Realized P&L
-$198
Unrealized P&L
-$21
Hit rate
40.1%
Resolved
1,204
Trades
2,164
lifetime
Volume
$4.64K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-26 13:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Crypto
63% 30% -$55
Other
26% 27% -$69
Politics
10% 19% -$49
Sports
1% 14% -$25
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16 $10 72¢ $11 +$1 10-25 09:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $5 42¢ $6 +$1 07-20 13:18
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 10-11 09:50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +12 $5 20¢ $3 -$2 10-06 08:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -7 $15 33¢ $-2 -$17 10-25 09:01
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +22 $2 9¢ $2 $0 10-25 09:02
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 10-25 09:13
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +5 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-25 09:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? Yes -22 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-16 08:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 30? Yes +3 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-25 09:15