Stiff-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.72K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

2,127

Trades

4,847

lifetime

Volume

$3.78M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$779

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 18:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 98% -$3,716

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 15:00 UTC	3	$7.0K	7,071	+7,071	Down	+$71	01-20 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 06:30 UTC	4	$6.6K	6,721	+6,721	Down	+$121	01-20 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 14:45 UTC	5	$6.5K	6,661	+6,661	Down	+$161	02-26 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 20:00 UTC	3	$6.3K	6,364	+6,364	Down	+$64	01-20 20:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 10:15 UTC	3	$6.0K	6,061	+6,061	Up	+$61	01-20 10:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 12:45 UTC	5	$5.9K	6,036	+6,036	Up	+$86	02-25 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 17:15 UTC	12	$5.6K	5,884	+5,884	Up	+$308	01-04 17:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 11:30 UTC	6	$5.6K	5,620	+5,620	Up	+$64	02-25 11:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 15:00 UTC	3	$5.5K	5,556	+5,556	Up	+$56	01-19 15:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 17:00 UTC	2	$5.5K	5,556	+5,556	Up	+$56	01-20 17:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 15:30 UTC	2	$5.5K	5,556	+5,556	Up	+$56	01-19 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 06:15 UTC	4	$5.5K	5,613	+5,613	Down	+$113	01-20 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 16:15 UTC	8	$5.3K	5,389	+5,389	Up	+$113	04-13 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 18:15 UTC	6	$5.1K	5,243	+5,243	Down	+$143	01-04 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 09:30 UTC	4	$5.1K	5,164	+5,164	Down	+$97	02-25 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 17:30 UTC	8	$5.0K	5,171	+5,171	Up	+$147	01-04 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 15:15 UTC	4	$5.0K	5,059	+5,059	Up	+$58	02-24 15:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 17:30 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,052	+5,052	Down	+$51	01-19 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 08:00 UTC	4	$5.0K	5,075	+5,075	Up	+$74	02-27 08:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 17:30 UTC	5	$5.0K	5,053	+5,053	Up	+$52	02-27 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:45 UTC	1	$5.0K	5,321	+5,321	Down	+$321	01-21 07:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 11:15 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Up	+$51	01-20 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 11:00 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Up	+$51	01-20 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 08:15 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Up	+$51	01-19 08:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 16:00 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,068	+5,068	Up	+$68	01-20 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 07:30 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Down	+$51	01-21 07:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 15:30 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Up	+$51	02-26 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:15 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Down	+$51	01-20 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 19:45 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Up	+$51	01-20 19:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:00 UTC	2	$5.0K	5,051	+5,051	Down	+$51	01-19 18:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,102	95¢	$2,000	0x8be4bc…
10-28 08:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x20f02a…
10-28 08:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0xcb202f…
10-28 08:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,026	99¢	$2,000	0x64e85c…
10-22 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfa35a6…
10-22 17:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x5ce6a1…
10-22 17:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2,021	99¢	$2,000	0x9aa943…
10-22 16:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x9a8f50…
10-22 16:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2,046	98¢	$2,000	0xf74303…
10-21 13:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xda06d0…
10-21 13:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2,063	97¢	$2,000	0x891c2f…
10-21 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x18b67f…
10-21 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2,069	97¢	$2,000	0x34aad2…
10-21 13:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf842b2…
10-21 06:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x929d50…
10-21 06:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1dc7d2…
10-15 14:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x381329…
10-15 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x9380f1…
10-15 13:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x3bd703…
10-15 13:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	507	99¢	$500	0xd7577b…
10-15 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,031	98¢	$2,000	0xabcd65…
10-14 13:39:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,020	99¢	$2,000	0x1b1d4b…
10-14 12:34:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x3b852b…
10-14 12:33:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xee3a26…
10-14 12:33:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2,058	97¢	$2,000	0x3e46b6…
10-14 12:09:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x036407…
10-14 12:08:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	509	98¢	$500	0x68914d…
10-14 12:07:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,062	97¢	$2,000	0x93ec70…
10-14 08:08:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,004	100¢	$1,000	0x18d2d1…
