Slippery-Literate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$315

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

481

Trades

24,019

lifetime

Volume

$215.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-25 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% +$315

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 815 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1771641900	5	$156	112	59	+53	open	—	02-21 02:54
sol updown 15m 1773091800	13	$130	142	0	+142	open	—	03-09 21:41
nba phi lac 2026 02 02	5	$119	64	64	+0	open	—	02-03 05:08
xrp updown 15m 1771461000	2	$109	58	58	+0	open	—	02-19 00:44
xrp updown 15m 1771475400	6	$108	58	58	+1	open	—	02-19 04:44
btc updown 15m 1773770400	12	$102	76	32	+44	open	—	03-17 18:14
btc updown 15m 1771471800	2	$102	105	0	+105	open	—	02-19 03:42
xrp updown 15m 1771471800	3	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	02-19 03:42
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	18	$89	56	56	+0	open	—	02-03 17:23
sol updown 15m 1771645500	3	$88	57	57	+0	open	—	02-21 03:58
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	3	$84	51	44	+6	Down	+$10	05-13 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$83	44	44	+0	open	—	05-14 20:25
sol updown 15m 1771552800	5	$81	62	51	+11	open	—	02-20 02:12
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	14	$70	38	38	+0	open	—	02-04 23:40
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	14	$69	41	41	+0	open	—	02-04 04:05
another us government shutdown by february 14	13	$69	69	69	+0	open	—	02-04 06:21
xrp updown 15m 1771473600	4	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	02-19 04:14
xrp updown 15m 1773091800	7	$61	64	11	+54	open	—	03-09 21:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$61	65	0	+65	Up	+$4	05-12 22:39
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$61	67	0	+67	Down	+$7	05-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	4	$61	75	0	+75	Down	+$14	05-12 22:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$60	76	0	+76	Up	+$15	05-12 22:54
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$60	66	0	+66	Down	$-60	05-12 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$60	63	0	+63	Down	+$3	05-12 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$60	63	0	+63	Up	+$3	05-12 21:04
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$59	64	0	+64	open	—	05-12 20:45
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$56	62	0	+62	Down	+$6	05-12 06:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$54	61	0	+61	open	—	05-14 11:50
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$53	55	0	+55	Down	+$2	05-12 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$51	80	0	+80	Up	$-51	05-12 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xcb5c03…
05-25 22:45:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	77¢	$0	0x9a8d27…
05-25 22:14:59	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2f20ab…
05-25 22:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x207d48…
05-25 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2fe187…
05-25 20:50:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x822ac9…
05-18 11:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbdb1a7…
05-18 07:04:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0xed47f4…
05-18 07:04:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xebdeae…
05-18 07:04:59	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7c724c…
05-18 07:00:03	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5c5adc…
05-17 23:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf39aa3…
05-17 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$6	0xe1fb63…
05-17 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0c16d0…
05-17 21:44:59	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x7e3959…
05-17 13:20:03	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd8f134…
05-17 02:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x90f37c…
05-16 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1188aa…
05-16 02:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7d9b92…
05-16 02:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf6f969…
05-16 02:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xd091a3…
05-16 02:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x49ac15…
05-16 02:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x38ba1d…
05-16 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x83190e…
05-16 02:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf9535a…
05-16 02:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8e676a…
05-16 02:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	81¢	$10	0x2459b3…
05-16 01:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf68df4…
05-16 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x458c76…
05-16 01:25:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xcfab61…
05-16 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9bc48f…
05-16 01:25:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$4	0xc3e065…
05-16 01:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x1ec820…
05-16 01:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0xc3b5c0…
05-16 01:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb10300…
05-16 01:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x31da72…
05-16 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd36d95…
05-16 01:10:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4b43ef…
05-16 01:10:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x485bd6…
05-16 01:05:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xed08fd…
05-16 00:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd31f19…
05-16 00:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x97b2f5…
05-16 00:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0x794cf6…
05-16 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xac8ff3…
05-16 00:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x408efa…
05-16 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xdc4c47…
05-16 00:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcfcd67…
05-16 00:09:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb6bb41…
05-16 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x25bb77…
05-15 23:55:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfce8fb…
05-15 23:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf606dc…
05-15 23:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xeff0e0…
05-15 23:30:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe7053d…
05-15 23:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7a89b7…
05-15 23:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x60ef90…
05-15 23:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	77¢	$9	0x0d234a…
05-15 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x115ecf…
05-15 23:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe201bb…
05-15 23:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x068552…
05-15 23:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x73f06f…
05-15 23:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8f4d17…
05-15 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc7d9ae…
05-15 22:59:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb8b2d6…
05-15 22:59:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x2abe72…
05-15 22:59:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x124421…
05-15 22:54:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfe91cd…
05-15 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf930fb…
05-15 22:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x529b09…
05-15 22:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x94f510…
05-15 22:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x2599bd…
05-15 22:30:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0x08f6e1…
05-15 22:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf9bd51…
05-15 22:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x577c32…
05-15 22:29:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3a6fae…
05-15 22:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf43e37…
05-15 22:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb44eaf…
05-15 22:19:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0x9d8312…
05-15 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf902c0…
05-15 21:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x842d76…
05-15 21:45:01	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xa3ba25…
05-15 21:44:59	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9dce59…
05-15 21:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1738e1…
05-15 20:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xdaebe4…
05-15 20:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x631a22…
05-15 20:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x5426f9…
05-15 20:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9f8ce9…
05-15 20:00:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x9f8064…
05-15 19:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x43a85a…
05-15 19:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x627579…
05-15 19:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbf78f9…
05-15 19:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xacfd52…
05-15 18:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$10	0xbe4379…
05-15 18:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xceed73…
05-15 18:15:02	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xe738ce…
05-15 17:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xda39a8…
05-15 17:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4d1e4d…
05-15 17:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1eb439…
05-15 17:20:00	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x34de41…
05-15 16:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xca4538…
05-15 16:05:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe1bcc5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	756	$13.7K	3,371	05-15 07:30
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	676	$757	2,173	05-15 07:27
(anonymous) 0x4336…e51c	669	$775	3,174	05-14 16:30
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	668	$22.1K	4,617	04-27 20:30
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	664	$286.1K	83,279	03-31 13:28
(anonymous) 0x8920…4ca5	662	$179.3K	54,855	03-31 13:29
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	661	$313.5K	21,067	03-31 13:26
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	643	$266.8K	63,616	03-27 21:45