Curvy-Gravity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.36K

Unrealized P&L

-$94

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

4,027

Trades

6,849

lifetime

Volume

$606.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-22

last 11-03 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 61% +$576

Other

44% 67% +$3,781

Politics

0% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	—	+149	$98	3¢	$4	-$94	11-03 01:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$1.6K	1,223	1,223	+0	Yes	-$25	03-08 18:59
US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech	3	$1.5K	806	806	+0	Arthur Rinderknech	+$105	09-02 18:39
US Open WTA: Karolina Pliskova vs Diana Shnaider	3	$1.5K	766	766	+0	Diana Shnaider	+$65	09-02 16:39
atp bonzi buse 2026 09 03	2	$1.4K	893	893	+0	Benjamin Bonzi	+$392	09-03 23:31
atp svajda gea 2026 09 03	3	$1.3K	1,152	704	+448	Arthur Gea	+$155	09-04 00:16
wta kalinsk swiatek 2026 01 24	2	$1.3K	703	703	+0	Swiatek	+$125	01-24 10:02
atp mannari fery 2026 06 17	3	$1.2K	772	772	+0	Arthur Fery	+$259	06-17 15:20
atp jodar bu 2026 09 01	3	$1.2K	637	637	+0	Yunchaokete Bu	+$96	09-02 21:02
Szczecin: Dusan Lajovic vs Diego Dedura-Palomero	4	$1.2K	688	688	+0	Diego Dedura-Palomero	+$11	09-15 15:37
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 2pt5	4	$1.2K	677	677	+0	Cobolli	+$171	06-07 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	17	$1.1K	709	709	+0	Up	+$273	10-01 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	5	$1.1K	820	820	+0	Down	+$143	09-03 16:16
US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx	2	$1.0K	746	746	+0	Alexander Blockx	+$37	09-07 19:23
atp silv almeida 2026 09 30	3	$1.0K	1,064	588	+477	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	-$370	09-30 23:49
atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12 set handicap home 1pt5	3	$1.0K	574	574	+0	Nakashima	+$119	08-12 23:21
atp atmane tiafoe 2026 03 24	2	$1.0K	604	604	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$193	03-25 00:08
wta bondar cirstea 2026 04 17	2	$960	550	546	+4	Sorana Cirstea	+$134	04-17 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	18	$959	621	621	+0	Up	+$159	10-02 18:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:45 UTC	6	$955	664	664	+0	Up	+$5	06-17 09:01
Como: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Jay Clarke	5	$947	719	719	+0	Juan Pablo Varillas	-$30	09-05 17:14
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	3	$945	505	505	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$55	06-06 14:32
atp mensik quinn 2026 01 23	2	$944	525	525	+0	Mensik	+$104	01-24 12:48
atp medvede michels 2026 03 11	2	$935	532	532	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$127	03-11 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	11	$935	541	541	+0	Up	+$135	10-09 10:56
atp grieksp aguilar 2026 08 10	2	$918	469	469	+0	Daniel Merida Aguilar	+$18	08-09 17:58
atp alcaraz medvede 2026 03 14 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$918	657	657	+0	Medvedev	+$394	03-15 00:12
Ningbo Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Belinda Bencic	2	$912	513	513	+0	Belinda Bencic	+$112	10-20 11:02
wta pegula keys 2026 01 25	2	$897	557	557	+0	Pegula	+$217	01-26 02:05
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp	3	$890	895	492	+404	Botic van de Zandschulp	-$310	09-07 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	4	$881	506	506	+0	Down	+$81	10-02 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 01:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	149	66¢	$98	0xfdafbf…
11-03 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	190	52¢	$98	0x0ae692…
11-03 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0x1f1ade…
11-02 23:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	146	67¢	$98	0x0fed17…
11-02 23:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0xf52c52…
11-02 22:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	177	85¢	$150	0xf89944…
11-02 22:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	127	77¢	$98	0xeaa027…
11-02 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x6cdc0e…
11-02 21:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x24b9bf…
11-02 20:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	78¢	$52	0xca8e0a…
11-02 20:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	228	66¢	$150	0xef6709…
11-02 19:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	163	60¢	$98	0xedb157…
11-02 18:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	296	51¢	$150	0xda48a6…
11-02 17:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	171	99¢	$169	0xa5298b…
11-02 17:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x57b523…
11-02 17:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x1f70c7…
11-02 17:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	42¢	$19	0xb2e529…
11-02 17:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0x8218e9…
11-02 17:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x3327eb…
11-02 17:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	149	66¢	$98	0x195cfe…
11-02 16:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	87	60¢	$52	0xbd1f3b…
11-02 16:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	150	65¢	$98	0x221ad0…
11-02 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	156	100¢	$155	0x6bd550…
11-02 16:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb065be…
11-02 16:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	145	97¢	$140	0xd1125e…
11-02 16:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x1a1b50…
11-02 16:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	144	68¢	$98	0x25ead6…
11-02 16:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	148	66¢	$98	0x29d18e…
11-02 16:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x68efc1…
11-02 15:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	272	73¢	$200	0xd30386…
11-02 15:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	143	77¢	$110	0x50ec4c…
11-02 13:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	151	73¢	$110	0x721273…
11-02 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	196	26¢	$51	0x321205…
