Crushing-Contingency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.65K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

2,368

Trades

61,626

lifetime

Volume

$453.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 09-12 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 51% +$6,862

Other

1% 56% +$201

Sports

0% 33% -$410

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 3994 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	17	$3.9K	2,766	2,507	+259	Up	-$85	05-23 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	132	$3.6K	2,867	2,867	+0	Up	+$1,627	05-09 19:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	105	$3.0K	4,826	0	+4,826	Down	-$3,001	05-23 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	60	$2.9K	2,957	814	+2,143	Down	-$1,314	05-23 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	151	$2.6K	2,020	1,851	+169	Down	+$403	05-20 13:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 04:45 UTC	5	$2.3K	2,316	1,296	+1,020	Up	+$237	08-31 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	39	$2.3K	1,559	1,517	+42	Up	+$745	05-08 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:10 UTC	1,254	$2.2K	24,427	346	+24,081	Up	-$625	04-05 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	174	$2.1K	2,100	1,162	+938	Down	+$244	05-22 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:00 UTC	787	$2.0K	23,086	386	+22,699	Down	+$115	04-05 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	43	$2.0K	1,935	1,233	+701	Down	+$355	05-23 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	394	$1.9K	1,318	1,318	+0	Up	+$568	05-09 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	6	$1.9K	1,266	1,266	+0	Down	+$613	05-08 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$1.8K	1,031	1,031	+0	Down	+$199	05-22 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	54	$1.8K	1,475	1,240	+235	Down	+$659	05-15 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	184	$1.8K	2,830	380	+2,450	Down	+$89	05-22 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 04:05 UTC	202	$1.7K	1,740	857	+883	Down	+$25	08-25 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	82	$1.7K	1,269	1,198	+71	Up	+$622	04-30 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	287	$1.6K	2,457	861	+1,596	Down	+$1,559	05-08 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	65	$1.6K	2,649	252	+2,397	Down	+$710	05-01 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:55 UTC	33	$1.5K	1,175	1,144	+32	Up	+$62	04-05 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$1.5K	1,645	341	+1,304	Down	+$437	05-20 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	121	$1.4K	40,776	0	+40,776	Up	-$1,446	05-08 23:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:55 UTC	174	$1.4K	1,459	765	+695	Up	+$76	08-25 00:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 05:00 UTC	50	$1.4K	2,585	0	+2,585	Up	-$132	08-31 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	130	$1.4K	2,885	483	+2,402	Up	-$354	05-01 01:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 01:45 UTC	185	$1.4K	815	815	+0	Down	+$163	08-31 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	35	$1.4K	984	938	+47	Up	+$374	05-23 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	31	$1.4K	1,536	516	+1,020	Up	-$140	05-18 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	4	$1.4K	1,790	0	+1,790	Up	+$411	05-09 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x688cd0…
09-12 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4dfbe2…
09-12 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x43a1c8…
09-12 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33c92f…
09-12 02:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2a2363…
09-12 02:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xd92e80…
09-12 02:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xecac1d…
09-12 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5457e…
09-12 02:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2e365e…
09-12 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbed5b0…
09-12 02:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xb0f295…
09-12 02:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5c8133…
09-12 02:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2000a4…
09-12 02:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe74478…
09-12 02:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xadc5e8…
09-12 02:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb6ff92…
09-12 02:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0xabcc63…
09-12 02:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x0b28e3…
09-12 02:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x233032…
09-12 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xce873b…
09-12 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x62d6fb…
09-12 02:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0xcd38a0…
09-12 01:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd22904…
09-12 01:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb6f85b…
09-12 01:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x46382c…
09-12 01:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x06fc11…
09-12 01:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8abc71…
09-12 01:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7abfbf…
09-12 01:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xe0c9d1…
09-12 01:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xee3611…
09-12 01:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd53e45…
09-12 01:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5a28e7…
09-12 01:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x762ccd…
09-12 01:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf12081…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb8d4ea…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb00eea…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa91669…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xa3b82e…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x911a00…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5c5dc9…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x451ddc…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2fa230…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2ca0ea…
09-12 00:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x24a546…
09-12 00:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9a70d4…
09-12 00:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xf437c3…
09-12 00:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6932bf…
09-12 00:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x63f681…
09-12 00:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x9179e0…
09-12 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x0a45ad…
09-12 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd0a586…
09-12 00:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x760c90…
09-12 00:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x95ec8d…
09-12 00:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x594bd9…
09-12 00:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0x20c67c…
09-12 00:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfad361…
09-12 00:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x23b155…
09-12 00:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc8a508…
09-12 00:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4695ff…
09-12 00:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x28664c…
09-12 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb099e1…
09-12 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	46¢	$10	0x1422a5…
09-12 00:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xeea046…
09-12 00:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x51531e…
09-12 00:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x6e7211…
09-12 00:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xcba885…
09-12 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4885e5…
09-12 00:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xec3a1f…
09-12 00:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xad345e…
09-12 00:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xae9958…
09-11 23:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	467	5¢	$25	0xa4d078…
09-11 23:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa1cc0d…
09-11 23:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x733098…
09-11 23:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9b3407…
09-11 23:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd8d295…
09-11 23:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x14523e…
09-11 23:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1e1eed…
09-11 23:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x84a18d…
09-11 23:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x67b91b…
09-11 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x917f74…
09-11 23:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2ce4ed…
09-11 23:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x1a9157…
09-11 23:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb36b30…
09-11 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x78c418…
09-11 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5c581f…
09-11 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	306	99¢	$303	0x18bbe3…
09-11 23:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x46a1e3…
09-11 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	47	93¢	$43	0x8ff1de…
09-11 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0x35d793…
09-11 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	64	93¢	$60	0x2abe6a…
09-11 23:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	131	93¢	$122	0x20dde0…
09-11 23:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x802c49…
09-11 23:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3692e4…
09-11 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcee5d5…
09-11 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe888ec…
09-11 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xee4d5d…
09-11 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdeb6a2…
09-11 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xdb3349…
09-11 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc95826…
09-11 23:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbdf0b9…