823…
11-12 16:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x016d81…
11-12 16:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x059dd3…
11-12 16:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0x76654b…
11-12 16:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x46954d…
11-12 16:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x53ad09…
11-12 16:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x6a0f41…
11-12 16:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x129224…
11-12 16:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x2bd857…
11-12 14:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x9cbc86…
11-12 13:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xbd7e54…
11-12 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x2d85c6…
11-12 13:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x12018e…
11-12 13:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xd1d75a…
11-12 13:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x19b3db…
11-12 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x5e8866…
11-12 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x80da3e…
11-12 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x7d5ae3…
11-12 13:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xa4e6a7…
11-12 12:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xa8f8ea…
11-12 12:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xca0ae6…
11-12 12:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x351fb7…
11-12 12:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x6161de…
11-12 11:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x15228f…
11-12 11:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xafc2f4…
11-12 09:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x87c2db…
11-12 09:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0xdfd797…
11-12 09:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf39d6b…