11-02 13:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0xe02e2c…
11-02 00:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	93	56¢	$52	0x9db283…
11-02 00:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	85	61¢	$52	0x27fc37…
11-02 00:16:19	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	SELL	268	90¢	$241	0xa557fd…
11-01 23:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	157	70¢	$110	0xb3954d…
11-01 23:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	174	63¢	$110	0xa61314…
11-01 22:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	74¢	$52	0x010917…
11-01 22:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	74¢	$52	0x43d70b…
11-01 22:18:12	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xfc909b…
11-01 22:09:22	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xd57029…
11-01 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	95	90¢	$86	0x5d8db4…
11-01 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x45cce1…
11-01 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x3877c3…
11-01 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x1c921c…
11-01 22:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x0d5655…
11-01 22:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	185	53¢	$98	0x43588d…
11-01 21:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	184	60¢	$110	0xd126b0…
11-01 21:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	211	37¢	$78	0xc3f676…
11-01 21:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	211	52¢	$110	0x2815ab…
11-01 21:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0xa0678c…
11-01 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	108	48¢	$52	0x7a5735…
11-01 19:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	95	55¢	$52	0xe50b97…
11-01 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	88	59¢	$52	0xa118a4…
11-01 19:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	190	58¢	$110	0x6ed14a…
11-01 18:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	64¢	$52	0xcb0d0f…
11-01 18:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0x838fc4…
11-01 18:26:42	W100 New Braunfels, TX: Julieta Pareja vs Caroline Dolehide	Julieta Pareja	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x8ad7de…
11-01 17:39:21	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Alice Tubello	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0xe48994…
11-01 17:19:31	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Alice Tubello	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x8f4e85…
11-01 16:52:18	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Alice Tubello	SELL	207	20¢	$42	0x06912b…
11-01 16:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	154	71¢	$110	0xb455f6…
11-01 16:32:22	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Alice Tubello	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x0ed1fc…
11-01 16:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	127	87¢	$110	0x944c33…
11-01 16:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	151	73¢	$110	0x44da12…
11-01 15:59:07	W75 Poitiers: Veronika Podrez vs Oceane Dodin	Veronika Podrez	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x3144c3…
11-01 14:23:22	W75 Poitiers: Veronika Podrez vs Oceane Dodin	Veronika Podrez	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xa7c4c3…
11-01 13:54:58	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Benjamin Bonzi	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x6a1687…
11-01 13:19:13	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xbdc397…
11-01 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	214	51¢	$110	0x96dc56…
11-01 12:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	196	56¢	$110	0x630725…
11-01 11:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	175	63¢	$110	0xce145c…
11-01 11:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	327	49¢	$160	0x745461…
11-01 10:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	126	41¢	$52	0xc1dd4d…
11-01 10:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x405797…
11-01 10:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xc1a5be…
11-01 10:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	107	100¢	$106	0xcccb67…
11-01 10:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	107	92¢	$98	0x82c544…
11-01 10:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	225	52¢	$117	0xdae1bf…
11-01 10:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	225	71¢	$160	0xbec8dd…
11-01 09:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	170	98¢	$166	0x1c1838…
11-01 09:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	170	53¢	$90	0x218086…
11-01 08:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	281	33¢	$93	0xf380c8…
11-01 08:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	281	55¢	$155	0x61c86d…
11-01 08:40:52	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Harriet Dart	Lilli Tagger	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xd90057…
11-01 00:27:00	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Fiona Ferro	Fiona Ferro	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xdd8a0b…
11-01 00:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	128	76¢	$98	0xc70671…
11-01 00:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	132	74¢	$98	0x7d9d34…
11-01 00:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x0e5580…
10-31 23:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x6e9269…
10-31 23:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0a2dea…
10-31 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x297f17…
10-31 23:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xc3fa77…
10-31 23:01:54	Sioux Falls: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Dominko	Liam Draxl	SELL	158	80¢	$126	0x2d7e5d…
10-31 23:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x6cbe7a…
10-31 22:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x036648…
10-31 22:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	140	70¢	$98	0x60b19e…
10-31 21:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x007664…