10-14 08:07:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xe81585…
10-12 04:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0xee99b4…
10-08 14:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2,024	99¢	$2,000	0xad03e1…
10-08 09:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2,020	99¢	$2,000	0x202414…
10-08 07:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,000	0x5dbb15…
10-08 07:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,015	99¢	$1,000	0x807819…
10-07 18:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe942b0…
10-07 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8651ef…
10-07 18:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa92b81…
10-07 18:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2,033	98¢	$2,000	0x9e548e…
10-07 15:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,056	97¢	$2,000	0x356555…
10-07 15:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9f8789…
10-07 13:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2,028	99¢	$2,000	0x69c3d5…
10-07 13:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc3225d…
10-01 16:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2,035	98¢	$2,000	0x84b66c…
10-01 13:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	508	98¢	$500	0x870cc1…
10-01 13:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,044	98¢	$2,000	0x49aa8c…
10-01 10:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2,054	97¢	$2,000	0x906b84…
09-30 15:38:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,022	99¢	$2,000	0x9ee4f0…
09-30 14:55:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	411	99¢	$407	0x538bbc…
09-30 12:51:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2,052	97¢	$2,000	0xf599ba…
09-30 12:34:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	521	96¢	$500	0xee96b0…
09-30 12:31:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,067	97¢	$2,000	0x827978…
09-30 09:34:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2,053	97¢	$2,000	0xaacbdc…
09-30 09:08:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x8dc80a…
09-30 09:06:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2,055	97¢	$2,000	0x768c6f…
09-30 09:05:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe6854f…
09-30 07:22:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,033	98¢	$2,000	0x81e0ad…
09-23 14:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2,020	99¢	$2,000	0xcf0fcb…
09-23 13:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xcd8bb2…
09-23 13:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x444665…
09-23 13:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,042	98¢	$2,000	0x5ad3d3…
09-23 10:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,515	99¢	$1,500	0x7fcb46…
09-23 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x745e76…
09-23 08:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x2be606…
09-23 08:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,549	97¢	$1,500	0x0c5d74…
09-23 07:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x9370e6…
09-22 20:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd768d4…
09-18 21:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1,531	98¢	$1,500	0xf3dc0e…
09-18 21:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9b8295…
09-17 18:42:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x189f4d…
09-17 18:42:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,003	100¢	$1,000	0x13d38b…
09-17 17:09:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c9827…
09-17 15:39:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,520	99¢	$1,500	0xa41d71…
09-17 13:53:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbc2af0…
09-17 13:53:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xdfee25…
09-17 13:52:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,517	99¢	$1,500	0x00fd3f…
09-17 11:39:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xaa3acb…
09-17 11:39:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,515	99¢	$1,500	0x04bf1d…
09-17 09:11:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x61abf4…
09-17 08:57:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-17 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	595	99¢	$589	0xc6abe0…
09-16 18:43:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,527	98¢	$1,500	0x4012d7…
09-16 18:08:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x613e3e…
09-16 18:07:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,573	95¢	$1,500	0xa0fc5e…
09-16 17:39:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x596c0e…
09-16 17:39:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1,517	99¢	$1,500	0xe1b2cf…
09-16 13:09:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x95ebb7…
09-16 13:08:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,536	98¢	$1,500	0x38587e…
09-16 09:09:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x6915c7…
09-16 09:06:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,542	97¢	$1,500	0x97a2e2…
09-16 08:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xc08687…
09-16 08:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,519	99¢	$1,500	0x83c9a3…
09-14 20:26:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x57605f…
09-14 20:25:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe8d03e…
09-14 20:24:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,013	99¢	$2,000	0x6544f4…
09-11 04:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1,518	99¢	$1,500	0x29243e…
09-10 18:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,505	100¢	$1,500	0xff2492…
09-10 13:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0xbd70cd…
09-10 13:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0x54903a…
09-10 13:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,538	98¢	$1,500	0xebe3b2…
09-10 12:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,541	97¢	$1,500	0x0d56d3…