Foolish-Idea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$196

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

4,056

Trades

13,906

lifetime

Volume

$45.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-27 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% -$196

Other

0% 0% -$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 324 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 06:00 UTC	10	$367	200	200	+0	Down	+$7	06-24 06:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 00:00 UTC	10	$193	112	112	+0	Up	+$13	06-24 00:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 03:45 UTC	14	$182	104	104	+0	Up	+$2	06-26 03:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 13:00 UTC	14	$123	69	69	+0	Down	+$3	06-24 13:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 11:15 UTC	7	$123	65	65	+0	Up	+$1	06-23 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 23:45 UTC	7	$112	60	60	+0	Down	+$4	06-25 23:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 22:30 UTC	9	$106	63	63	+0	Down	+$4	06-22 22:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 12:15 UTC	7	$106	62	62	+0	Down	+$4	06-23 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 15:45 UTC	11	$104	59	59	+0	Up	+$4	06-25 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 00:00 UTC	9	$103	63	63	+0	Down	+$3	06-21 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	6	$102	53	53	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 19:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 01:15 UTC	7	$102	54	54	+0	Down	+$2	06-24 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 21:00 UTC	7	$101	53	53	+0	Up	+$1	06-23 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 06:30 UTC	8	$96	64	64	+0	Down	-$4	06-24 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 15:00 UTC	5	$86	51	51	+0	Down	+$6	06-23 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	5	$84	63	63	+0	Down	-$26	05-08 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 17:15 UTC	6	$84	48	48	+0	Up	+$4	06-20 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 12:30 UTC	7	$84	45	45	+0	Down	+$2	06-23 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:30 UTC	4	$84	47	47	+0	Up	+$4	07-27 16:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 02:45 UTC	7	$84	51	51	+0	Down	+$4	06-24 02:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 11:00 UTC	6	$83	47	47	+0	Up	+$3	06-21 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 18:30 UTC	5	$83	45	45	+0	Down	+$3	06-23 18:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 23:15 UTC	6	$81	44	44	+0	Down	+$1	06-26 23:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-22 11:30 UTC	5	$80	42	42	+0	Up	+$0	06-22 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 18:20 UTC	8	$79	44	44	+0	Up	-$1	08-21 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 17:45 UTC	8	$78	60	60	+0	Down	-$2	06-20 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-21 08:45 UTC	7	$74	50	50	+0	Up	-$6	06-21 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	4	$73	52	52	+0	Down	-$7	07-28 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 00:15 UTC	10	$72	42	42	+0	Down	+$2	06-26 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$71	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0de64e…
10-27 03:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xd20a2e…
10-27 03:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x1cfe63…
10-27 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x782e11…
10-27 03:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x75107c…
10-27 03:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcddf6c…
10-27 03:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7fbb11…
10-27 03:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x25f073…
10-27 02:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x52607d…
10-27 02:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x042580…
10-27 02:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x74f15b…
10-27 02:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x43919c…
10-27 02:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb8070…
10-27 02:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x0ee124…
10-27 02:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe53642…
10-27 02:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdc0db8…
10-27 02:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x057b5f…
10-27 02:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbea348…
10-27 02:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xab2f5c…
10-27 02:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa8cfbb…
10-27 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7423f7…
10-27 02:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x6067f7…
10-27 02:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9b34fa…
10-27 02:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x60124f…
10-27 02:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0dc348…
10-27 02:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18a395…
10-27 02:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x498575…
10-26 22:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa73c44…
10-26 22:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xf07546…
10-26 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x5acc63…
10-26 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa30c09…
10-26 22:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0xac6bdb…
10-26 22:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x82b95e…
10-26 22:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xdecaec…
10-26 21:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2ac7b1…
10-26 21:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa43c71…
10-26 21:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x00e2f6…
10-26 21:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x59a2c1…
10-26 21:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeba9f1…
10-26 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf3a616…
10-26 21:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0379f7…
10-26 20:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe2b29f…
10-26 20:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa4e2ee…
10-26 20:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xddc697…
10-26 20:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x11a0de…
10-26 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xc19c69…
10-26 20:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xfadbb5…
10-26 20:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x8d3403…
10-26 20:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9d4fcb…
10-26 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4fca04…
10-26 20:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xc302db…
10-26 20:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x34f320…
10-26 20:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xf7bf4a…
10-26 20:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x825d04…
10-26 20:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x70f2a0…
10-26 20:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x2fd616…
10-26 20:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xe698ab…
10-26 20:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6476e8…
10-26 20:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x125f92…
10-26 20:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa94264…
10-26 20:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x8d93ca…
10-26 20:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x630b60…
10-26 20:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xa65c9e…
10-26 20:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0b80c3…
10-26 19:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0x92384b…
10-26 19:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x4f813c…
10-26 19:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7d4ef0…
10-26 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa26470…
10-26 19:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x95c31e…
10-26 19:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xa62f26…
10-26 19:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x91a8b2…
10-26 19:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf41a59…
10-26 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x76ddb7…
10-26 19:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xde9d77…
10-26 19:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb5c0c8…
10-26 19:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x54a703…
10-26 19:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0xcb2049…
10-26 19:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x54a0d3…
10-26 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfcddf9…
10-26 19:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x562701…
10-26 19:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x40b62b…
10-26 19:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3744a1…
10-26 19:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf41894…
10-26 19:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x590e3f…
10-26 19:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x07634c…
10-26 19:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7ae269…
10-26 19:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf975da…
10-26 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf0b951…
10-26 19:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4592f6…
10-26 19:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0a7202…
10-26 19:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x616f24…
10-26 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8b46f7…
10-26 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x92ddbe…
10-26 19:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$5	0x30e7a1…
10-26 19:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4afca3…
10-26 19:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbea3ac…
10-26 19:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5c1363…
10-26 18:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x435939…
10-26 18:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xed820d…
10-26 18:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc7c8c5…