Harmless-Eddy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$1.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-20 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 38% $-47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$75	49	49	+0	Down	+$21	05-05 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	9	$59	46	46	+0	Down	+$13	05-05 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$35	30	30	+0	Up	+$12	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-30 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	04-30 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$19	40	0	+40	Down	$-19	05-05 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 11:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-12 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	1	$15	30	0	+30	Down	$-15	05-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-07 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3?	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	open	—	04-30 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	1	$11	20	0	+20	Down	$-11	05-06 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	3	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-30 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x4365a4…
05-18 12:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf60212…
05-14 18:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x92396a…
05-14 18:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcac085…
05-14 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc54722…
05-14 17:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x354f6c…
05-14 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xeba4f9…
05-14 16:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5a9fe1…
05-14 11:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6aa737…
05-14 11:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3d83bf…
05-13 10:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x1b58f8…
05-13 10:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfba332…
05-13 00:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x575e62…
05-12 17:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xac8656…
05-12 16:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x591074…
05-12 16:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfbd662…
05-12 16:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe9dafb…
05-12 15:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9029d9…
05-12 15:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x944f86…
05-11 15:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xbbf957…
05-11 15:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe25ec9…
05-11 15:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x89440d…
05-11 06:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x25e66e…
05-10 17:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x51d882…
05-10 16:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe52b7e…
05-09 10:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0d82b7…
05-09 09:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x741449…
05-07 19:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x312f30…
05-07 19:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1fafe6…
05-07 13:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x83cbdc…
05-07 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c0cd8…
05-07 12:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xb5464c…
05-07 12:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6faf21…
05-07 12:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x126f56…
05-06 22:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc41cfe…
05-06 21:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8acde1…
05-06 20:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf4b026…
05-06 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x013c11…
05-06 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xcd57b8…
05-06 16:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe4c0f4…
05-06 16:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x798159…
05-06 16:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf30cb2…
05-06 16:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x77da8c…
05-06 13:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa4645d…
05-06 13:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe38b0b…
05-06 13:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x832707…
05-06 13:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x6aadaf…
05-06 12:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5e15a…
05-06 12:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x41cd01…
05-06 10:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2d7480…
05-06 10:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd5705e…
05-06 10:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7da899…
05-06 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x605fed…
05-06 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd95533…
05-06 09:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x434336…
05-05 23:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa28e82…
05-05 20:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x6809e5…
05-05 20:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5cf318…
05-05 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xa49d55…
05-05 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x26fde7…
05-05 19:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	46	78¢	$36	0x686203…
05-05 19:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd7b485…
05-05 19:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xff1d57…
05-05 19:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb3d167…
05-05 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xea2b7e…
05-05 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd82778…
05-05 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x94f2aa…
05-05 19:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x62950d…
05-05 19:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xe8825a…
05-05 19:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x01b232…
05-05 19:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x032884…
05-05 17:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xfc5ba8…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xd4aedb…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa775c6…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6506af…
05-05 17:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x25ec08…
05-05 15:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x78a79c…
05-05 15:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x669ac1…
05-05 15:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc99880…
05-05 15:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xee45e5…
05-05 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xec382a…
05-05 12:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0xa20d30…
05-05 12:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	56¢	$27	0x69bbf7…
05-05 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x86a3c8…
05-05 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x2c6de7…
05-05 12:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb068ee…
05-05 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc998ff…
05-05 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8cc7e0…
05-05 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x667a06…
05-05 11:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x5fdbb7…
05-05 11:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x6d46bd…
05-05 11:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfc7aec…
05-05 10:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8aeccd…
05-05 10:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x9ea6a8…
05-05 10:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf3ebc2…
05-05 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9ef13a…
05-05 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x928b17…
05-05 08:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x18dff8…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x61c54b…
05-05 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5459ba…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	154	$47.8K	6,705	05-20 15:43
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	152	$83.6K	5,154	05-20 15:41
Tangible-Friendship 0x21d0…e8d7	151	$28.4K	3,327	05-20 15:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	150	$348.0K	13,702	05-20 15:45
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	148	$63.0K	17,142	05-20 15:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	148	$56.5K	15,038	05-20 15:43
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	148	$43.8K	6,024	05-20 15:43
(anonymous) 0xd5c6…e702	147	$41.6K	12,089	05-20 15:42