Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$155,421

Trades

12,909

Unique wallets

1,809

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-05-16

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-16 02:21

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +54,399 (anon) +6,647 Plump-Sauerkraut +3,654 Quarterly-Lag +3,559 Shocked-Acetate +2,541 Impolite-Handsaw +2,531 Abandoned-Saxophone +2,500 Swift-Census +2,400

NO holders

Exotic-Scholar +10,171 Conventional-County +8,200 Innocent-Cue +6,707 Hurtful-Infancy +5,934 Left-Oboe-Online +5,345 Plump-Sauerkraut +5,343 Aggravating-Tax +5,343 Crushing-Contingency +4,990

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +9.8¢ (top1%: 80% YES on $111.0K vs crowd: 71% YES on $145.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	171	$83.4K	$21.1K	+$62.3K
🐬 Dolphin	454	$14.2K	$12.2K	+$2.0K
🐟 Fish	740	$4.6K	$6.8K	$2.2K
🦐 Shrimp	444	$844	$2.7K	$1.9K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	289	$89.4K	$21.7K	+$67.7K
🏆 Top 5%	339	$5.2K	$5.3K	$170
✅ Top 10%	133	$709	$805	$96
Median	112	$241	$588	$347
Below median	467	$1.2K	$2.9K	$1.7K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	195	$1.0K	$2.7K	$1.7K
🔻 Bottom 5%	191	$1.8K	$3.9K	$2.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	83	$3.5K	$4.9K	$1.5K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x659a…5ef1	Up	+54,399	$53,855	$53,855	295	05-16 02:20
Exotic-Scholar 0x63ad…c072	Down	+10,171	$102	$102	1	05-16 02:20
Conventional-County 0x5d16…821a	Down	+8,200	$109	$109	76	05-16 02:20
Innocent-Cue 0x3c5b…333d	Down	+6,707	$124	$124	26	05-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0x320c…0279	Up	+6,647	$6,581	$6,581	41	05-16 02:21
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	Down	+5,934	$72	$72	67	05-16 02:20
Left-Oboe-Online 0x5d81…595c	Down	+5,345	$57	$57	6	05-16 02:20
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Down	+5,343	$3,227	$3,227	435	05-16 02:19
Aggravating-Tax 0xf323…4c32	Down	+5,343	$62	$62	7	05-16 02:20
Crushing-Contingency 0x5bc7…2415	Down	+4,990	$72	$72	50	05-16 02:20
Plump-Sauerkraut 0xd950…5e86	Up	+3,654	$1,460	$1,460	249	05-16 02:20
Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d	Up	+3,559	$3,523	$3,523	24	05-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0xb707…d65f	Down	+3,418	$46	$46	43	05-16 02:20
Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048	Down	+3,212	$197	$197	12	05-16 02:20
Yellow-Supervision 0xc599…b1d2	Down	+2,604	$166	$166	12	05-16 02:20
Shocked-Acetate 0x2a9c…c8cf	Up	+2,541	$2,336	$2,336	2	05-16 02:20
Impolite-Handsaw 0xa0a5…606f	Up	+2,531	$1,037	$1,037	17	05-16 02:19
Abandoned-Saxophone 0x32a2…505c	Up	+2,500	$2,421	$2,421	2	05-16 02:20
Swift-Census 0xbadb…31a7	Up	+2,400	$805	$805	113	05-16 02:18
Hearty-Project-Bargain 0xd32c…f93a	Up	+2,100	$702	$702	65	05-16 02:18
This-Signup 0xe9ba…f626	Up	+2,055	$623	$623	83	05-16 02:20
Harmless-Engineering 0x9dae…97a2	Up	+2,037	$844	$844	51	05-16 02:20
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	Down	+1,803	$1,173	$1,173	34	05-16 02:18
Specific-Crest 0x753f…84c4	Down	+1,636	$31	$31	31	05-16 02:20
Sophisticated-Leptocephalus 0x4605…b773	Down	+1,624	$1,041	$1,041	64	05-16 02:18
Clear-Cut-Turf 0x51ef…cda1	Down	+1,466	$586	$586	86	05-16 02:20
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+1,300	$727	$727	48	05-16 02:19
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Down	+1,142	$773	$773	16	05-16 02:19
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Down	+1,136	$693	$693	107	05-16 02:19
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	Up	+1,136	$427	$427	110	05-16 02:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	Up	+1,112	$577	$577	4	05-16 02:18
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	Down	+1,112	$600	$600	4	05-16 02:16
Accurate-Downtown 0xd8d8…bcbe	Up	+1,110	$394	$394	23	05-16 02:19
Unusual-Orange 0x7f59…b636	Up	+1,107	$390	$390	66	05-16 02:19
Opulent-Crab 0xb416…4588	Down	+1,077	$616	$616	39	05-16 02:19
Kooky-Revolution 0xd455…71cc	Up	+1,072	$258	$1,056	157	05-16 02:20
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	Up	+1,012	$371	$1,012	273	05-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	Down	+1,008	$585	$585	53	05-16 02:17
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	Up	+1,007	$997	$997	14	05-16 02:20
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Up	+1,007	$996	$996	2	05-16 02:20
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+993	$429	$429	42	05-16 02:19
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	Down	+940	$479	$479	12	05-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0x7ec4…00ad	Down	+916	$15	$15	6	05-16 02:20
Sad-Polliwog 0x02f4…4658	Up	+810	$297	$297	22	05-16 02:19
Piercing-Darkness 0x8d1d…ed4a	Down	+800	$584	$584	2	05-16 02:18
(anonymous) 0xae48…9469	Up	+796	$309	$309	82	05-16 02:19
Kooky-Revolution 0xd455…71cc	Down	+786	$27	$27	20	05-16 02:20
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	Down	+783	$433	$1,290	259	05-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	Down	+761	$484	$484	52	05-16 02:18
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	Up	+714	$258	$258	75	05-16 02:19
(anonymous) 0x2ecd…5d94	Down	+707	$7	$7	1	05-16 02:20
Sick-Cycle 0x7511…582e	Up	+704	$255	$255	12	05-16 02:19
Unripe-Put 0xce18…aff0	Down	+703	$500	$500	5	05-16 02:19
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	Up	+703	$245	$245	185	05-16 02:20
Tart-Cub 0xba4a…347b	Down	+695	$440	$440	2	05-16 02:19
Elated-Locker 0x0022…5f11	Up	+672	$300	$300	3	05-16 02:19
Ignorant-Beneficiary-Warren 0xb305…ca4e	Up	+650	$245	$245	26	05-16 02:19
Stiff-Blackberry 0x10c9…e999	Up	+643	$241	$241	31	05-16 02:20
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	Up	+637	$341	$341	42	05-16 02:20
Crushing-Contingency 0x5bc7…2415	Up	+636	$253	$253	37	05-16 02:20